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Figure 2.4
Figure 2.4
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites, Both Sexes
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2016 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2016
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Observed SEER Incidence, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 402.2 | 402.7 | 426.6 | 424.6 | ||||||
| 1976 | 409.8 | 406.1 | 427.6 | 431.4 | ||||||
| 1977 | 409.4 | 409.6 | 443.0 | 438.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 409.8 | 413.0 | 436.7 | 445.4 | ||||||
| 1979 | 414.1 | 416.5 | 451.7 | 452.6 | ||||||
| 1980 | 419.5 | 420.0 | 467.5 | 459.9 | ||||||
| 1981 | 427.7 | 423.6 | 473.0 | 467.3 | ||||||
| 1982 | 427.7 | 427.2 | 465.3 | 474.8 | ||||||
| 1983 | 434.3 | 434.9 | 487.3 | 482.5 | ||||||
| 1984 | 443.6 | 442.9 | 488.3 | 490.3 | ||||||
| 1985 | 453.5 | 450.9 | 489.4 | 492.5 | ||||||
| 1986 | 456.0 | 459.1 | 493.8 | 494.8 | ||||||
| 1987 | 475.0 | 467.5 | 501.2 | 497.0 | ||||||
| 1988 | 470.3 | 476.0 | 504.6 | 499.3 | ||||||
| 1989 | 475.4 | 484.6 | 492.9 | 501.6 | ||||||
| 1990 | 489.0 | 493.5 | 522.3 | 521.5 | ||||||
| 1991 | 510.6 | 502.4 | 549.6 | 542.3 | ||||||
| 1992 | 517.1 | 511.6 | 570.4 | 563.8 | ||||||
| 1993 | 497.1 | 500.7 | 570.1 | 560.4 | ||||||
| 1994 | 487.7 | 490.1 | 558.7 | 557.0 | ||||||
| 1995 | 482.5 | 479.7 | 544.6 | 553.7 | ||||||
| 1996 | 485.3 | 486.1 | 543.0 | 550.3 | ||||||
| 1997 | 493.8 | 492.7 | 543.4 | 547.0 | ||||||
| 1998 | 496.9 | 499.3 | 541.3 | 543.7 | ||||||
| 1999 | 499.0 | 498.0 | 544.4 | 540.5 | ||||||
| 2000 | 497.2 | 496.8 | 532.3 | 537.2 | 328.4 | 328.6 | 304.5 | 336.5 | 382.2 | 382.0 |
| 2001 | 501.8 | 495.6 | 524.8 | 534.0 | 330.6 | 327.4 | 341.5 | 334.7 | 379.7 | 381.1 |
| 2002 | 498.4 | 494.4 | 538.6 | 530.8 | 329.8 | 326.1 | 320.7 | 332.9 | 383.4 | 380.2 |
| 2003 | 487.0 | 493.2 | 523.5 | 527.6 | 321.0 | 324.9 | 334.4 | 331.1 | 375.3 | 379.3 |
| 2004 | 487.4 | 492.0 | 527.9 | 524.4 | 323.1 | 323.7 | 345.9 | 329.3 | 383.5 | 378.5 |
| 2005 | 485.3 | 490.7 | 513.4 | 521.2 | 318.6 | 322.5 | 335.9 | 327.5 | 379.1 | 377.6 |
| 2006 | 489.2 | 489.5 | 513.3 | 518.1 | 316.4 | 321.3 | 331.6 | 325.8 | 370.3 | 376.8 |
| 2007 | 494.2 | 488.3 | 521.9 | 515.0 | 324.7 | 320.1 | 319.9 | 324.0 | 373.7 | 375.9 |
| 2008 | 487.1 | 487.1 | 520.7 | 511.9 | 320.4 | 318.9 | 326.0 | 322.2 | 379.0 | 375.0 |
| 2009 | 485.8 | 481.3 | 513.4 | 508.8 | 316.8 | 317.7 | 324.6 | 320.5 | 372.1 | 370.2 |
| 2010 | 476.7 | 475.4 | 494.6 | 498.8 | 312.8 | 313.7 | 334.7 | 318.8 | 362.7 | 365.4 |
| 2011 | 471.3 | 469.7 | 488.6 | 489.0 | 313.1 | 309.9 | 317.0 | 317.0 | 364.8 | 360.7 |
| 2012 | 457.4 | 464.0 | 483.4 | 479.4 | 302.4 | 306.1 | 302.6 | 315.3 | 350.3 | 356.0 |
