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Figure 2.2
Figure 2.2
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Under 65 Years of Age, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, Ages <65
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 175.5 | 176.9 | 175.5 | 176.8 | 87.8 | 88.5 |
| 1976 | 179.8 | 178.5 | 179.8 | 178.5 | 88.3 | 88.2 |
| 1977 | 181.7 | 180.1 | 181.7 | 180.1 | 88.3 | 88.0 |
| 1978 | 181.5 | 181.7 | 181.5 | 181.8 | 88.3 | 87.8 |
| 1979 | 181.6 | 183.4 | 181.6 | 183.5 | 87.7 | 87.6 |
| 1980 | 184.8 | 185.1 | 184.8 | 185.2 | 88.0 | 87.3 |
| 1981 | 187.3 | 186.7 | 187.3 | 186.9 | 86.7 | 87.1 |
| 1982 | 186.2 | 188.4 | 186.2 | 188.6 | 86.6 | 86.9 |
| 1983 | 191.6 | 191.9 | 191.6 | 192.0 | 86.2 | 86.7 |
| 1984 | 194.5 | 195.4 | 194.5 | 195.4 | 86.4 | 86.5 |
| 1985 | 203.1 | 199.0 | 203.1 | 198.9 | 86.6 | 86.2 |
| 1986 | 204.3 | 202.6 | 204.3 | 202.5 | 85.8 | 86.0 |
| 1987 | 209.7 | 206.3 | 209.7 | 206.2 | 85.5 | 85.8 |
| 1988 | 207.5 | 210.1 | 207.5 | 209.9 | 84.8 | 84.7 |
| 1989 | 210.3 | 214.0 | 210.3 | 213.6 | 83.7 | 83.7 |
| 1990 | 214.7 | 217.9 | 214.7 | 217.5 | 83.1 | 82.6 |
| 1991 | 227.1 | 221.9 | 227.1 | 221.4 | 82.2 | 81.6 |
| 1992 | 232.6 | 225.9 | 232.6 | 225.3 | 80.2 | 80.6 |
| 1993 | 227.2 | 226.2 | 227.2 | 225.7 | 79.1 | 79.6 |
| 1994 | 225.1 | 226.4 | 225.1 | 226.1 | 77.7 | 77.6 |
| 1995 | 221.4 | 226.6 | 221.4 | 226.4 | 75.5 | 75.6 |
| 1996 | 225.2 | 226.9 | 225.2 | 226.8 | 74.0 | 73.6 |
| 1997 | 223.6 | 227.1 | 223.6 | 227.2 | 71.3 | 71.7 |
| 1998 | 220.3 | 227.3 | 220.3 | 227.6 | 69.9 | 69.9 |
| 1999 | 225.7 | 227.6 | 225.7 | 227.9 | 69.2 | 68.9 |
| 2000 | 231.5 | 227.8 | 231.5 | 228.3 | 67.5 | 68.0 |
| 2001 | 232.8 | 228.0 | 232.8 | 228.7 | 67.2 | 67.0 |
| 2002 | 233.0 | 228.2 | 233.0 | 229.1 | 66.2 | 66.1 |
| 2003 | 226.5 | 228.5 | 226.5 | 229.4 | 64.6 | 64.5 |
| 2004 | 227.5 | 228.7 | 227.5 | 229.8 | 62.7 | 62.9 |
| 2005 | 227.4 | 228.9 | 227.4 | 230.2 | 61.7 | 61.4 |
| 2006 | 230.9 | 229.2 | 230.9 | 230.6 | 60.7 | 60.5 |
| 2007 | 232.9 | 229.4 | 232.9 | 230.9 | 59.1 | 59.6 |
| 2008 | 228.0 | 229.6 | 227.7 | 227.1 | 58.6 | 58.8 |
| 2009 | 228.5 | 229.9 | 227.9 | 223.4 | 57.9 | 57.9 |
| 2010 | 221.5 | 223.6 | 220.6 | 219.8 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| 2011 | 221.0 | 217.5 | 219.8 | 216.2 | 56.3 | 56.3 |
| 2012 | 209.8 | 211.6 | 208.4 | 212.6 | 55.8 | 55.5 |
| 2013 | 205.4 | 205.8 | 203.8 | 209.1 | 54.7 | 54.7 |
| 2014 | 206.3 | 206.1 | 204.0 | 205.7 | 54.3 | 53.9 |
| 2015 | 207.4 | 206.5 | 204.3 | 202.3 | 53.2 | 53.1 |
| 2016 | 206.2 | 206.8 | 201.4 | 199.0 | 51.7 | 52.3 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages <65
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 231.8 | 231.8 | 231.8 | 231.7 | 145.9 | 146.4 |
