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Figure 15.3
Figure 15.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 435.0 | 445.4 | 435.0 | 445.4 | 374.5 | 379.0 |
| 1976 | 460.4 | 455.0 | 460.4 | 455.0 | 388.6 | 388.3 |
| 1977 | 476.3 | 464.9 | 476.3 | 464.9 | 401.2 | 397.9 |
| 1978 | 476.1 | 475.0 | 476.1 | 475.0 | 410.4 | 407.7 |
| 1979 | 478.6 | 485.3 | 478.6 | 485.3 | 418.2 | 417.7 |
| 1980 | 493.6 | 495.8 | 493.6 | 495.8 | 430.0 | 428.0 |
| 1981 | 502.7 | 506.6 | 502.7 | 506.6 | 433.7 | 438.6 |
| 1982 | 516.8 | 508.0 | 516.8 | 508.0 | 447.8 | 449.4 |
| 1983 | 507.0 | 509.3 | 507.0 | 509.4 | 453.7 | 453.6 |
| 1984 | 520.9 | 510.7 | 520.9 | 510.7 | 458.0 | 457.8 |
| 1985 | 493.0 | 512.1 | 493.0 | 512.1 | 461.9 | 462.1 |
| 1986 | 506.7 | 513.5 | 506.7 | 513.5 | 467.1 | 466.5 |
| 1987 | 531.8 | 514.9 | 531.8 | 514.9 | 474.0 | 470.9 |
| 1988 | 511.2 | 516.3 | 511.2 | 516.3 | 475.4 | 475.3 |
| 1989 | 520.9 | 517.7 | 520.9 | 517.7 | 478.5 | 479.8 |
| 1990 | 519.4 | 519.1 | 519.4 | 519.1 | 486.1 | 484.3 |
| 1991 | 523.0 | 520.5 | 523.0 | 520.5 | 488.3 | 488.8 |
| 1992 | 526.4 | 521.9 | 526.4 | 521.9 | 482.1 | 484.9 |
| 1993 | 519.3 | 516.0 | 519.3 | 516.0 | 481.5 | 481.1 |
| 1994 | 506.8 | 510.1 | 506.8 | 510.1 | 476.0 | 477.3 |
| 1995 | 498.7 | 504.3 | 498.7 | 504.3 | 476.0 | 473.5 |
| 1996 | 492.5 | 498.6 | 492.5 | 498.5 | 468.8 | 469.7 |
| 1997 | 482.7 | 492.9 | 482.7 | 492.9 | 467.7 | 466.0 |
| 1998 | 500.2 | 487.3 | 500.2 | 487.3 | 462.3 | 459.5 |
| 1999 | 480.3 | 481.7 | 480.3 | 481.7 | 446.6 | 453.2 |
| 2000 | 468.1 | 476.2 | 468.1 | 476.2 | 446.9 | 446.9 |
| 2001 | 468.4 | 470.8 | 468.4 | 470.8 | 442.6 | 440.7 |
| 2002 | 472.0 | 465.4 | 472.0 | 465.5 | 435.6 | 434.6 |
| 2003 | 473.8 | 460.1 | 473.8 | 460.2 | 427.9 | 428.6 |
| 2004 | 450.2 | 454.9 | 450.2 | 454.9 | 420.4 | 422.7 |
| 2005 | 451.3 | 449.7 | 451.3 | 449.8 | 418.4 | 416.8 |
| 2006 | 437.8 | 444.6 | 437.8 | 444.6 | 408.2 | 407.1 |
| 2007 | 440.8 | 439.5 | 440.6 | 439.6 | 397.2 | 397.7 |
| 2008 | 436.5 | 434.5 | 435.9 | 434.6 | 389.8 | 388.4 |
| 2009 | 428.0 | 429.5 | 427.2 | 429.6 | 377.0 | 379.4 |
| 2010 | 421.5 | 416.5 | 420.6 | 415.6 | 370.3 | 370.5 |
| 2011 | 400.4 | 403.9 | 399.1 | 401.9 | 356.5 | 357.1 |
| 2012 | 388.4 | 391.6 | 386.9 | 388.7 | 346.5 | 344.2 |
| 2013 | 374.2 | 379.7 | 372.0 | 376.0 | 331.9 | 331.7 |
| 2014 | 376.8 | 368.2 | 373.1 | 363.6 | 320.7 | 319.7 |
| 2015 | 355.3 | 357.0 | 347.4 | 351.7 | 306.5 | 308.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 447.3 | 477.8 | 447.3 | 478.1 | 345.2 | 349.6 |
| 1976 | 542.7 | 495.7 | 542.7 | 495.9 | 364.0 | 366.8 |
| 1977 | 490.3 | 514.2 | 490.3 | 514.3 | 399.0 | 384.9 |
