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Figure 4.10
Figure 4.10
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Female Breast, by Race
Rates per 100,000 for Breast, All Races, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 105.1 | 103.3 | 105.1 | 103.3 | ||||
| 1976 | 101.9 | 102.8 | 101.9 | 102.8 | ||||
| 1977 | 100.8 | 102.2 | 100.8 | 102.2 | ||||
| 1978 | 100.6 | 101.7 | 100.6 | 101.7 | ||||
| 1979 | 102.1 | 101.1 | 102.1 | 101.1 | ||||
| 1980 | 102.2 | 100.5 | 102.2 | 100.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 106.4 | 104.5 | 106.4 | 104.5 | ||||
| 1982 | 106.5 | 108.7 | 106.5 | 108.7 | ||||
| 1983 | 111.1 | 113.0 | 111.1 | 113.0 | ||||
| 1984 | 116.0 | 117.5 | 116.0 | 117.5 | ||||
| 1985 | 124.3 | 122.2 | 124.3 | 122.2 | ||||
| 1986 | 126.8 | 127.0 | 126.8 | 127.0 | ||||
| 1987 | 134.5 | 132.1 | 134.5 | 132.1 | ||||
| 1988 | 131.4 | 131.8 | 131.4 | 131.8 | ||||
| 1989 | 127.3 | 131.6 | 127.3 | 131.6 | ||||
| 1990 | 131.9 | 131.4 | 131.9 | 131.4 | ||||
| 1991 | 133.9 | 131.2 | 133.9 | 131.2 | ||||
| 1992 | 132.1 | 131.0 | 132.1 | 131.0 | 130.0 | 126.8 | 130.0 | 126.9 |
| 1993 | 129.2 | 130.7 | 129.2 | 130.8 | 127.2 | 128.5 | 127.2 | 128.6 |
| 1994 | 131.0 | 130.5 | 131.0 | 130.5 | 128.8 | 130.3 | 128.8 | 130.3 |
| 1995 | 132.7 | 132.9 | 132.7 | 132.9 | 130.9 | 132.0 | 130.9 | 132.0 |
| 1996 | 133.8 | 135.2 | 133.8 | 135.2 | 132.2 | 133.8 | 132.2 | 133.8 |
| 1997 | 138.1 | 137.6 | 138.1 | 137.6 | 136.2 | 135.6 | 136.2 | 135.6 |
| 1998 | 141.5 | 140.1 | 141.5 | 140.1 | 139.1 | 137.4 | 139.1 | 137.4 |
| 1999 | 141.5 | 142.6 | 141.5 | 142.6 | 138.6 | 139.3 | 138.6 | 139.2 |
| 2000 | 136.6 | 139.3 | 136.6 | 139.3 | 134.3 | 136.2 | 134.3 | 136.2 |
| 2001 | 138.9 | 136.1 | 138.9 | 136.1 | 135.9 | 133.1 | 135.9 | 133.2 |
| 2002 | 135.9 | 132.9 | 135.9 | 133.0 | 132.9 | 130.1 | 132.9 | 130.2 |
| 2003 | 127.1 | 129.8 | 127.1 | 130.0 | 124.3 | 127.2 | 124.3 | 127.4 |
| 2004 | 128.3 | 126.8 | 128.3 | 127.0 | 125.0 | 124.4 | 125.0 | 124.6 |
| 2005 | 126.7 | 127.3 | 126.7 | 127.4 | 124.5 | 124.7 | 124.5 | 124.8 |
| 2006 | 126.4 | 127.9 | 126.4 | 127.8 | 123.0 | 125.1 | 123.0 | 125.1 |
| 2007 | 128.4 | 128.4 | 128.3 | 128.2 | 126.3 | 125.5 | 126.2 | 125.3 |
| 2008 | 128.7 | 128.9 | 128.5 | 128.6 | 126.6 | 125.8 | 126.4 | 125.6 |
| 2009 | 131.3 | 129.4 | 131.0 | 129.0 | 128.2 | 126.2 | 127.9 | 125.8 |
| 2010 | 127.5 | 129.9 | 127.1 | 129.4 | 124.1 | 126.6 | 123.7 | 126.0 |
| 2011 | 131.0 | 130.4 | 130.5 | 129.8 | 127.7 | 127.0 | 127.2 | 126.3 |
| 2012 | 130.8 | 131.0 | 130.2 | 130.2 | 127.3 | 127.3 | 126.7 | 126.5 |
| 2013 | 131.8 | 131.5 | 131.0 | 130.6 | 127.9 | 127.7 | 127.1 | 126.8 |
| 2014 | 132.2 | 132.0 | 131.2 | 131.0 | 127.2 | 128.1 | 126.1 | 127.0 |
| 2015 | 132.6 | 132.5 | 131.1 | 131.4 | 129.0 | 128.5 | 127.4 | 127.3 |
Rates per 100,000 for Breast, White, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 107.4 | 105.9 | 107.4 | 105.9 | ||||
| 1976 | 104.8 | 105.4 | 104.8 | 105.4 | ||||