| 1976 | 239.8 | 237.7 | 239.8 | 237.7 | 146.7 | 147.2 |
| 1977 | 240.3 | 243.8 | 240.3 | 243.8 | 149.4 | 147.9 |
| 1978 | 251.3 | 250.1 | 251.3 | 250.1 | 149.8 | 148.7 |
| 1979 | 252.0 | 256.5 | 252.0 | 256.5 | 149.3 | 149.4 |
| 1980 | 268.3 | 263.1 | 268.3 | 263.2 | 149.7 | 150.2 |
| 1981 | 272.5 | 269.9 | 272.5 | 269.9 | 149.9 | 151.0 |
| 1982 | 276.9 | 276.9 | 276.9 | 276.9 | 151.5 | 151.7 |
| 1983 | 272.4 | 276.3 | 272.4 | 276.3 | 151.1 | 152.5 |
| 1984 | 284.2 | 275.7 | 284.2 | 275.7 | 154.9 | 153.3 |
| 1985 | 268.5 | 275.0 | 268.5 | 275.0 | 151.0 | 150.5 |
| 1986 | 268.7 | 274.4 | 268.7 | 274.4 | 147.4 | 147.8 |
| 1987 | 274.7 | 273.8 | 274.7 | 273.8 | 145.3 | 145.1 |
| 1988 | 272.4 | 273.2 | 272.4 | 273.2 | 145.7 | 146.1 |
| 1989 | 276.4 | 272.6 | 276.4 | 272.6 | 147.7 | 147.0 |
| 1990 | 287.5 | 284.7 | 287.5 | 284.7 | 147.8 | 148.0 |
| 1991 | 293.3 | 297.3 | 293.3 | 297.4 | 142.0 | 143.5 |
| 1992 | 311.8 | 310.5 | 311.8 | 310.6 | 138.2 | 139.1 |
| 1993 | 328.5 | 324.2 | 328.5 | 324.4 | 135.9 | 134.9 |
| 1994 | 322.3 | 322.1 | 322.3 | 322.3 | 131.7 | 130.8 |
| 1995 | 329.8 | 320.0 | 329.8 | 320.1 | 126.8 | 126.8 |
| 1996 | 318.4 | 318.0 | 318.4 | 318.0 | 123.4 | 123.0 |
| 1997 | 307.0 | 315.9 | 307.0 | 315.9 | 119.8 | 119.3 |
| 1998 | 301.7 | 313.9 | 301.7 | 313.9 | 116.3 | 115.6 |
| 1999 | 310.1 | 311.8 | 310.1 | 311.8 | 113.1 | 112.1 |
| 2000 | 315.2 | 309.8 | 315.2 | 309.7 | 107.6 | 108.7 |
| 2001 | 307.3 | 307.8 | 307.3 | 307.7 | 103.5 | 105.4 |
| 2002 | 315.3 | 305.8 | 315.3 | 305.7 | 102.1 | 102.2 |
| 2003 | 307.4 | 303.8 | 307.4 | 303.6 | 99.9 | 99.1 |
| 2004 | 295.4 | 301.8 | 295.4 | 301.6 | 95.8 | 96.1 |
| 2005 | 291.0 | 299.9 | 291.0 | 299.7 | 93.8 | 93.2 |
| 2006 | 287.7 | 297.9 | 287.7 | 297.7 | 90.0 | 90.4 |
| 2007 | 307.8 | 296.0 | 307.8 | 295.7 | 87.9 | 87.8 |
| 2008 | 297.5 | 294.1 | 296.7 | 293.8 | 85.3 | 85.4 |
| 2009 | 296.0 | 292.2 | 294.5 | 291.8 | 83.4 | 83.0 |
| 2010 | 284.4 | 285.0 | 282.2 | 283.4 | 80.4 | 80.6 |
| 2011 | 278.9 | 278.0 | 276.2 | 275.3 | 77.9 | 78.4 |
| 2012 | 270.6 | 271.1 | 267.3 | 267.3 | 76.4 | 76.2 |
| 2013 | 261.0 | 264.4 | 257.1 | 259.6 | 74.1 | 74.0 |
| 2014 | 250.1 | 257.9 | 245.5 | 252.2 | 72.3 | 71.9 |
| 2015 | 252.5 | 251.6 | 246.6 | 244.9 | 69.7 | 69.9 |
| 2016 | 251.8 | 245.4 | 242.3 | 237.9 | 67.8 | 68.0 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, Ages <65
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 223.1 | 223.8 | 223.1 | 223.8 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| 1976 | 223.5 | 221.2 | 223.5 | 221.2 | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| 1977 | 216.5 | 218.7 | 216.5 | 218.7 | 74.8 | 74.6 |
| 1978 | 217.2 | 216.3 | 217.2 | 216.3 | 74.7 | 74.4 |
