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Figure 2.1
Figure 2.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.6 | 469.4 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 254.0 | 254.4 |
| 1976 | 482.0 | 476.1 | 482.0 | 476.2 | 257.5 | 256.8 |
| 1977 | 487.2 | 482.9 | 487.2 | 483.0 | 258.8 | 259.1 |
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 489.7 | 489.9 | 261.6 | 261.5 |
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 263.2 | 263.9 |
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 265.0 | 264.5 |
| 1981 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 263.3 | 265.2 |
| 1982 | 512.5 | 518.5 | 512.5 | 518.4 | 266.3 | 265.8 |
| 1983 | 520.9 | 525.9 | 520.9 | 525.8 | 267.2 | 266.4 |
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.4 | 527.7 | 533.3 | 267.6 | 267.1 |
| 1985 | 533.6 | 541.0 | 533.6 | 540.9 | 268.2 | 267.7 |
| 1986 | 542.9 | 548.7 | 542.9 | 548.6 | 268.8 | 268.4 |
| 1987 | 569.0 | 556.6 | 569.0 | 556.4 | 269.0 | 269.0 |
| 1988 | 565.0 | 564.6 | 565.0 | 564.3 | 269.5 | 269.7 |
| 1989 | 573.8 | 572.6 | 573.8 | 572.4 | 270.2 | 270.4 |
| 1990 | 599.4 | 600.6 | 599.4 | 601.2 | 271.5 | 271.0 |
| 1991 | 644.6 | 629.9 | 644.6 | 631.4 | 271.2 | 271.7 |
| 1992 | 663.9 | 660.7 | 663.9 | 663.2 | 268.9 | 269.6 |
| 1993 | 620.6 | 631.2 | 620.6 | 629.0 | 267.9 | 267.5 |
| 1994 | 588.0 | 603.0 | 588.0 | 596.6 | 264.7 | 265.5 |
| 1995 | 570.8 | 576.1 | 570.8 | 565.9 | 261.5 | 260.8 |
| 1996 | 574.7 | 575.8 | 574.7 | 570.5 | 256.8 | 256.1 |
| 1997 | 577.1 | 575.5 | 577.1 | 575.3 | 251.6 | 251.6 |
| 1998 | 576.9 | 575.1 | 576.9 | 580.0 | 247.6 | 249.0 |
| 1999 | 583.5 | 574.8 | 583.5 | 584.8 | 247.1 | 246.5 |
| 2000 | 585.1 | 574.5 | 585.1 | 582.3 | 243.4 | 243.9 |
| 2001 | 588.7 | 574.2 | 588.7 | 579.8 | 240.3 | 239.9 |
| 2002 | 582.2 | 573.9 | 582.2 | 577.3 | 237.6 | 235.9 |
| 2003 | 566.3 | 573.5 | 566.3 | 574.9 | 232.2 | 232.0 |
| 2004 | 565.0 | 573.2 | 565.0 | 572.4 | 226.6 | 228.2 |
| 2005 | 558.8 | 572.9 | 558.8 | 570.0 | 224.9 | 224.4 |
| 2006 | 565.5 | 572.6 | 565.5 | 567.5 | 220.0 | 220.7 |
| 2007 | 575.1 | 572.3 | 575.1 | 565.1 | 216.6 | 217.0 |
| 2008 | 556.2 | 558.5 | 555.4 | 553.3 | 213.2 | 213.4 |
| 2009 | 548.7 | 545.0 | 547.2 | 541.8 | 209.3 | 209.9 |
| 2010 | 539.4 | 531.9 | 537.1 | 530.5 | 207.2 | 206.4 |
| 2011 | 528.3 | 519.1 | 525.3 | 519.4 | 203.3 | 203.0 |
| 2012 | 499.4 | 506.6 | 495.9 | 508.6 | 199.9 | 199.6 |
| 2013 | 491.8 | 494.4 | 487.6 | 498.0 | 196.0 | 196.3 |
| 2014 | 488.6 | 491.8 | 482.8 | 487.6 | 193.5 | 193.1 |
| 2015 | 490.0 | 489.2 | 482.4 | 477.5 | 190.2 | 189.9 |
| 2016 | 487.0 | 486.5 | 474.1 | 467.5 | 186.3 | 186.7 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.4 | 532.8 | 525.4 | 532.8 | 320.5 | 322.5 |
