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Figure 23.2
Figure 23.2
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Prostate, by Age and Race
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 13.0 | 12.9 | 13.0 | 12.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1976 | 13.9 | 13.4 | 13.9 | 13.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| 1977 | 14.4 | 13.8 | 14.4 | 13.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1978 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1979 | 14.7 | 14.8 | 14.7 | 14.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1980 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1981 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1982 | 15.8 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1983 | 16.6 | 17.0 | 16.6 | 17.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1984 | 16.2 | 17.6 | 16.2 | 17.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1985 | 17.7 | 18.3 | 17.7 | 18.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 1986 | 18.3 | 18.9 | 18.3 | 18.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 1987 | 21.1 | 19.6 | 21.1 | 19.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1988 | 22.3 | 20.3 | 22.3 | 20.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1989 | 24.1 | 24.9 | 24.1 | 24.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1990 | 29.0 | 30.7 | 29.0 | 30.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1991 | 39.4 | 37.7 | 39.4 | 37.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1992 | 49.5 | 46.4 | 49.5 | 46.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1993 | 49.0 | 47.9 | 49.0 | 47.9 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1994 | 46.9 | 49.3 | 46.9 | 49.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| 1995 | 48.2 | 50.9 | 48.2 | 50.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| 1996 | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.1 | 52.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| 1997 | 54.0 | 54.1 | 54.0 | 54.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1998 | 53.1 | 55.8 | 53.1 | 55.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1999 | 58.9 | 57.5 | 58.9 | 57.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 2000 | 59.8 | 59.3 | 59.8 | 59.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 2001 | 62.7 | 61.1 | 62.7 | 61.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 2002 | 64.1 | 61.1 | 64.1 | 61.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 2003 | 59.8 | 61.1 | 59.8 | 61.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 2004 | 60.6 | 61.1 | 60.6 | 61.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 2005 | 55.5 | 61.1 | 55.5 | 61.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 2006 | 62.7 | 61.1 | 62.7 | 61.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| 2007 | 64.1 | 61.1 | 64.0 | 61.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2008 | 60.3 | 61.1 | 60.1 | 60.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2009 | 60.6 | 61.0 | 60.2 | 60.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 2010 | 57.0 | 56.3 | 56.5 | 55.