| 1978 | 530.2 | 533.4 | 530.2 | 533.5 | 400.0 | 403.8 |
| 1979 | 506.9 | 553.4 | 506.9 | 553.3 | 417.6 | 423.7 |
| 1980 | 649.9 | 574.1 | 649.9 | 573.9 | 449.6 | 444.6 |
| 1981 | 614.5 | 595.6 | 614.5 | 595.3 | 464.9 | 466.5 |
| 1982 | 574.0 | 617.8 | 574.0 | 617.4 | 486.1 | 482.8 |
| 1983 | 647.1 | 640.9 | 647.1 | 640.4 | 494.4 | 499.7 |
| 1984 | 670.0 | 664.9 | 670.0 | 664.2 | 523.1 | 517.2 |
| 1985 | 653.4 | 665.1 | 653.4 | 664.6 | 528.7 | 535.4 |
| 1986 | 710.0 | 665.2 | 710.0 | 664.9 | 550.3 | 554.1 |
| 1987 | 648.9 | 665.4 | 648.9 | 665.3 | 579.6 | 573.5 |
| 1988 | 647.9 | 665.6 | 647.9 | 665.6 | 591.5 | 593.6 |
| 1989 | 637.3 | 665.7 | 637.3 | 666.0 | 602.0 | 597.7 |
| 1990 | 645.0 | 665.9 | 645.0 | 666.4 | 596.3 | 601.8 |
| 1991 | 655.2 | 666.0 | 655.2 | 666.7 | 611.2 | 605.9 |
| 1992 | 720.4 | 666.2 | 720.4 | 667.1 | 602.5 | 610.1 |
| 1993 | 661.0 | 666.4 | 661.0 | 667.4 | 624.3 | 614.3 |
| 1994 | 644.1 | 666.5 | 644.1 | 667.8 | 614.9 | 618.5 |
| 1995 | 703.4 | 666.7 | 703.4 | 668.1 | 606.0 | 607.0 |
| 1996 | 643.9 | 666.8 | 643.9 | 668.5 | 592.2 | 595.8 |
| 1997 | 667.2 | 667.0 | 667.2 | 668.8 | 588.9 | 584.8 |
| 1998 | 684.9 | 653.1 | 684.9 | 654.4 | 575.5 | 573.9 |
| 1999 | 625.1 | 639.5 | 625.1 | 640.3 | 561.0 | 563.3 |
| 2000 | 570.0 | 626.2 | 570.0 | 626.4 | 551.0 | 552.9 |
| 2001 | 600.9 | 613.2 | 600.9 | 612.9 | 552.1 | 542.6 |
| 2002 | 607.3 | 600.4 | 607.3 | 599.7 | 519.8 | 527.8 |
| 2003 | 621.7 | 587.9 | 621.7 | 586.8 | 512.8 | 513.4 |
| 2004 | 573.1 | 575.7 | 573.1 | 574.1 | 497.8 | 499.4 |
| 2005 | 529.5 | 563.7 | 529.5 | 561.7 | 483.5 | 485.7 |
| 2006 | 549.8 | 552.0 | 549.8 | 549.6 | 470.5 | 472.5 |
| 2007 | 550.5 | 540.5 | 549.8 | 537.7 | 468.4 | 459.6 |
| 2008 | 575.2 | 529.2 | 573.8 | 526.1 | 448.5 | 447.0 |
| 2009 | 549.4 | 518.2 | 547.6 | 514.8 | 432.9 | 434.8 |
| 2010 | 487.5 | 507.4 | 485.3 | 503.7 | 422.8 | 422.9 |
| 2011 | 492.3 | 496.9 | 489.5 | 492.8 | 406.6 | 411.4 |
| 2012 | 506.7 | 486.5 | 503.1 | 482.2 | 401.4 | 400.2 |
| 2013 | 477.9 | 476.4 | 473.7 | 471.8 | 383.3 | 382.0 |
| 2014 | 438.1 | 466.5 | 432.0 | 461.6 | 366.8 | 364.6 |
| 2015 | 446.7 | 456.8 | 435.4 | 451.6 | 346.3 | 348.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 83.2 | 87.4 | 83.2 | 86.6 | 64.6 | 65.0 |
| 1976 | 95.2 | 93.6 | 95.2 | 92.9 | 72.2 | 70.6 |
| 1977 | 99.7 | 100.2 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 76.2 | 76.8 |
| 1978 | 100.2 | 107.3 | 100.2 | 106.9 | 83.1 | 83.4 |
| 1979 | 117.3 | 114.9 | 117.3 | 114.7 | 88.9 | 90.6 |
| 1980 | 124.0 | 123.0 | 124.0 | 123.1 | 99.1 | 98.5 |
| 1981 | 135.8 | 131.7 | 135.8 | 132.0 | 103.9 | 104.8 |