| 1976 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 328.4 | 328.4 |
| 1977 | 577.7 | 563.6 | 577.7 | 563.6 | 337.9 | 334.4 |
| 1978 | 571.0 | 579.6 | 571.0 | 579.6 | 340.9 | 340.5 |
| 1979 | 589.8 | 596.1 | 589.8 | 596.1 | 344.7 | 346.7 |
| 1980 | 615.1 | 613.1 | 615.1 | 613.1 | 353.9 | 353.0 |
| 1981 | 634.4 | 630.6 | 634.4 | 630.6 | 358.6 | 359.5 |
| 1982 | 622.1 | 634.3 | 622.1 | 634.3 | 364.9 | 366.0 |
| 1983 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 369.3 | 369.7 |
| 1984 | 643.9 | 641.8 | 643.9 | 641.8 | 377.9 | 373.4 |
| 1985 | 643.8 | 645.6 | 643.8 | 645.6 | 377.8 | 377.1 |
| 1986 | 643.4 | 649.4 | 643.4 | 649.4 | 378.9 | 380.9 |
| 1987 | 666.3 | 653.2 | 666.3 | 653.2 | 383.2 | 384.7 |
| 1988 | 658.1 | 657.1 | 658.1 | 657.1 | 384.2 | 388.5 |
| 1989 | 661.2 | 661.0 | 661.2 | 661.0 | 395.3 | 392.4 |
| 1990 | 699.8 | 711.1 | 699.8 | 711.1 | 399.1 | 396.4 |
| 1991 | 765.7 | 764.9 | 765.7 | 765.0 | 395.9 | 395.4 |
| 1992 | 811.7 | 822.9 | 811.7 | 822.9 | 389.2 | 394.5 |
| 1993 | 821.5 | 802.1 | 821.5 | 802.1 | 394.8 | 393.6 |
| 1994 | 784.9 | 781.9 | 784.9 | 781.9 | 385.2 | 385.6 |
| 1995 | 752.3 | 762.2 | 752.3 | 762.1 | 379.0 | 377.9 |
| 1996 | 730.7 | 743.0 | 730.7 | 742.8 | 373.7 | 370.3 |
| 1997 | 744.4 | 735.3 | 744.4 | 735.2 | 363.2 | 362.9 |
| 1998 | 728.5 | 727.8 | 728.5 | 727.7 | 353.1 | 355.6 |
| 1999 | 729.4 | 720.3 | 729.4 | 720.3 | 349.2 | 348.4 |
| 2000 | 718.6 | 712.9 | 718.6 | 712.9 | 341.2 | 341.4 |
| 2001 | 705.1 | 705.6 | 705.1 | 705.6 | 334.1 | 334.6 |
| 2002 | 703.6 | 698.3 | 703.6 | 698.4 | 325.8 | 325.5 |
| 2003 | 687.5 | 691.2 | 687.5 | 691.3 | 314.6 | 316.7 |
| 2004 | 690.4 | 684.1 | 690.4 | 684.2 | 307.3 | 308.1 |
| 2005 | 650.3 | 677.1 | 650.3 | 677.2 | 300.3 | 299.7 |
| 2006 | 652.2 | 670.1 | 652.2 | 670.3 | 290.2 | 291.6 |
| 2007 | 674.7 | 663.2 | 674.7 | 663.5 | 286.6 | 283.7 |
| 2008 | 671.3 | 656.4 | 669.6 | 656.7 | 275.3 | 276.0 |
| 2009 | 648.6 | 638.3 | 645.2 | 636.0 | 268.9 | 268.5 |
| 2010 | 622.3 | 620.7 | 617.5 | 615.9 | 264.1 | 261.2 |
| 2011 | 599.7 | 603.6 | 593.6 | 596.4 | 253.6 | 254.2 |
| 2012 | 582.3 | 586.9 | 574.6 | 577.6 | 247.2 | 247.3 |
| 2013 | 570.3 | 570.7 | 561.3 | 559.3 | 240.3 | 240.6 |
| 2014 | 536.6 | 555.0 | 525.8 | 541.6 | 233.9 | 234.0 |
| 2015 | 534.0 | 539.6 | 520.4 | 524.5 | 226.6 | 227.7 |
| 2016 | 543.9 | 524.7 | 521.7 | 508.0 | 221.6 | 221.5 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.7 | 371.1 | 369.7 | 371.1 | 159.0 | 159.7 |
| 1976 | 373.3 | 370.3 | 373.3 | 370.3 | 161.7 | 160.5 |
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.4 | 367.9 | 369.4 | 161.6 | 161.4 |
| 1978 | 367.9 | 368.5 | 367.9 | 368.6 | 162.5 | 162.3 |
| 1979 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 161.7 | 163.2 |
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 164.2 | 164.1 |