| 1977 | 103.3 | 104.9 | 103.3 | 104.9 | ||||
| 1978 | 103.6 | 104.4 | 103.6 | 104.4 | ||||
| 1979 | 104.7 | 103.9 | 104.7 | 103.9 | ||||
| 1980 | 105.1 | 103.4 | 105.1 | 103.4 | ||||
| 1981 | 109.9 | 107.6 | 109.9 | 107.6 | ||||
| 1982 | 109.9 | 112.0 | 109.9 | 112.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 114.4 | 116.6 | 114.4 | 116.6 | ||||
| 1984 | 119.9 | 121.4 | 119.9 | 121.4 | ||||
| 1985 | 127.8 | 126.4 | 127.8 | 126.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 130.4 | 131.5 | 130.4 | 131.5 | ||||
| 1987 | 140.3 | 136.9 | 140.3 | 136.9 | ||||
| 1988 | 136.3 | 136.6 | 136.3 | 136.6 | ||||
| 1989 | 132.4 | 136.3 | 132.4 | 136.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 136.3 | 135.9 | 136.3 | 135.9 | ||||
| 1991 | 138.9 | 135.6 | 138.9 | 135.6 | ||||
| 1992 | 135.7 | 135.3 | 135.7 | 135.3 | 134.4 | 131.2 | 134.4 | 131.2 |
| 1993 | 133.1 | 135.0 | 133.1 | 135.0 | 132.0 | 133.2 | 132.0 | 133.2 |
| 1994 | 135.7 | 134.6 | 135.7 | 134.7 | 134.1 | 135.2 | 134.1 | 135.2 |
| 1995 | 137.6 | 137.3 | 137.6 | 137.3 | 136.4 | 137.3 | 136.4 | 137.3 |
| 1996 | 138.3 | 140.1 | 138.3 | 140.0 | 137.2 | 139.4 | 137.2 | 139.4 |
| 1997 | 142.7 | 142.8 | 142.7 | 142.8 | 141.5 | 141.5 | 141.5 | 141.5 |
| 1998 | 146.6 | 145.7 | 146.6 | 145.6 | 144.9 | 143.7 | 144.9 | 143.6 |
| 1999 | 147.1 | 148.6 | 147.1 | 148.5 | 145.0 | 145.8 | 145.0 | 145.8 |
| 2000 | 143.0 | 145.0 | 143.0 | 145.0 | 140.8 | 142.4 | 140.8 | 142.4 |
| 2001 | 145.0 | 141.4 | 145.0 | 141.5 | 142.7 | 139.0 | 142.7 | 139.0 |
| 2002 | 141.3 | 138.0 | 141.3 | 138.1 | 138.8 | 135.6 | 138.8 | 135.7 |
| 2003 | 131.9 | 134.6 | 131.9 | 134.8 | 129.2 | 132.4 | 129.2 | 132.5 |
| 2004 | 132.1 | 131.3 | 132.1 | 131.5 | 129.2 | 129.2 | 129.2 | 129.4 |
| 2005 | 131.4 | 131.6 | 131.4 | 131.7 | 129.7 | 129.4 | 129.7 | 129.5 |
| 2006 | 130.5 | 132.0 | 130.5 | 131.9 | 127.6 | 129.6 | 127.6 | 129.6 |
| 2007 | 132.6 | 132.3 | 132.5 | 132.1 | 130.5 | 129.8 | 130.4 | 129.6 |
| 2008 | 131.8 | 132.6 | 131.6 | 132.3 | 130.2 | 130.0 | 130.1 | 129.7 |
| 2009 | 134.7 | 133.0 | 134.4 | 132.5 | 132.5 | 130.2 | 132.3 | 129.8 |
| 2010 | 131.2 | 133.3 | 130.8 | 132.7 | 127.9 | 130.4 | 127.6 | 129.9 |
| 2011 | 134.3 | 133.7 | 133.8 | 132.9 | 131.3 | 130.6 | 130.9 | 129.9 |
| 2012 | 133.4 | 134.0 | 132.7 | 133.1 | 130.4 | 130.8 | 129.9 | 130.0 |
| 2013 | 134.3 | 134.3 | 133.5 | 133.3 | 130.8 | 131.0 | 130.1 | 130.1 |
| 2014 | 134.9 | 134.7 | 133.7 | 133.5 | 130.3 | 131.1 | 129.2 | 130.2 |
| 2015 | 135.7 | 135.0 | 133.8 | 133.7 | 132.4 | 131.3 | 130.7 | 130.2 |
Rates per 100,000 for Breast, Black, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 93.6 | 90.6 | 93.6 | 84.2 | ||||
| 1976 | 85.7 | 89.2 | 85.7 | 86.1 | ||||
| 1977 | 87.1 | 87.9 | 87.1 | 88.1 | ||||
| 1978 | 86.1 | 86.5 | 86.1 | 90.1 | ||||
| 1979 | 86.9 | 85.2 | 86.9 | 92.2 | ||||
| 1980 | 89.5 | 89.0 | 89.5 | 94.3 | ||||
| 1981 | 94.3 | 92.9 | 94.3 | 96.4 | ||||
| 1982 | 93.6 | 97.0 | 93.6 | 98.6 | ||||
