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Figure 16.4
Figure 16.4
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Melanoma of the Skin, Male, by Race
Rates per 100,000 for Melanoma of the Skin, All Races, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 8.6 | ||||
| 1976 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 8.7 | 9.0 | ||||
| 1977 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 9.5 | 10.0 | 9.5 | 10.0 | ||||
| 1979 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.6 | ||||
| 1980 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 11.8 | 11.1 | ||||
| 1981 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 12.1 | 11.7 | ||||
| 1982 | 12.5 | 12.3 | 12.5 | 12.3 | ||||
| 1983 | 12.7 | 13.0 | 12.7 | 13.0 | ||||
| 1984 | 12.9 | 13.7 | 12.9 | 13.7 | ||||
| 1985 | 15.2 | 14.5 | 15.2 | 14.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 15.7 | 15.2 | 15.7 | 15.2 | ||||
| 1987 | 15.9 | 15.7 | 15.9 | 15.7 | ||||
| 1988 | 15.0 | 16.2 | 15.0 | 16.2 | ||||
| 1989 | 16.4 | 16.7 | 16.4 | 16.7 | ||||
| 1990 | 16.7 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 17.2 | ||||
| 1991 | 17.6 | 17.8 | 17.6 | 17.7 | ||||
| 1992 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 17.6 | 17.1 | 17.6 | 17.1 |
| 1993 | 18.2 | 18.9 | 18.2 | 18.9 | 17.2 | 18.0 | 17.2 | 18.0 |
| 1994 | 19.8 | 19.5 | 19.8 | 19.5 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 18.9 |
| 1995 | 20.3 | 20.1 | 20.3 | 20.1 | 20.0 | 19.8 | 20.0 | 19.9 |
| 1996 | 21.8 | 20.7 | 21.8 | 20.7 | 21.0 | 20.8 | 21.0 | 20.9 |
| 1997 | 21.8 | 21.3 | 21.8 | 21.3 | 21.0 | 21.2 | 21.0 | 21.3 |
| 1998 | 22.2 | 22.0 | 22.2 | 22.0 | 21.2 | 21.7 | 21.2 | 21.7 |
| 1999 | 23.0 | 22.7 | 23.0 | 22.7 | 21.9 | 22.1 | 21.9 | 22.1 |
| 2000 | 24.0 | 23.4 | 24.0 | 23.4 | 22.8 | 22.5 | 22.8 | 22.5 |
| 2001 | 24.6 | 24.1 | 24.6 | 24.1 | 23.3 | 22.9 | 23.3 | 22.9 |
| 2002 | 24.1 | 24.9 | 24.1 | 24.9 | 22.7 | 23.4 | 22.7 | 23.4 |
| 2003 | 24.3 | 25.6 | 24.3 | 25.7 | 22.9 | 23.8 | 22.9 | 23.8 |
| 2004 | 25.6 | 26.4 | 25.6 | 26.5 | 24.0 | 24.3 | 24.0 | 24.2 |
| 2005 | 28.2 | 27.2 | 28.2 | 27.3 | 26.2 | 24.8 | 26.2 | 24.7 |
| 2006 | 27.8 | 27.7 | 27.8 | 27.7 | 25.7 | 25.2 | 25.7 | 25.1 |
| 2007 | 27.7 | 28.2 | 27.7 | 28.2 | 26.0 | 25.7 | 26.0 | 25.6 |
| 2008 | 29.4 | 28.7 | 29.4 | 28.6 | 27.2 | 26.2 | 27.1 | 26.1 |
| 2009 | 29.6 | 29.2 | 29.5 | 29.1 | 27.0 | 26.7 | 26.9 | 26.5 |
| 2010 | 30.2 | 29.8 | 30.1 | 29.6 | 27.6 | 27.2 | 27.5 | 27.0 |
| 2011 | 29.3 | 30.3 | 29.2 | 30.0 | 26.6 | 27.7 | 26.4 | 27.5 |
| 2012 | 29.9 | 30.8 | 29.7 | 30.5 | 27.4 | 28.3 | 27.2 | 28.0 |
| 2013 | 31.3 | 31.4 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 28.6 | 28.8 | 28.3 | 28.5 |
| 2014 | 32.6 | 32.0 | 32.2 | 31.5 | 29.9 | 29.4 | 29.4 | 29.1 |
| 2015 | 32.7 | 32.5 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 29.7 | 29.9 | 29.0 | 29.6 |
Rates per 100,000 for Melanoma of the Skin, White, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 9.4 | ||||
| 1976 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 10.0 | ||||
| 1977 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 10.9 | 10.6 | ||||
