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Table 6.4
Cancer of the Colon (Invasive) and Cancer of the Rectum (Invasive)
Trends in SEER 9 Observed Incidencea Using the Joinpoint Regression Program,
1975-2015 With up to Five Joinpoints,
By Race and Sex
SEER 9 Observed Incidencea for Cancer of the Colon, 1975-2015
| Race | Sex | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPCb | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2011-15 | ||
| All Races | Both Sexes | 1975-85 | 1.1* | 1985-95 | -1.6* | 1995-00 | 0.0 | 2000-08 | -2.7* | 2008-11 | -4.8* | 2011-15 | -1.6* | -1.6* |
| Male | 1975-85 | 1.7* | 1985-02 | -1.5* | 2002-15 | -3.4* | -3.4* | |||||||
| Female | 1975-85 | 0.6* | 1985-93 | -1.8* | 1993-01 | -0.2 | 2001-15 | -2.9* | -2.9* | |||||
| White | Both Sexes | 1975-85 | 1.1* | 1985-95 | -1.9* | 1995-98 | 1.4 | 1998-08 | -2.5* | 2008-11 | -5.4* | 2011-15 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
| Male | 1975-86 | 1.6* | 1986-95 | -2.2* | 1995-98 | 1.0 | 1998-08 | -3.0* | 2008-11 | -5.5* | 2011-15 | -1.8* | -1.8* | |
| Female | 1975-85 | 0.6* | 1985-93 | -2.1* | 1993-01 | -0.2 | 2001-15 | -2.9* | -2.9* | |||||
| Black | Both Sexes | 1975-80 | 3.4* | 1980-02 | 0.0 | 2002-15 | -3.2* | -3.2* | ||||||
| Male | 1975-85 | 2.2* | 1985-02 | -0.2 | 2002-15 | -3.2* | -3.2* | |||||||
| Female | 1975-03 | 0.0 | 2003-15 | -3.7* | -3.7* | |||||||||
SEER 9 Observed Incidencea for Cancer of the Rectum, 1975-2015
| Race | Sex | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPCb | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2011-15 | ||
| All Races | Both Sexes | 1975-87 | -0.3 | 1987-95 | -2.4* | 1995-98 | 2.4 | 1998-15 | -2.2* | -2.2* | ||||
| Male | 1975-89 | -0.3 | 1989-94 | -3.6* | 1994-98 | 1.5 | 1998-15 | -2.4* | -2.4* | |||||
| Female | 1975-84 | -0.2 | 1984-95 | -2.2* | 1995-98 | 2.3 | 1998-15 | -2.0* | -2.0* | |||||
| White | Both Sexes | 1975-85 | -0.1 | 1985-95 | -2.3* | 1995-98 | 2.1 | 1998-15 | -2.5* | -2.5* | ||||
| Male | 1975-89 | -0.3 | 1989-94 | -4.0* | 1994-98 | 1.7 | 1998-15 | -2.7* | -2.7* | |||||
| Female | 1975-84 | -0.2 | 1984-95 | -2.3* | 1995-98 | 2.1 | 1998-15 | -2.3* | -2.3* | |||||
| Black | Both Sexes | 1975-08 | 0.0 | 2008-15 | -3.9* | -3.9* | ||||||||
| Male | 1975-07 | 0.1 | 2007-15 | -3.1* | -3.1* | |||||||||
| Female | 1975-09 | -0.1 | 2009-15 | -5.3* | -5.3* | |||||||||
Footnotes:
Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute. (https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/).
The APC is the Annual Percent Change based on rates age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1130).
a Trends are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, and Atlanta).
b The AAPC is the Average Annual Percent Change and is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint.
* The APC/AAPC is significantly different from zero (p<.05).
- Joinpoint regression line analysis could not be performed on data series.
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