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 164.6 | 165.0 |
| 1982 | 383.3 | 386.6 | 383.3 | 386.6 | 166.1 | 166.0 |
| 1983 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 166.7 | 166.9 |
| 1984 | 399.5 | 399.7 | 399.5 | 399.7 | 169.0 | 167.8 |
| 1985 | 411.5 | 406.5 | 411.5 | 406.4 | 169.6 | 168.7 |
| 1986 | 409.2 | 413.3 | 409.2 | 413.2 | 170.0 | 169.7 |
| 1987 | 423.4 | 420.3 | 423.4 | 420.2 | 169.9 | 170.6 |
| 1988 | 418.0 | 420.8 | 418.0 | 420.7 | 170.9 | 171.5 |
| 1989 | 418.8 | 421.2 | 418.8 | 421.3 | 172.9 | 172.5 |
| 1990 | 424.8 | 421.7 | 424.8 | 421.8 | 172.9 | 173.4 |
| 1991 | 428.6 | 422.2 | 428.6 | 422.4 | 173.4 | 173.1 |
| 1992 | 423.5 | 422.7 | 423.5 | 422.9 | 172.6 | 172.8 |
| 1993 | 417.0 | 423.1 | 417.0 | 423.5 | 172.8 | 172.5 |
| 1994 | 423.3 | 423.6 | 423.3 | 424.0 | 172.6 | 172.2 |
| 1995 | 426.3 | 424.1 | 426.3 | 424.6 | 171.7 | 172.0 |
| 1996 | 428.4 | 431.4 | 428.4 | 430.6 | 169.8 | 169.9 |
| 1997 | 441.1 | 438.9 | 441.1 | 436.8 | 167.3 | 167.8 |
| 1998 | 446.7 | 446.5 | 446.7 | 443.0 | 165.4 | 165.8 |
| 1999 | 443.8 | 444.3 | 443.8 | 442.3 | 165.9 | 165.4 |
| 2000 | 438.2 | 442.1 | 438.2 | 441.6 | 166.0 | 165.0 |
| 2001 | 442.8 | 439.9 | 442.8 | 440.8 | 163.8 | 164.5 |
| 2002 | 441.4 | 437.7 | 441.4 | 440.1 | 162.6 | 162.3 |
| 2003 | 433.1 | 435.5 | 433.1 | 439.4 | 160.4 | 160.2 |
| 2004 | 433.9 | 435.8 | 433.9 | 438.6 | 157.4 | 158.0 |
| 2005 | 434.6 | 436.0 | 434.6 | 437.9 | 156.0 | 155.9 |
| 2006 | 435.0 | 436.2 | 435.0 | 437.2 | 154.5 | 153.9 |
| 2007 | 435.9 | 436.4 | 435.9 | 436.5 | 151.9 | 151.8 |
| 2008 | 439.4 | 436.6 | 438.8 | 435.7 | 149.4 | 149.8 |
| 2009 | 443.7 | 436.8 | 442.4 | 435.0 | 147.5 | 147.8 |
| 2010 | 435.4 | 437.1 | 433.6 | 434.3 | 145.8 | 145.8 |
| 2011 | 436.1 | 437.3 | 433.6 | 433.6 | 143.4 | 143.9 |
| 2012 | 435.7 | 437.5 | 432.6 | 432.9 | 142.0 | 142.0 |
| 2013 | 434.0 | 437.7 | 430.3 | 432.2 | 139.8 | 140.1 |
| 2014 | 440.3 | 437.9 | 435.2 | 431.4 | 138.5 | 138.2 |
| 2015 | 440.9 | 438.1 | 434.1 | 430.7 | 136.6 | 136.4 |
| 2016 | 436.0 | 438.4 | 424.7 | 430.0 | 134.7 | 134.6 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.9 | 343.2 | 356.9 | 344.3 | 174.2 | 177.2 |
| 1976 | 340.9 | 347.2 | 340.9 | 348.1 | 179.1 | 178.9 |
| 1977 | 352.6 | 351.2 | 352.6 | 351.9 | 181.6 | 180.7 |
| 1978 | 344.2 | 355.3 | 344.2 | 355.8 | 181.5 | 182.5 |
| 1979 | 359.3 | 359.4 | 359.3 | 359.7 | 182.7 | 184.4 |
| 1980 | 366.5 | 363.6 | 366.5 | 363.7 | 189.2 | 186.2 |
| 1981 | 363.0 | 367.8 | 363.0 | 367.7 | 187.5 | 188.1 |
| 1982 | 359.4 | 372.1 | 359.4 | 371.8 | 190.2 | 189.9 |
| 1983 | 382.2 | 376.4 | 382.2 | 375.9 | 193.2 | 191.8 |
| 1984 | 386.1 | 380.8 | 386.1 | 380.1 | 195.7 | 193.7 |
| 1985 | 388.7 | 385.2 | 388.7 | 384.3 | 196.3 | 195.7 |