| 1978 | 10.7 | 11.2 | 10.7 | 11.2 | ||||
| 1979 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.9 | ||||
| 1980 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 13.4 | 12.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 13.6 | 13.3 | 13.6 | 13.3 | ||||
| 1982 | 14.2 | 14.1 | 14.2 | 14.1 | ||||
| 1983 | 14.4 | 14.9 | 14.4 | 14.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 14.8 | 15.8 | 14.8 | 15.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 17.3 | 16.8 | 17.3 | 16.8 | ||||
| 1986 | 17.9 | 17.4 | 17.9 | 17.3 | ||||
| 1987 | 18.2 | 17.9 | 18.2 | 17.9 | ||||
| 1988 | 17.4 | 18.6 | 17.4 | 18.5 | ||||
| 1989 | 19.0 | 19.2 | 19.0 | 19.2 | ||||
| 1990 | 19.3 | 19.9 | 19.3 | 19.8 | ||||
| 1991 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 | ||||
| 1992 | 21.4 | 21.2 | 21.4 | 21.2 | 20.6 | 21.0 | 20.6 | 20.9 |
| 1993 | 21.2 | 22.0 | 21.2 | 22.0 | 20.1 | 21.6 | 20.1 | 21.6 |
| 1994 | 23.3 | 22.7 | 23.3 | 22.7 | 22.4 | 22.3 | 22.4 | 22.3 |
| 1995 | 23.7 | 23.5 | 23.7 | 23.5 | 23.4 | 23.0 | 23.4 | 23.0 |
| 1996 | 25.5 | 24.3 | 25.5 | 24.3 | 24.9 | 23.7 | 24.9 | 23.7 |
| 1997 | 25.4 | 25.1 | 25.4 | 25.2 | 24.8 | 24.5 | 24.8 | 24.5 |
| 1998 | 26.3 | 26.0 | 26.3 | 26.0 | 25.5 | 25.2 | 25.5 | 25.2 |
| 1999 | 27.1 | 26.9 | 27.1 | 26.9 | 26.3 | 26.0 | 26.3 | 26.0 |
| 2000 | 28.6 | 27.8 | 28.6 | 27.8 | 27.7 | 26.8 | 27.7 | 26.9 |
| 2001 | 29.4 | 28.8 | 29.4 | 28.8 | 28.2 | 27.7 | 28.2 | 27.7 |
| 2002 | 28.6 | 29.7 | 28.6 | 29.8 | 27.4 | 28.5 | 27.4 | 28.6 |
| 2003 | 29.1 | 30.8 | 29.1 | 30.8 | 28.0 | 29.4 | 28.0 | 29.5 |
| 2004 | 30.9 | 31.8 | 30.9 | 31.9 | 29.6 | 30.3 | 29.6 | 30.4 |
| 2005 | 34.3 | 32.9 | 34.3 | 33.0 | 32.4 | 31.3 | 32.4 | 31.4 |
| 2006 | 33.5 | 33.6 | 33.5 | 33.5 | 31.8 | 31.8 | 31.8 | 31.8 |
| 2007 | 33.6 | 34.2 | 33.5 | 34.1 | 32.2 | 32.3 | 32.1 | 32.2 |
| 2008 | 35.8 | 34.9 | 35.7 | 34.7 | 33.9 | 32.9 | 33.8 | 32.7 |
| 2009 | 36.0 | 35.6 | 35.8 | 35.3 | 33.6 | 33.4 | 33.4 | 33.1 |
| 2010 | 36.6 | 36.3 | 36.3 | 35.9 | 34.2 | 34.0 | 33.9 | 33.6 |
| 2011 | 35.8 | 37.0 | 35.4 | 36.5 | 33.1 | 34.5 | 32.7 | 34.0 |
| 2012 | 36.5 | 37.8 | 36.1 | 37.1 | 34.0 | 35.1 | 33.6 | 34.5 |
| 2013 | 38.1 | 38.5 | 37.4 | 37.8 | 35.3 | 35.7 | 34.7 | 35.0 |
| 2014 | 40.2 | 39.3 | 39.2 | 38.4 | 37.2 | 36.3 | 36.4 | 35.4 |
| 2015 | 40.7 | 40.1 | 39.3 | 39.1 | 37.5 | 36.9 | 36.1 | 35.9 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Melanoma of the Skin, Male, All Ages
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 2005-15 | 1.8* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 2005-15 | 1.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 1996-15 | 1.9* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 1996-15 | 1.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 2005-15 | 2.0* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 2005-15 | 1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2005-15 | 1.7* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2005-15 | 1.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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