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2011 | 55.4 | 51.9 | 54.8 | 51.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 2012 | 43.8 | 47.8 | 43.3 | 47.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2013 | 42.5 | 44.1 | 41.7 | 43.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2014 | 39.5 | 40.6 | 38.5 | 39.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2015 | 39.9 | 37.4 | 38.3 | 36.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 26.8 | 27.9 | 26.8 | 27.9 | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| 1976 | 29.5 | 28.5 | 29.5 | 28.5 | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| 1977 | 29.2 | 29.1 | 29.2 | 29.1 | 6.9 | 6.7 |
| 1978 | 26.8 | 29.7 | 26.8 | 29.7 | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| 1979 | 26.4 | 30.3 | 26.4 | 30.3 | 6.6 | 6.7 |
| 1980 | 33.8 | 30.9 | 33.8 | 30.9 | 6.6 | 6.8 |
| 1981 | 34.7 | 31.5 | 34.7 | 31.5 | 7.1 | 6.8 |
| 1982 | 31.5 | 32.2 | 31.5 | 32.2 | 6.6 | 6.9 |
| 1983 | 34.0 | 32.8 | 34.0 | 32.8 | 7.0 | 6.9 |
| 1984 | 37.2 | 33.5 | 37.2 | 33.5 | 6.7 | 6.9 |
| 1985 | 31.6 | 34.2 | 31.6 | 34.2 | 7.2 | 7.0 |
| 1986 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 6.6 | 7.0 |
| 1987 | 36.1 | 35.6 | 36.1 | 35.6 | 6.7 | 7.1 |
| 1988 | 34.9 | 36.3 | 34.9 | 36.3 | 7.0 | 7.1 |
| 1989 | 37.4 | 37.0 | 37.4 | 37.1 | 7.1 | 7.1 |
| 1990 | 45.0 | 46.8 | 45.0 | 46.7 | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| 1991 | 57.5 | 59.0 | 57.5 | 59.0 | 7.1 | 7.2 |
| 1992 | 78.8 | 74.5 | 78.8 | 74.4 | 7.7 | 7.3 |
| 1993 | 95.5 | 94.0 | 95.5 | 93.9 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| 1994 | 96.2 | 96.7 | 96.2 | 96.6 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
| 1995 | 100.7 | 99.4 | 100.7 | 99.4 | 6.7 | 6.6 |
| 1996 | 101.2 | 102.3 | 101.2 | 102.3 | 6.5 | 6.4 |
| 1997 | 98.9 | 105.2 | 98.9 | 105.3 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| 1998 | 105.0 | 108.2 | 105.0 | 108.4 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| 1999 | 114.1 | 111.3 | 114.1 | 111.5 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| 2000 | 116.7 | 114.5 | 116.7 | 114.8 | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| 2001 | 115.9 | 114.4 | 115.9 | 114.5 | 5.3 | 5.5 |
| 2002 | 118.5 | 114.3 | 118.5 | 114.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| 2003 | 117.4 | 114.2 | 117.4 | 114.1 | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| 2004 | 107.7 | 114.1 | 107.7 | 113.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| 2005 | 107.9 | 114.0 | 107.9 | 113.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| 2006 | 110.7 | 113.9 | 110.7 | 113.4 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| 2007 | 121.1 | 113.8 | 120.6 | 113.1 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| 2008 | 113.0 | 113.7 | 111.9 | 112.9 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| 2009 | 112.5 | 113.6 | 111.0 | 112.7 | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| 2010 | 108.2 | 107.5 | 106.3 | 105.8 | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| 2011 | 107.0 | 101.7 | 104.6 | 99.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| 2012 | 94.1 | 96.2 | 91.6 | 93.3 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| 2013 | 88.8 | 91.0 | 85.9 | 87.6 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| 2014 | 79.6 | 86.1 | 76.5 | 82.3 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| 2015 | 86.9 | 81.4 | 81.9 | 77.3 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 639.3 | 631.2 | 639.3 | 631.2 | 214.9 | 218.2 |
