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Figure 23.3
Figure 23.3
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Prostate, Males
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2015 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 1992-2015
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Observed SEER Incidence, Male, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd 1992-2015 | Hispanicd 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 141.1 | 143.9 | ||||||
| 1976 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 140.9 | 146.9 | ||||||
| 1977 | 98.6 | 96.2 | 159.2 | 150.0 | ||||||
| 1978 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 148.1 | 153.1 | ||||||
| 1979 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 161.9 | 156.3 | ||||||
| 1980 | 105.0 | 104.5 | 161.1 | 159.6 | ||||||
| 1981 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 162.0 | 162.9 | ||||||
| 1982 | 107.3 | 110.5 | 167.8 | 166.3 | ||||||
| 1983 | 110.8 | 113.5 | 171.1 | 169.8 | ||||||
| 1984 | 110.1 | 116.7 | 178.9 | 173.3 | ||||||
| 1985 | 114.7 | 120.0 | 170.4 | 177.0 | ||||||
| 1986 | 119.0 | 123.3 | 168.6 | 180.7 | ||||||
| 1987 | 134.6 | 126.8 | 189.4 | 184.4 | ||||||
| 1988 | 138.7 | 130.3 | 190.2 | 188.3 | ||||||
| 1989 | 146.2 | 151.6 | 191.8 | 192.2 | ||||||
| 1990 | 172.9 | 176.4 | 222.6 | 229.0 | ||||||
| 1991 | 216.6 | 205.2 | 289.6 | 272.9 | ||||||
| 1992 | 238.7 | 238.7 | 331.0 | 325.2 | 126.3 | 128.1 | 126.0 | 114.9 | 161.5 | 165.7 |
| 1993 | 204.7 | 208.8 | 347.5 | 320.1 | 124.9 | 121.2 | 147.4 | 113.3 | 163.1 | 157.6 |
| 1994 | 174.5 | 182.7 | 315.7 | 315.1 | 114.4 | 114.8 | 88.4 | 111.6 | 150.1 | 150.0 |
| 1995 | 164.8 | 159.8 | 286.0 | 310.2 | 105.3 | 108.6 | 93.5 | 110.0 | 140.9 | 142.7 |
| 1996 | 165.6 | 163.9 | 286.0 | 305.4 | 96.2 | 102.8 | 111.7 | 108.3 | 141.4 | 143.9 |
| 1997 | 170.4 | 168.1 | 288.3 | 300.7 | 98.5 | 102.7 | 108.8 | 106.8 | 143.1 | 145.1 |
| 1998 | 167.8 | 172.5 | 292.1 | 296.0 | 95.2 | 102.7 | 85.2 | 105.2 | 149.2 | 146.4 |
| 1999 | 179.6 | 177.0 | 296.2 | 291.4 | 108.7 | 102.6 | 104.9 | 103.6 | 150.6 | 147.7 |
| 2000 | 179.8 | 181.5 | 295.8 | 286.9 | 109.0 | 102.6 | 69.4 | 102.1 | 150.1 | 148.9 |
| 2001 | 183.3 | 178.2 | 279.5 | 282.4 | 110.6 | 102.5 | 104.8 | 100.6 | 149.7 | 150.2 |
| 2002 | 180.1 | 174.9 | 292.6 | 278.0 | 105.1 | 102.4 | 99.9 | 99.2 | 152.9 | 151.5 |
| 2003 | 166.8 | 171.7 | 265.1 | 273.7 | 106.1 | 102.4 | 113.4 | 97.7 | 139.7 | 147.3 |
| 2004 | 162.9 | 168.6 | 262.2 | 269.5 | 103.6 | 102.3 | 91.6 | 96.3 | 150.5 | 143.1 |
| 2005 | 152.4 | 165.5 | 255.9 | 265.3 | 96.6 | 102.3 | 95.5 | 94.9 | 133.4 | 139.1 |
| 2006 | 168.8 | 162.5 | 258.7 | 261.1 | 98.9 | 102.2 | 93.8 | 93.5 | 134.3 | 135.1 |
| 2007 | 171.0 | 159.5 | 269.8 | 257.1 | 102.1 | 102.1 | 101.6 | 92.1 | 133.8 | 131.3 |
| 2008 | 153.8 | 156.5 | 255.6 | 253.1 | 88.8 | 93.9 | 84.3 | 90.7 | 128.3 | 127.6 |
| 2009 | 151.3 | 153.7 | 246.7 | 249.2 | 85.8 | 86.4 | 91.9 | 89.4 | 124.9 | 124.0 |
| 2010 | 144.2 | 141.4 | 232.7 | 230.5 | 80.0 | 79.5 | 85.1 | 81.2 | 120.0 | 120.5 |
| 2011 | 137.4 | 130.2 | 221.8 | 213.3 | 81.0 | 73.1 | 71.9 | 73.8 | 111.5 | 108.9 |
| 2012 | 110.5 | 119.8 | 191.0 | 197.3 | 65.6 | 67.2 | 63.1 | 67.0 | 96.0 | 98.5 |
| 2013 | 106.0 | 110.3 | 183.8 | 182.5 | 58.9 | 61.8 | 61.3 | 60.9 | 86.1 | 89.0 |
| 2014 | 97.1 | 101.5 | 159.1 | 168.9 | 53.2 | 56.9 | 54.4 | 55.3 | 80.5 | 80.5 |
| 2015 | 100.8 | 93.4 | 162.7 | 156.2 | 55.0 | 52.3 | 52.2 | 50.3 | 74.7 | 72.8 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, U.S. Mortality, Male, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd 1992-2015 | Hispanicd 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 29.1 | 29.5 | 55.5 | 55.3 | ||||||
| 1976 | 29.9 | 29.8 | 55.6 | 56.4 | ||||||