| 1983 | 103.8 | 101.3 | 103.8 | 100.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 102.4 | 105.8 | 102.4 | 103.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 111.8 | 110.5 | 111.8 | 105.5 | ||||
| 1986 | 115.3 | 115.4 | 115.3 | 107.9 | ||||
| 1987 | 109.6 | 115.9 | 109.6 | 110.4 | ||||
| 1988 | 119.0 | 116.4 | 119.0 | 112.9 | ||||
| 1989 | 105.3 | 116.9 | 105.3 | 115.4 | ||||
| 1990 | 118.9 | 117.5 | 118.9 | 118.1 | ||||
| 1991 | 117.7 | 118.0 | 117.7 | 120.8 | ||||
| 1992 | 124.2 | 118.6 | 124.2 | 121.1 | 122.2 | 120.6 | 122.2 | 121.5 |
| 1993 | 119.5 | 119.1 | 119.5 | 121.4 | 118.0 | 121.0 | 118.0 | 121.8 |
| 1994 | 122.9 | 119.6 | 122.9 | 121.7 | 122.5 | 121.5 | 122.5 | 122.1 |
| 1995 | 123.9 | 120.2 | 123.9 | 122.1 | 123.1 | 121.9 | 123.1 | 122.4 |
| 1996 | 124.5 | 120.7 | 124.5 | 122.4 | 124.2 | 122.3 | 124.2 | 122.7 |
| 1997 | 126.3 | 121.3 | 126.3 | 122.7 | 126.6 | 122.8 | 126.6 | 123.0 |
| 1998 | 126.2 | 121.9 | 126.2 | 123.1 | 126.7 | 123.2 | 126.7 | 123.3 |
| 1999 | 126.7 | 122.4 | 126.7 | 123.4 | 125.9 | 123.6 | 125.9 | 123.6 |
| 2000 | 119.2 | 123.0 | 119.2 | 123.7 | 123.2 | 124.1 | 123.2 | 123.9 |
| 2001 | 116.4 | 123.5 | 116.4 | 124.1 | 118.8 | 124.5 | 118.8 | 124.2 |
| 2002 | 124.3 | 124.1 | 124.3 | 124.4 | 124.5 | 125.0 | 124.5 | 124.5 |
| 2003 | 123.9 | 124.7 | 123.9 | 124.7 | 123.6 | 125.4 | 123.6 | 124.8 |
| 2004 | 124.4 | 125.2 | 124.4 | 125.1 | 124.5 | 125.9 | 124.5 | 125.1 |
| 2005 | 118.8 | 125.8 | 118.8 | 125.4 | 119.4 | 126.3 | 119.4 | 125.4 |
| 2006 | 125.6 | 126.4 | 125.6 | 125.7 | 125.0 | 126.8 | 125.0 | 125.7 |
| 2007 | 125.2 | 127.0 | 125.0 | 126.1 | 127.4 | 127.2 | 127.0 | 126.0 |
| 2008 | 129.1 | 127.5 | 128.5 | 126.4 | 127.1 | 127.7 | 126.4 | 126.3 |
| 2009 | 130.5 | 128.1 | 129.7 | 126.8 | 130.1 | 128.1 | 129.0 | 126.6 |
| 2010 | 123.8 | 128.7 | 122.8 | 127.1 | 125.3 | 128.6 | 123.9 | 126.9 |
| 2011 | 129.9 | 129.3 | 128.5 | 127.4 | 131.8 | 129.0 | 129.9 | 127.2 |
| 2012 | 135.0 | 129.9 | 133.3 | 127.8 | 133.9 | 129.5 | 131.7 | 127.5 |
| 2013 | 131.2 | 130.5 | 129.2 | 128.1 | 130.4 | 130.0 | 127.8 | 127.8 |
| 2014 | 130.0 | 131.1 | 127.5 | 128.5 | 129.9 | 130.4 | 126.8 | 128.1 |
| 2015 | 131.5 | 131.7 | 128.2 | 128.8 | 131.7 | 130.9 | 127.7 | 128.4 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Breast, Female, All Ages
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.3 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.2 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.3 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.2 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.1 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2015 | 1986-15 | 0.5* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2015 | 1991-15 | 0.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2015 | 1992-15 | 0.4* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2015 | 1992-15 | 0.2* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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