| 1976 | 674.0 | 648.3 | 674.0 | 648.3 | 220.8 | 220.0 |
| 1977 | 680.6 | 665.8 | 680.6 | 665.8 | 220.6 | 221.7 |
| 1978 | 671.0 | 683.8 | 671.0 | 683.8 | 226.8 | 223.4 |
| 1979 | 708.0 | 702.2 | 708.0 | 702.2 | 228.2 | 225.2 |
| 1980 | 729.2 | 721.2 | 729.2 | 721.2 | 227.4 | 227.0 |
| 1981 | 743.2 | 740.6 | 743.2 | 740.6 | 227.5 | 228.7 |
| 1982 | 740.0 | 760.6 | 740.0 | 760.6 | 229.8 | 230.5 |
| 1983 | 762.1 | 781.2 | 762.1 | 781.2 | 233.2 | 232.4 |
| 1984 | 759.1 | 802.3 | 759.1 | 802.3 | 233.5 | 234.2 |
| 1985 | 784.8 | 823.9 | 784.8 | 823.9 | 231.3 | 236.0 |
| 1986 | 815.5 | 846.2 | 815.5 | 846.2 | 239.7 | 237.9 |
| 1987 | 919.1 | 869.0 | 919.1 | 869.0 | 241.3 | 239.7 |
| 1988 | 943.9 | 892.5 | 943.9 | 892.5 | 247.1 | 247.4 |
| 1989 | 990.2 | 1025.9 | 990.2 | 1025.9 | 255.2 | 255.3 |
| 1990 | 1167.8 | 1179.1 | 1167.8 | 1179.2 | 264.0 | 263.5 |
| 1991 | 1441.1 | 1355.3 | 1441.1 | 1355.4 | 271.4 | 271.9 |
| 1992 | 1546.1 | 1557.8 | 1546.1 | 1557.9 | 270.3 | 270.6 |
| 1993 | 1281.5 | 1313.0 | 1281.5 | 1312.9 | 270.8 | 269.3 |
| 1994 | 1056.4 | 1106.7 | 1056.4 | 1106.5 | 266.0 | 268.0 |
| 1995 | 970.8 | 932.7 | 970.8 | 932.5 | 256.9 | 256.3 |
| 1996 | 950.1 | 948.5 | 950.1 | 948.5 | 246.4 | 245.2 |
| 1997 | 975.1 | 964.6 | 975.1 | 964.8 | 234.6 | 234.5 |
| 1998 | 960.3 | 980.9 | 960.3 | 981.3 | 223.4 | 224.3 |
| 1999 | 1014.1 | 997.6 | 1014.1 | 998.1 | 216.9 | 216.5 |
| 2000 | 1009.4 | 1014.4 | 1009.4 | 1015.2 | 208.3 | 208.9 |
| 2001 | 1016.7 | 987.8 | 1016.7 | 988.1 | 202.1 | 201.7 |
| 2002 | 982.3 | 961.8 | 982.3 | 961.7 | 197.5 | 194.6 |
| 2003 | 906.1 | 936.5 | 906.1 | 936.0 | 187.0 | 187.9 |
| 2004 | 870.0 | 911.9 | 870.0 | 911.0 | 179.5 | 181.3 |
| 2005 | 822.2 | 887.9 | 822.2 | 886.6 | 174.2 | 175.0 |
| 2006 | 902.7 | 864.5 | 902.7 | 862.9 | 165.8 | 168.9 |
| 2007 | 912.7 | 841.8 | 910.3 | 839.9 | 165.6 | 163.1 |
| 2008 | 806.1 | 819.6 | 801.9 | 817.4 | 158.3 | 157.4 |
| 2009 | 787.7 | 798.1 | 781.5 | 795.6 | 151.1 | 151.9 |
| 2010 | 758.0 | 740.3 | 750.1 | 733.5 | 148.6 | 146.6 |
| 2011 | 717.7 | 686.6 | 708.5 | 676.3 | 142.7 | 141.5 |
| 2012 | 584.1 | 636.9 | 575.2 | 623.5 | 133.5 | 136.6 |
| 2013 | 562.4 | 590.7 | 550.5 | 574.9 | 132.5 | 131.8 |
| 2014 | 517.4 | 547.9 | 502.0 | 530.0 | 131.8 | 131.2 |
| 2015 | 559.6 | 508.2 | 532.9 | 488.7 | 130.4 | 130.7 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 931.2 | 950.0 | 931.2 | 949.9 | 394.0 | 386.2 |
| 1976 | 910.9 | 969.1 | 910.9 | 969.1 | 392.2 | 395.2 |
| 1977 | 1057.2 | 988.7 | 1057.2 | 988.6 | 398.7 | 404.4 |
| 1978 | 986.4 | 1008.6 | 986.4 | 1008.6 | 416.1 | 413.8 |
| 1979 | 1098.9 | 1028.9 | 1098.9 | 1028.9 | 422.9 | 423.4 |
| 1980 | 1041.4 | 1049.7 | 1041.4 | 1049.7 | 445.0 | 433.3 |
| 1981 | 1041.9 | 1070.8 | 1041.9 | 1070.9 | 454.4 | 443.4 |