| 1977 | 29.9 | 30.0 | 56.4 | 57.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 30.6 | 30.2 | 58.5 | 58.5 | ||||||
| 1979 | 30.8 | 30.5 | 59.2 | 59.6 | ||||||
| 1980 | 30.8 | 30.7 | 62.0 | 60.8 | ||||||
| 1981 | 30.8 | 30.9 | 63.6 | 61.9 | ||||||
| 1982 | 31.1 | 31.2 | 62.4 | 63.1 | ||||||
| 1983 | 31.6 | 31.4 | 64.6 | 64.3 | ||||||
| 1984 | 31.6 | 31.7 | 65.9 | 65.5 | ||||||
| 1985 | 31.3 | 31.9 | 67.3 | 66.8 | ||||||
| 1986 | 32.5 | 32.2 | 67.4 | 68.1 | ||||||
| 1987 | 32.6 | 32.4 | 68.9 | 69.4 | ||||||
| 1988 | 33.4 | 33.4 | 69.6 | 70.7 | ||||||
| 1989 | 34.5 | 34.5 | 71.7 | 72.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 35.7 | 35.5 | 78.0 | 75.3 | ||||||
| 1991 | 36.5 | 36.6 | 78.2 | 77.7 | ||||||
| 1992 | 36.3 | 36.4 | 79.8 | 80.2 | 16.8 | 17.2 | 31.0 | 27.2 | 25.4 | 25.6 |
| 1993 | 36.3 | 36.1 | 81.9 | 82.7 | 18.7 | 16.6 | 29.3 | 26.7 | 27.1 | 26.7 |
| 1994 | 35.6 | 35.8 | 80.0 | 80.6 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 26.8 | 26.3 | 27.5 | 28.0 |
| 1995 | 34.4 | 34.3 | 78.2 | 78.6 | 18.2 | 15.6 | 22.7 | 25.9 | 27.8 | 27.2 |
| 1996 | 33.0 | 32.8 | 78.8 | 76.7 | 15.4 | 15.1 | 29.7 | 25.5 | 26.2 | 26.5 |
| 1997 | 31.3 | 31.4 | 74.3 | 74.7 | 14.7 | 14.6 | 22.5 | 25.1 | 24.6 | 25.7 |
| 1998 | 29.9 | 30.1 | 72.8 | 72.9 | 12.9 | 14.2 | 21.0 | 24.8 | 25.4 | 25.0 |
| 1999 | 28.9 | 28.8 | 70.1 | 71.0 | 14.1 | 13.7 | 18.1 | 24.4 | 23.5 | 24.3 |
| 2000 | 27.8 | 27.8 | 68.9 | 69.3 | 12.6 | 13.3 | 26.4 | 24.0 | 21.9 | 23.7 |
| 2001 | 27.0 | 26.9 | 67.8 | 67.5 | 11.9 | 12.8 | 21.8 | 23.6 | 24.0 | 23.0 |
| 2002 | 26.4 | 26.0 | 65.0 | 64.7 | 10.7 | 12.4 | 19.8 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 22.4 |
| 2003 | 25.0 | 25.1 | 60.4 | 62.0 | 11.6 | 12.0 | 23.7 | 22.9 | 21.9 | 21.7 |
| 2004 | 24.0 | 24.3 | 59.0 | 59.4 | 12.2 | 11.7 | 23.4 | 22.6 | 21.1 | 21.1 |
| 2005 | 23.3 | 23.5 | 57.0 | 56.9 | 11.2 | 11.3 | 26.4 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 20.6 |
| 2006 | 22.3 | 22.7 | 53.7 | 54.5 | 10.4 | 10.9 | 19.4 | 21.9 | 20.5 | 20.0 |
| 2007 | 22.2 | 21.9 | 54.9 | 52.3 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 22.7 | 21.5 | 20.0 | 19.4 |
| 2008 | 21.3 | 21.2 | 49.1 | 50.1 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 23.0 | 21.2 | 19.1 | 18.9 |
| 2009 | 20.3 | 20.5 | 49.4 | 48.0 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 18.8 | 20.9 | 18.2 | 18.4 |
| 2010 | 20.1 | 19.8 | 48.1 | 46.0 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 19.8 | 20.6 | 18.2 | 17.9 |
| 2011 | 19.3 | 19.1 | 44.0 | 44.1 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 22.2 | 20.3 | 17.4 | 17.4 |
| 2012 | 18.1 | 18.5 | 41.6 | 42.2 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 17.9 | 20.0 | 16.5 | 16.9 |
| 2013 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 39.1 | 40.5 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 17.5 | 19.6 | 15.9 | 16.4 |
| 2014 | 17.9 | 17.8 | 38.0 | 38.8 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 20.2 | 19.3 | 15.5 | 16.0 |
| 2015 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 37.5 | 37.2 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 21.1 | 19.0 | 16.0 | 15.5 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 13 Areas (SEER 9 Areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry and Rural Georgia).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2014 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 1992-2014 allow a maximum of 4 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the CHSDA(Contract Health Service Delivery Area) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry. Mortality data for Hispanics exclude cases from New Hampshire and Oklahoma.
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