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Figure 23.6
Figure 23.6
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Prostate, by Race
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, All Races, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 94.0 | 93.0 | 94.0 | 93.0 | ||||
| 1976 | 98.0 | 95.4 | 98.0 | 95.4 | ||||
| 1977 | 100.5 | 97.8 | 100.5 | 97.8 | ||||
| 1978 | 99.4 | 100.4 | 99.4 | 100.4 | ||||
| 1979 | 103.4 | 103.0 | 103.4 | 103.0 | ||||
| 1980 | 106.0 | 105.6 | 106.0 | 105.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 108.9 | 108.4 | 108.9 | 108.4 | ||||
| 1982 | 108.2 | 111.2 | 108.2 | 111.2 | ||||
| 1983 | 111.6 | 114.1 | 111.6 | 114.1 | ||||
| 1984 | 111.7 | 117.0 | 111.7 | 117.0 | ||||
| 1985 | 115.5 | 120.0 | 115.5 | 120.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 119.1 | 123.1 | 119.1 | 123.1 | ||||
| 1987 | 133.8 | 126.3 | 133.8 | 126.3 | ||||
| 1988 | 137.6 | 129.6 | 137.6 | 129.6 | ||||
| 1989 | 145.4 | 150.9 | 145.4 | 150.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 171.1 | 175.8 | 171.1 | 175.8 | ||||
| 1991 | 214.9 | 204.7 | 214.9 | 204.8 | ||||
| 1992 | 237.5 | 238.5 | 237.5 | 238.5 | 234.3 | 232.4 | 234.3 | 232.4 |
| 1993 | 209.6 | 211.0 | 209.6 | 211.0 | 207.2 | 206.7 | 207.2 | 206.7 |
| 1994 | 180.4 | 186.7 | 180.4 | 186.7 | 177.6 | 183.9 | 177.6 | 183.8 |
| 1995 | 169.5 | 165.2 | 169.5 | 165.2 | 166.7 | 163.5 | 166.7 | 163.5 |
| 1996 | 169.6 | 168.8 | 169.6 | 168.8 | 166.9 | 166.8 | 166.9 | 166.7 |
| 1997 | 173.8 | 172.5 | 173.8 | 172.5 | 172.0 | 170.0 | 172.0 | 170.0 |
| 1998 | 171.2 | 176.3 | 171.2 | 176.3 | 169.9 | 173.4 | 169.9 | 173.4 |
| 1999 | 183.7 | 180.1 | 183.7 | 180.1 | 180.5 | 176.8 | 180.5 | 176.9 |
| 2000 | 183.3 | 184.0 | 183.3 | 184.1 | 179.1 | 180.3 | 179.1 | 180.4 |
| 2001 | 185.3 | 181.0 | 185.3 | 181.0 | 180.3 | 177.1 | 180.3 | 177.1 |
| 2002 | 182.6 | 178.0 | 182.6 | 178.0 | 178.2 | 174.0 | 178.2 | 174.0 |
| 2003 | 170.1 | 175.1 | 170.1 | 175.0 | 165.7 | 171.0 | 165.7 | 170.9 |
| 2004 | 166.2 | 172.2 | 166.2 | 172.1 | 165.7 | 168.0 | 165.7 | 167.9 |
| 2005 | 157.0 | 169.4 | 157.0 | 169.2 | 154.3 | 165.0 | 154.3 | 164.9 |
| 2006 | 172.5 | 166.6 | 172.5 | 166.4 | 165.0 | 162.1 | 165.0 | 162.0 |
| 2007 | 175.8 | 163.8 | 175.6 | 163.6 | 168.6 | 159.3 | 168.3 | 159.1 |
| 2008 | 158.8 | 161.1 | 158.4 | 160.9 | 154.3 | 156.5 | 153.8 | 156.2 |
| 2009 | 156.2 | 158.5 | 155.5 | 158.2 | 151.5 | 153.7 | 150.7 | 153.5 |
| 2010 | 149.1 | 146.8 | 148.2 | 146.0 | 145.2 | 142.2 | 144.2 | 141.3 |
| 2011 | 143.0 | 136.0 | 142.0 | 134.8 | 139.0 | 131.5 | 137.9 | 130.2 |
| 2012 | 117.1 | 125.9 | 116.1 | 124.4 | 113.9 | 121.6 | 112.7 | 119.9 |
| 2013 | 112.1 | 116.7 | 110.7 | 114.8 | 108.7 | 112.5 | 107.1 | 110.4 |
| 2014 | 103.0 | 108.1 | 101.2 | 106.0 | 99.9 | 104.0 | 97.8 | 101.7 |
| 2015 | 108.2 | 100.1 | 105.0 | 97.8 | 102.5 | 96.2 | 99.0 | 93.6 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, White, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 92.2 | 91.1 | ||||