| 1979 | 212.8 | 213.8 | 212.8 | 213.8 | 73.3 | 74.2 |
| 1980 | 210.5 | 211.4 | 210.5 | 211.4 | 73.7 | 74.0 |
| 1981 | 217.7 | 214.5 | 217.7 | 214.5 | 73.2 | 73.8 |
| 1982 | 217.1 | 217.6 | 217.1 | 217.6 | 73.6 | 73.6 |
| 1983 | 217.9 | 220.8 | 217.9 | 220.8 | 73.4 | 73.4 |
| 1984 | 224.4 | 224.0 | 224.4 | 224.0 | 74.0 | 73.2 |
| 1985 | 230.8 | 227.3 | 230.8 | 227.3 | 74.1 | 73.1 |
| 1986 | 228.4 | 230.6 | 228.4 | 230.6 | 73.0 | 72.9 |
| 1987 | 235.2 | 233.9 | 235.2 | 234.0 | 72.5 | 72.7 |
| 1988 | 230.1 | 233.1 | 230.1 | 233.1 | 72.4 | 72.5 |
| 1989 | 229.9 | 232.3 | 229.9 | 232.3 | 71.8 | 72.3 |
| 1990 | 234.3 | 231.5 | 234.3 | 231.5 | 71.1 | 72.1 |
| 1991 | 234.2 | 230.7 | 234.2 | 230.7 | 70.9 | 70.7 |
| 1992 | 231.0 | 229.9 | 231.0 | 229.9 | 69.0 | 69.4 |
| 1993 | 226.0 | 229.1 | 226.0 | 229.1 | 68.1 | 68.1 |
| 1994 | 231.7 | 231.8 | 231.7 | 231.8 | 67.3 | 66.9 |
| 1995 | 234.6 | 234.6 | 234.6 | 234.5 | 66.3 | 65.6 |
| 1996 | 235.2 | 237.3 | 235.2 | 237.2 | 64.9 | 64.4 |
| 1997 | 242.3 | 240.1 | 242.3 | 240.0 | 63.4 | 63.2 |
| 1998 | 244.0 | 243.0 | 244.0 | 242.9 | 61.1 | 62.0 |
| 1999 | 244.8 | 245.9 | 244.8 | 243.1 | 60.4 | 60.8 |
| 2000 | 243.3 | 245.0 | 243.3 | 243.3 | 59.9 | 59.7 |
| 2001 | 244.0 | 244.2 | 244.0 | 243.5 | 59.3 | 58.6 |
| 2002 | 246.7 | 243.3 | 246.7 | 243.7 | 58.0 | 57.5 |
| 2003 | 242.1 | 242.5 | 242.1 | 244.0 | 56.7 | 56.4 |
| 2004 | 240.3 | 241.6 | 240.3 | 244.2 | 54.9 | 55.4 |
| 2005 | 243.6 | 242.5 | 243.6 | 244.4 | 54.4 | 54.3 |
| 2006 | 242.8 | 243.3 | 242.8 | 244.6 | 53.7 | 53.3 |
| 2007 | 243.7 | 244.2 | 243.7 | 244.9 | 52.1 | 52.3 |
| 2008 | 246.3 | 245.0 | 246.0 | 245.1 | 50.6 | 51.3 |
| 2009 | 248.7 | 245.9 | 248.0 | 245.3 | 50.8 | 50.4 |
| 2010 | 244.6 | 246.7 | 243.6 | 245.5 | 49.3 | 49.4 |
| 2011 | 246.2 | 247.6 | 244.9 | 245.7 | 48.6 | 48.9 |
| 2012 | 245.5 | 248.5 | 243.8 | 246.0 | 48.5 | 48.3 |
| 2013 | 245.8 | 249.3 | 243.8 | 246.2 | 47.8 | 47.8 |
| 2014 | 252.5 | 250.2 | 249.6 | 246.4 | 47.5 | 47.3 |
| 2015 | 255.9 | 251.1 | 252.2 | 246.6 | 46.6 | 46.7 |
| 2016 | 250.5 | 251.9 | 244.7 | 246.9 | 46.2 | 46.2 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, Ages <65
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 214.6 | 206.0 | 214.6 | 205.8 | 95.3 | 96.2 |
| 1976 | 205.3 | 207.6 | 205.3 | 207.5 | 94.3 | 96.3 |
| 1977 | 208.6 | 209.2 | 208.6 | 209.1 | 97.9 | 96.4 |
| 1978 | 205.3 | 210.9 | 205.3 | 210.8 | 95.8 | 96.4 |
| 1979 | 216.0 | 212.5 | 216.0 | 212.5 | 96.4 | 96.5 |
| 1980 | 215.3 | 214.2 | 215.3 | 214.2 | 98.3 | 96.6 |
| 1981 | 210.6 | 215.9 | 210.6 | 215.9 | 96.2 | 96.6 |
| 1982 | 207.7 | 217.6 | 207.7 | 217.7 | 96.7 | 96.7 |
| 1983 | 219.9 | 219.3 | 219.9 | 219.4 | 96.9 | 96.8 |
| 1984 | 226.6 | 221.0 | 226.6 | 221.2 | 98.6 | 96.9 |
| 1985 | 223.7 | 222.8 | 223.7 | 222.9 | 97.2 | 96.9 |