| 1982 | 147.6 | 141.0 | 147.6 | 141.7 | 111.4 | 111.6 |
| 1983 | 152.3 | 151.0 | 152.3 | 152.0 | 120.3 | 118.9 |
| 1984 | 165.4 | 161.7 | 165.4 | 163.0 | 127.3 | 126.5 |
| 1985 | 167.6 | 173.1 | 167.6 | 174.9 | 136.0 | 134.7 |
| 1986 | 181.6 | 185.3 | 181.6 | 187.6 | 144.0 | 143.5 |
| 1987 | 201.1 | 198.4 | 201.1 | 201.3 | 151.8 | 152.8 |
| 1988 | 211.1 | 212.4 | 211.1 | 208.5 | 160.4 | 162.7 |
| 1989 | 215.2 | 219.2 | 215.2 | 216.0 | 173.2 | 173.2 |
| 1990 | 224.5 | 226.2 | 224.5 | 223.7 | 180.3 | 180.4 |
| 1991 | 235.0 | 233.4 | 235.0 | 231.7 | 188.2 | 187.8 |
| 1992 | 243.3 | 240.8 | 243.3 | 240.1 | 197.3 | 195.6 |
| 1993 | 249.2 | 248.5 | 249.2 | 248.7 | 204.6 | 203.7 |
| 1994 | 255.2 | 256.4 | 255.2 | 257.6 | 209.6 | 212.1 |
| 1995 | 264.3 | 264.5 | 264.3 | 266.8 | 214.9 | 215.4 |
| 1996 | 272.7 | 272.9 | 272.7 | 276.4 | 219.0 | 218.9 |
| 1997 | 284.9 | 281.6 | 284.9 | 286.3 | 224.7 | 222.3 |
| 1998 | 289.8 | 290.6 | 289.8 | 284.9 | 227.8 | 225.9 |
| 1999 | 288.4 | 288.0 | 288.4 | 283.6 | 225.5 | 229.4 |
| 2000 | 278.0 | 285.5 | 278.0 | 282.3 | 233.9 | 233.1 |
| 2001 | 286.6 | 282.9 | 286.6 | 287.7 | 234.4 | 236.8 |
| 2002 | 289.4 | 290.4 | 289.4 | 293.3 | 240.8 | 240.5 |
| 2003 | 305.0 | 298.1 | 305.0 | 298.9 | 240.4 | 240.2 |
| 2004 | 299.2 | 306.0 | 299.2 | 304.7 | 240.4 | 240.0 |
| 2005 | 316.7 | 314.1 | 316.7 | 310.6 | 240.6 | 239.7 |
| 2006 | 317.2 | 322.4 | 317.2 | 316.6 | 239.9 | 239.4 |
| 2007 | 324.5 | 318.7 | 324.3 | 322.7 | 241.3 | 239.1 |
| 2008 | 312.4 | 315.0 | 312.0 | 317.7 | 238.6 | 238.8 |
| 2009 | 313.5 | 311.3 | 312.9 | 312.8 | 236.7 | 238.5 |
| 2010 | 308.9 | 307.7 | 308.2 | 308.0 | 233.0 | 233.3 |
| 2011 | 302.5 | 304.1 | 301.7 | 303.3 | 227.6 | 228.1 |
| 2012 | 298.0 | 300.6 | 297.0 | 298.6 | 223.6 | 223.1 |
| 2013 | 298.1 | 297.1 | 296.4 | 294.0 | 217.8 | 218.2 |
| 2014 | 297.9 | 293.6 | 295.0 | 289.4 | 213.8 | 213.3 |
| 2015 | 286.7 | 290.2 | 280.6 | 285.0 | 208.4 | 208.6 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 79.3 | 83.7 | 79.3 | 83.7 | 58.4 | 57.4 |
| 1976 | 71.7 | 89.1 | 71.7 | 89.1 | 61.3 | 61.3 |
| 1977 | 120.2 | 94.8 | 120.2 | 94.8 | 60.8 | 65.6 |
| 1978 | 107.7 | 100.9 | 107.7 | 100.9 | 68.9 | 70.1 |
| 1979 | 104.0 | 107.4 | 104.0 | 107.4 | 73.3 | 75.0 |
| 1980 | 121.7 | 114.3 | 121.7 | 114.3 | 84.0 | 80.2 |
| 1981 | 122.3 | 121.7 | 122.3 | 121.7 | 83.6 | 85.7 |
| 1982 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 93.1 | 91.7 |
| 1983 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 105.7 | 98.0 |
| 1984 | 134.7 | 146.7 | 134.7 | 146.6 | 101.8 | 104.8 |
| 1985 | 159.3 | 156.1 | 159.3 | 156.1 | 111.2 | 112.0 |
| 1986 | 178.1 | 166.1 | 178.1 | 166.1 | 120.4 | 119.8 |