| 1976 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 97.3 | 93.6 | ||||
| 1977 | 98.6 | 96.2 | 98.6 | 96.2 | ||||
| 1978 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 97.7 | 98.9 | ||||
| 1979 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 102.3 | 101.7 | ||||
| 1980 | 105.0 | 104.5 | 105.0 | 104.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 107.9 | 107.5 | ||||
| 1982 | 107.3 | 110.5 | 107.3 | 110.5 | ||||
| 1983 | 110.8 | 113.5 | 110.8 | 113.5 | ||||
| 1984 | 110.1 | 116.7 | 110.1 | 116.7 | ||||
| 1985 | 114.7 | 120.0 | 114.7 | 120.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 119.0 | 123.3 | 119.0 | 123.3 | ||||
| 1987 | 134.6 | 126.8 | 134.6 | 126.8 | ||||
| 1988 | 138.7 | 130.3 | 138.7 | 130.3 | ||||
| 1989 | 146.2 | 151.6 | 146.2 | 151.6 | ||||
| 1990 | 172.9 | 176.4 | 172.9 | 176.4 | ||||
| 1991 | 216.6 | 205.2 | 216.6 | 205.2 | ||||
| 1992 | 238.7 | 238.7 | 238.7 | 238.7 | 235.5 | 231.4 | 235.5 | 231.4 |
| 1993 | 204.7 | 208.8 | 204.7 | 208.8 | 201.9 | 203.9 | 201.9 | 203.9 |
| 1994 | 174.5 | 182.7 | 174.5 | 182.7 | 171.7 | 179.7 | 171.7 | 179.7 |
| 1995 | 164.8 | 159.8 | 164.8 | 159.8 | 162.2 | 158.4 | 162.2 | 158.3 |
| 1996 | 165.6 | 163.9 | 165.6 | 163.9 | 163.4 | 162.2 | 163.4 | 162.2 |
| 1997 | 170.4 | 168.1 | 170.4 | 168.1 | 169.2 | 166.1 | 169.2 | 166.2 |
| 1998 | 167.8 | 172.4 | 167.8 | 172.5 | 166.4 | 170.1 | 166.4 | 170.2 |
| 1999 | 179.6 | 176.9 | 179.6 | 177.0 | 177.1 | 174.2 | 177.1 | 174.4 |
| 2000 | 179.8 | 181.4 | 179.8 | 181.5 | 176.3 | 178.4 | 176.3 | 178.6 |
| 2001 | 183.3 | 178.1 | 183.3 | 178.2 | 179.1 | 175.1 | 179.1 | 175.2 |
| 2002 | 180.1 | 175.0 | 180.1 | 174.9 | 176.4 | 171.8 | 176.4 | 171.8 |
| 2003 | 166.8 | 171.8 | 166.8 | 171.7 | 163.2 | 168.6 | 163.2 | 168.5 |
| 2004 | 162.9 | 168.7 | 162.9 | 168.6 | 163.8 | 165.5 | 163.8 | 165.3 |
| 2005 | 152.4 | 165.7 | 152.4 | 165.5 | 151.2 | 162.4 | 151.2 | 162.1 |
| 2006 | 168.8 | 162.7 | 168.8 | 162.5 | 162.8 | 159.4 | 162.8 | 159.0 |
| 2007 | 171.4 | 159.8 | 171.0 | 159.5 | 165.1 | 156.4 | 164.5 | 155.9 |
| 2008 | 154.6 | 156.9 | 153.8 | 156.5 | 151.8 | 153.5 | 150.9 | 152.9 |
| 2009 | 152.5 | 154.1 | 151.3 | 153.7 | 148.4 | 150.6 | 147.1 | 150.0 |
| 2010 | 145.6 | 142.7 | 144.2 | 141.4 | 142.5 | 139.1 | 140.8 | 137.6 |
| 2011 | 139.1 | 132.0 | 137.4 | 130.2 | 136.3 | 128.5 | 134.2 | 126.3 |
| 2012 | 112.1 | 122.2 | 110.5 | 119.8 | 109.4 | 118.7 | 107.4 | 115.9 |
| 2013 | 108.2 | 113.1 | 106.0 | 110.3 | 105.1 | 109.7 | 102.5 | 106.4 |
| 2014 | 99.9 | 104.7 | 97.1 | 101.5 | 97.3 | 101.3 | 94.0 | 97.7 |
| 2015 | 105.6 | 96.9 | 100.8 | 93.4 | 100.8 | 93.6 | 95.7 | 89.6 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Black, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 141.1 | 143.9 | 141.1 | 143.9 | ||||
| 1976 | 140.9 | 146.9 | 140.9 | 146.9 | ||||
| 1977 | 159.2 | 149.9 | 159.2 | 150.0 | ||||
| 1978 | 148.1 | 153.1 | 148.1 | 153.1 | ||||
| 1979 | 161.9 | 156.3 | 161.9 | 156.3 | ||||