| 1982 | 1109.8 | 1092.4 | 1109.8 | 1092.5 | 447.7 | 453.7 |
| 1983 | 1118.4 | 1114.5 | 1118.4 | 1114.5 | 462.5 | 464.3 |
| 1984 | 1158.1 | 1136.9 | 1158.1 | 1137.0 | 475.1 | 475.1 |
| 1985 | 1130.0 | 1159.9 | 1130.0 | 1159.9 | 482.7 | 486.1 |
| 1986 | 1098.3 | 1183.3 | 1098.3 | 1183.3 | 487.4 | 497.4 |
| 1987 | 1249.5 | 1207.1 | 1249.5 | 1207.2 | 499.0 | 509.0 |
| 1988 | 1263.8 | 1231.5 | 1263.8 | 1231.5 | 502.3 | 520.9 |
| 1989 | 1259.3 | 1256.3 | 1259.3 | 1256.4 | 518.5 | 533.0 |
| 1990 | 1450.9 | 1511.2 | 1450.9 | 1510.9 | 565.6 | 545.4 |
| 1991 | 1894.1 | 1817.7 | 1894.1 | 1817.1 | 570.2 | 558.1 |
| 1992 | 2074.2 | 2186.5 | 2074.2 | 2185.2 | 578.7 | 571.1 |
| 1993 | 2090.0 | 1990.5 | 2090.0 | 1991.4 | 599.1 | 584.3 |
| 1994 | 1832.8 | 1812.0 | 1832.8 | 1814.8 | 585.9 | 597.9 |
| 1995 | 1567.0 | 1649.5 | 1567.0 | 1653.8 | 572.5 | 581.5 |
| 1996 | 1563.6 | 1613.8 | 1563.6 | 1616.9 | 579.2 | 565.4 |
| 1997 | 1598.0 | 1578.9 | 1598.0 | 1580.9 | 544.2 | 549.9 |
| 1998 | 1585.1 | 1544.8 | 1585.1 | 1545.6 | 532.4 | 534.7 |
| 1999 | 1555.1 | 1511.3 | 1555.1 | 1511.1 | 514.8 | 520.0 |
| 2000 | 1534.1 | 1478.7 | 1534.1 | 1477.4 | 507.8 | 505.6 |
| 2001 | 1410.4 | 1446.7 | 1410.4 | 1444.4 | 499.7 | 491.7 |
| 2002 | 1496.3 | 1415.4 | 1496.3 | 1412.2 | 477.8 | 478.2 |
| 2003 | 1286.3 | 1384.8 | 1286.3 | 1380.7 | 441.0 | 457.2 |
| 2004 | 1330.2 | 1354.8 | 1330.2 | 1349.9 | 433.7 | 437.3 |
| 2005 | 1278.6 | 1325.5 | 1278.6 | 1319.8 | 417.8 | 418.1 |
| 2006 | 1282.2 | 1296.9 | 1282.2 | 1290.3 | 393.5 | 399.8 |
| 2007 | 1308.0 | 1268.8 | 1301.4 | 1261.5 | 403.0 | 382.4 |
| 2008 | 1261.7 | 1241.4 | 1249.1 | 1233.4 | 357.6 | 365.6 |
| 2009 | 1202.5 | 1214.5 | 1184.6 | 1205.9 | 359.7 | 349.7 |
| 2010 | 1129.2 | 1118.4 | 1106.8 | 1101.2 | 350.0 | 334.4 |
| 2011 | 1057.9 | 1030.0 | 1031.9 | 1005.5 | 318.6 | 319.7 |
| 2012 | 905.4 | 948.5 | 878.1 | 918.2 | 302.7 | 305.8 |
| 2013 | 893.6 | 873.5 | 860.6 | 838.5 | 282.4 | 292.4 |
| 2014 | 762.4 | 804.4 | 730.2 | 765.7 | 273.3 | 279.6 |
| 2015 | 769.0 | 740.7 | 720.9 | 699.2 | 270.5 | 267.4 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Prostate, Male, 1975-2015
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages <65 | 2009-15 | -7.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages <65 | 2009-15 | -8.3* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Ages <65 | 2001-15 | -1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <65 | 2009-15 | -5.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <65 | 2009-15 | -6.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages <65 | 2006-15 | -2.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages 65+ | 2009-15 | -7.2* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages 65+ | 2009-15 | -7.8* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Ages 65+ | 2013-15 | -0.4 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 65+ | 2009-15 | -7.9* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 65+ | 2009-15 | -8.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages 65+ | 2002-15 | -4.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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