| 1987 | 151.7 | 176.8 | 151.7 | 176.8 | 126.8 | 128.1 |
| 1988 | 178.9 | 188.2 | 178.9 | 188.1 | 137.6 | 137.0 |
| 1989 | 200.6 | 200.3 | 200.6 | 200.2 | 149.4 | 146.4 |
| 1990 | 206.7 | 213.2 | 206.7 | 213.1 | 154.3 | 156.6 |
| 1991 | 252.5 | 226.9 | 252.5 | 226.8 | 166.8 | 167.4 |
| 1992 | 246.8 | 231.7 | 246.8 | 231.6 | 173.2 | 172.7 |
| 1993 | 225.7 | 236.6 | 225.7 | 236.5 | 176.0 | 178.2 |
| 1994 | 237.9 | 241.6 | 237.9 | 241.6 | 185.4 | 183.8 |
| 1995 | 221.5 | 246.8 | 221.5 | 246.8 | 187.3 | 189.6 |
| 1996 | 255.2 | 252.0 | 255.2 | 252.0 | 194.7 | 195.5 |
| 1997 | 233.3 | 257.4 | 233.3 | 257.4 | 203.3 | 201.7 |
| 1998 | 280.2 | 262.8 | 280.2 | 262.9 | 204.5 | 203.0 |
| 1999 | 289.0 | 268.4 | 289.0 | 268.5 | 206.7 | 204.4 |
| 2000 | 270.0 | 274.1 | 270.0 | 274.3 | 203.4 | 205.7 |
| 2001 | 281.8 | 279.9 | 281.8 | 280.1 | 202.2 | 207.0 |
| 2002 | 314.7 | 285.9 | 314.7 | 286.1 | 209.2 | 208.4 |
| 2003 | 278.2 | 291.9 | 278.2 | 292.2 | 212.3 | 209.7 |
| 2004 | 285.6 | 298.1 | 285.6 | 298.5 | 213.5 | 211.1 |
| 2005 | 299.2 | 304.5 | 299.2 | 304.8 | 213.6 | 212.5 |
| 2006 | 314.5 | 310.9 | 314.5 | 311.4 | 207.7 | 209.8 |
| 2007 | 289.1 | 306.6 | 288.7 | 306.4 | 207.8 | 207.2 |
| 2008 | 310.7 | 302.4 | 310.0 | 301.5 | 204.3 | 204.6 |
| 2009 | 304.5 | 298.2 | 303.5 | 296.8 | 195.7 | 202.1 |
| 2010 | 290.8 | 294.0 | 289.4 | 292.0 | 203.5 | 199.5 |
| 2011 | 281.3 | 289.9 | 279.8 | 287.4 | 197.5 | 197.0 |
| 2012 | 308.2 | 285.9 | 306.1 | 282.8 | 195.0 | 194.6 |
| 2013 | 281.7 | 281.9 | 279.0 | 278.4 | 191.7 | 192.1 |
| 2014 | 270.3 | 278.0 | 266.6 | 273.9 | 184.1 | 183.3 |
| 2015 | 270.5 | 274.2 | 263.6 | 269.6 | 174.4 | 174.8 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Lung and Bronchus, Ages 65+, 1975-2015
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-15 | -3.0* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-15 | -3.3* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2010-15 | -3.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1997-15 | -2.1* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1997-15 | -2.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2012-15 | -4.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2006-15 | -1.2* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2007-15 | -1.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2009-15 | -2.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2006-15 | -1.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2006-15 | -1.6* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2013-15 | -4.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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