| 1980 | 161.1 | 159.6 | 161.1 | 159.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 162.0 | 162.9 | 162.0 | 162.9 | ||||
| 1982 | 167.8 | 166.3 | 167.8 | 166.3 | ||||
| 1983 | 171.1 | 169.8 | 171.1 | 169.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 178.9 | 173.4 | 178.9 | 173.3 | ||||
| 1985 | 170.4 | 177.0 | 170.4 | 177.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 168.6 | 180.7 | 168.6 | 180.7 | ||||
| 1987 | 189.4 | 184.5 | 189.4 | 184.4 | ||||
| 1988 | 190.2 | 188.3 | 190.2 | 188.3 | ||||
| 1989 | 191.8 | 192.3 | 191.8 | 192.2 | ||||
| 1990 | 222.6 | 228.9 | 222.6 | 229.0 | ||||
| 1991 | 289.6 | 272.4 | 289.6 | 272.9 | ||||
| 1992 | 331.0 | 324.3 | 331.0 | 325.2 | 325.6 | 318.7 | 325.6 | 320.1 |
| 1993 | 347.5 | 319.4 | 347.5 | 320.1 | 341.4 | 313.7 | 341.4 | 314.8 |
| 1994 | 315.7 | 314.6 | 315.7 | 315.1 | 306.0 | 308.7 | 306.0 | 309.6 |
| 1995 | 286.0 | 309.9 | 286.0 | 310.2 | 281.3 | 303.9 | 281.3 | 304.5 |
| 1996 | 286.0 | 305.2 | 286.0 | 305.4 | 279.1 | 299.1 | 279.1 | 299.5 |
| 1997 | 288.3 | 300.7 | 288.3 | 300.7 | 283.1 | 294.4 | 283.1 | 294.5 |
| 1998 | 292.1 | 296.1 | 292.1 | 296.0 | 291.6 | 289.8 | 291.6 | 289.7 |
| 1999 | 296.2 | 291.7 | 296.2 | 291.4 | 294.0 | 285.3 | 294.0 | 284.9 |
| 2000 | 295.8 | 287.3 | 295.8 | 286.9 | 294.8 | 280.8 | 294.8 | 280.2 |
| 2001 | 279.5 | 283.0 | 279.5 | 282.4 | 277.0 | 276.4 | 277.0 | 275.5 |
| 2002 | 292.6 | 278.8 | 292.6 | 278.0 | 284.9 | 272.1 | 284.9 | 271.0 |
| 2003 | 265.1 | 274.6 | 265.1 | 273.7 | 257.7 | 267.8 | 257.7 | 266.5 |
| 2004 | 262.2 | 270.4 | 262.2 | 269.5 | 256.5 | 263.6 | 256.5 | 262.1 |
| 2005 | 255.9 | 266.4 | 255.9 | 265.3 | 248.6 | 259.5 | 248.6 | 257.8 |
| 2006 | 258.7 | 262.4 | 258.7 | 261.1 | 247.9 | 255.4 | 247.9 | 253.6 |
| 2007 | 271.1 | 258.4 | 269.8 | 257.1 | 261.0 | 251.4 | 259.3 | 249.4 |
| 2008 | 258.1 | 254.6 | 255.6 | 253.1 | 247.5 | 247.4 | 244.1 | 245.3 |
| 2009 | 250.3 | 250.7 | 246.7 | 249.2 | 244.8 | 243.6 | 239.8 | 241.2 |
| 2010 | 237.3 | 233.9 | 232.7 | 230.5 | 229.3 | 226.9 | 223.2 | 222.4 |
| 2011 | 227.2 | 218.2 | 221.8 | 213.3 | 218.8 | 211.4 | 211.6 | 205.0 |
| 2012 | 196.6 | 203.5 | 191.0 | 197.3 | 194.0 | 197.0 | 186.2 | 189.0 |
| 2013 | 190.5 | 189.8 | 183.8 | 182.5 | 186.6 | 183.5 | 177.8 | 174.3 |
| 2014 | 165.9 | 177.1 | 159.1 | 168.9 | 160.5 | 171.0 | 151.8 | 160.7 |
| 2015 | 173.1 | 165.2 | 162.7 | 156.2 | 164.3 | 159.3 | 152.1 | 148.2 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Prostate, Male, All Ages
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.5* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 2009-15 | -8.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.6* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2009-15 | -8.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2015 | 2009-15 | -6.7* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2015 | 2009-15 | -6.8* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2015 | 2009-15 | -7.8* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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