| 1986 | 396.9 | 389.7 | 396.9 | 388.5 | 199.1 | 197.6 |
| 1987 | 394.2 | 394.2 | 394.2 | 392.8 | 199.9 | 199.6 |
| 1988 | 405.1 | 398.8 | 405.1 | 397.2 | 200.4 | 201.6 |
| 1989 | 385.2 | 403.4 | 385.2 | 401.6 | 200.9 | 203.6 |
| 1990 | 409.7 | 408.1 | 409.7 | 406.0 | 205.4 | 205.6 |
| 1991 | 412.8 | 412.8 | 412.8 | 410.5 | 207.4 | 207.7 |
| 1992 | 414.2 | 413.1 | 414.2 | 411.1 | 205.8 | 206.5 |
| 1993 | 404.7 | 413.3 | 404.7 | 411.6 | 206.3 | 205.4 |
| 1994 | 409.4 | 413.5 | 409.4 | 412.2 | 204.1 | 204.3 |
| 1995 | 405.3 | 413.8 | 405.3 | 412.8 | 204.5 | 203.1 |
| 1996 | 418.5 | 414.0 | 418.5 | 413.4 | 200.9 | 202.0 |
| 1997 | 412.2 | 414.2 | 412.2 | 413.9 | 202.5 | 200.9 |
| 1998 | 420.9 | 414.4 | 420.9 | 414.5 | 198.4 | 199.8 |
| 1999 | 422.9 | 414.7 | 422.9 | 415.1 | 197.5 | 198.7 |
| 2000 | 407.5 | 414.9 | 407.5 | 415.7 | 193.2 | 195.5 |
| 2001 | 403.4 | 415.1 | 403.4 | 416.3 | 192.1 | 192.4 |
| 2002 | 428.4 | 415.3 | 428.4 | 416.8 | 191.4 | 189.3 |
| 2003 | 414.4 | 415.6 | 414.4 | 417.4 | 188.8 | 186.3 |
| 2004 | 420.8 | 415.8 | 420.8 | 418.0 | 183.5 | 183.4 |
| 2005 | 422.9 | 416.0 | 422.9 | 418.6 | 180.9 | 180.5 |
| 2006 | 418.1 | 416.2 | 418.1 | 419.2 | 177.3 | 177.6 |
| 2007 | 416.9 | 416.5 | 416.9 | 419.7 | 175.5 | 174.8 |
| 2008 | 420.7 | 416.7 | 419.6 | 420.3 | 170.4 | 172.0 |
| 2009 | 426.4 | 416.9 | 424.2 | 420.9 | 167.4 | 169.3 |
| 2010 | 412.9 | 417.1 | 409.8 | 417.7 | 166.2 | 166.6 |
| 2011 | 421.0 | 417.4 | 416.8 | 414.6 | 166.1 | 163.9 |
| 2012 | 425.9 | 417.6 | 420.5 | 411.4 | 161.7 | 161.3 |
| 2013 | 411.7 | 417.8 | 405.5 | 408.3 | 158.5 | 158.7 |
| 2014 | 407.4 | 418.1 | 399.5 | 405.2 | 156.9 | 156.2 |
| 2015 | 410.7 | 418.3 | 400.7 | 402.2 | 152.5 | 153.7 |
| 2016 | 419.3 | 418.5 | 402.5 | 399.1 | 151.3 | 151.3 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, All Ages, 1975-2015
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2013-16 | -0.5 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-16 | -2.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2000-16 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-16 | -2.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-16 | -3.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-16 | -2.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2003-16 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-16 | -0.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2001-16 | -1.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-16 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2009-16 | -0.8* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1999-16 | -1.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.7, February 2019, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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