| 1986 | 228.4 | 224.5 | 228.4 | 224.7 | 98.1 | 97.0 |
| 1987 | 224.1 | 226.3 | 224.1 | 226.5 | 98.6 | 97.1 |
| 1988 | 231.1 | 226.5 | 231.1 | 228.3 | 95.7 | 97.1 |
| 1989 | 219.9 | 226.7 | 219.9 | 228.3 | 93.9 | 97.2 |
| 1990 | 227.6 | 226.9 | 227.6 | 228.4 | 97.0 | 97.3 |
| 1991 | 231.4 | 227.1 | 231.4 | 228.4 | 93.8 | 95.5 |
| 1992 | 234.2 | 227.3 | 234.2 | 228.4 | 95.1 | 93.7 |
| 1993 | 230.7 | 227.5 | 230.7 | 228.4 | 91.6 | 91.9 |
| 1994 | 230.7 | 227.8 | 230.7 | 228.4 | 90.1 | 90.2 |
| 1995 | 224.8 | 228.0 | 224.8 | 228.4 | 89.7 | 88.5 |
| 1996 | 229.9 | 228.2 | 229.9 | 228.4 | 86.2 | 86.9 |
| 1997 | 225.5 | 228.4 | 225.5 | 228.4 | 86.0 | 85.2 |
| 1998 | 233.1 | 228.6 | 233.1 | 228.4 | 85.4 | 83.7 |
| 1999 | 231.8 | 228.8 | 231.8 | 228.5 | 81.9 | 82.1 |
| 2000 | 225.0 | 229.0 | 225.0 | 228.5 | 79.8 | 80.6 |
| 2001 | 217.6 | 229.2 | 217.6 | 228.5 | 79.0 | 79.1 |
| 2002 | 230.4 | 229.5 | 230.4 | 228.5 | 78.1 | 77.6 |
| 2003 | 225.3 | 229.7 | 225.3 | 228.5 | 77.0 | 76.1 |
| 2004 | 233.9 | 229.9 | 233.9 | 228.5 | 74.6 | 74.7 |
| 2005 | 232.0 | 230.1 | 232.0 | 228.5 | 74.3 | 73.3 |
| 2006 | 227.4 | 230.3 | 227.4 | 228.5 | 72.0 | 71.9 |
| 2007 | 227.6 | 230.5 | 227.6 | 228.6 | 70.2 | 70.6 |
| 2008 | 227.1 | 230.7 | 226.5 | 228.6 | 67.9 | 69.3 |
| 2009 | 236.9 | 231.0 | 235.8 | 228.6 | 66.4 | 68.0 |
| 2010 | 224.4 | 231.2 | 222.8 | 228.6 | 66.1 | 66.7 |
| 2011 | 233.5 | 231.4 | 231.3 | 228.6 | 66.1 | 65.5 |
| 2012 | 233.4 | 231.6 | 230.7 | 228.6 | 63.9 | 64.3 |
| 2013 | 221.2 | 231.8 | 218.0 | 228.6 | 62.3 | 63.1 |
| 2014 | 235.8 | 232.0 | 231.5 | 228.6 | 62.5 | 61.9 |
| 2015 | 232.8 | 232.3 | 227.6 | 228.6 | 60.9 | 60.7 |
| 2016 | 241.6 | 232.5 | 232.6 | 228.7 | 60.6 | 59.6 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, Ages <65, 1975-2015
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2013-16 | 0.2 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-16 | -1.6* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2005-16 | -1.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-16 | -2.5* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-16 | -2.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2006-16 | -2.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2004-16 | 0.3* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-16 | 0.1 |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2010-16 | -1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1987-16 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1988-16 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1990-16 | -1.9* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.7, February 2019, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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