| 2013 | 452.3 | 458.4 | 469.3 | 470.0 | 305.5 | 302.3 | 314.1 | 313.6 | 352.2 | 351.4 |
| 2014 | 452.7 | 452.9 | 450.2 | 460.7 | 296.8 | 298.6 | 304.5 | 311.9 | 347.1 | 346.9 |
| 2015 | 452.0 | 447.4 | 449.2 | 451.7 | 299.0 | 294.9 | 315.7 | 310.2 | 345.5 | 342.4 |
| 2016 | 443.5 | 442.0 | 451.2 | 442.8 | 288.0 | 291.3 | 302.4 | 308.6 | 336.3 | 338.0 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, U.S. Mortality, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 196.3 | 198.1 | 235.5 | 237.7 | ||||||
| 1976 | 199.4 | 199.0 | 241.8 | 240.9 | ||||||
| 1977 | 199.7 | 199.8 | 246.4 | 244.1 | ||||||
| 1978 | 201.1 | 200.6 | 247.2 | 247.4 | ||||||
| 1979 | 201.2 | 201.5 | 249.0 | 250.7 | ||||||
| 1980 | 203.3 | 202.3 | 256.2 | 254.1 | ||||||
| 1981 | 202.6 | 203.2 | 256.8 | 257.5 | ||||||
| 1982 | 204.5 | 204.0 | 260.4 | 260.9 | ||||||
| 1983 | 205.2 | 204.9 | 263.8 | 264.4 | ||||||
| 1984 | 206.7 | 205.7 | 268.1 | 266.2 | ||||||
| 1985 | 207.3 | 206.6 | 268.1 | 268.1 | ||||||
| 1986 | 207.7 | 207.5 | 269.4 | 269.9 | ||||||
| 1987 | 207.8 | 208.3 | 271.1 | 271.7 | ||||||
| 1988 | 208.5 | 209.2 | 271.6 | 273.6 | ||||||
| 1989 | 210.0 | 210.1 | 275.9 | 275.5 | ||||||
| 1990 | 210.4 | 211.0 | 279.3 | 277.4 | ||||||
| 1991 | 210.6 | 210.3 | 279.0 | 279.3 | ||||||
| 1992 | 209.2 | 209.6 | 274.9 | 276.9 | ||||||
| 1993 | 209.2 | 208.9 | 277.1 | 274.6 | ||||||
| 1994 | 207.8 | 208.2 | 272.0 | 272.3 | ||||||
| 1995 | 206.1 | 205.7 | 269.5 | 270.0 | ||||||
| 1996 | 203.4 | 203.1 | 265.3 | 265.6 | ||||||
| 1997 | 199.9 | 200.6 | 262.1 | 261.2 | ||||||
| 1998 | 197.6 | 198.1 | 255.7 | 257.0 | ||||||
| 1999 | 197.8 | 196.9 | 253.8 | 252.8 | ||||||
| 2000 | 196.4 | 195.7 | 248.1 | 248.7 | 120.5 | 120.7 | 155.8 | 168.0 | 134.5 | 135.5 |
| 2001 | 194.0 | 194.5 | 244.3 | 244.6 | 120.5 | 119.2 | 168.7 | 166.5 | 134.4 | 133.8 |
| 2002 | 192.4 | 191.7 | 240.8 | 239.5 | 115.9 | 117.6 | 164.1 | 164.9 | 133.1 | 132.1 |
| 2003 | 189.1 | 189.0 | 235.2 | 234.5 | 116.3 | 116.1 | 160.3 | 163.4 | 131.2 | 130.5 |
| 2004 | 185.2 | 186.3 | 229.0 | 229.6 | 113.4 | 114.5 | 170.3 | 161.9 | 127.4 | 128.8 |
| 2005 | 183.9 | 183.7 | 224.8 | 224.8 | 113.9 | 113.0 | 161.9 | 160.4 | 129.3 | 127.2 |
| 2006 | 181.1 | 181.1 | 218.9 | 220.0 | 110.2 | 111.5 | 157.1 | 158.9 | 124.9 | 125.6 |
| 2007 | 178.3 | 178.5 | 216.2 | 215.4 | 110.0 | 110.1 | 161.3 | 157.4 | 122.8 | 124.0 |
| 2008 | 175.7 | 176.0 | 209.4 | 210.9 | 109.2 | 108.6 | 163.2 | 156.0 | 121.9 | 122.4 |
| 2009 | 173.0 | 173.5 | 205.4 | 206.5 | 107.0 | 107.2 | 150.7 | 154.6 | 120.5 | 120.9 |
| 2010 | 171.4 | 171.0 | 202.9 | 202.1 | 107.6 | 105.8 | 158.9 | 153.1 | 119.0 | 119.4 |
| 2011 | 168.5 | 168.6 | 199.1 | 197.9 | 105.3 | 104.4 | 146.6 | 151.7 | 117.7 | 117.8 |
| 2012 | 166.4 | 166.2 | 194.1 | 193.8 | 103.9 | 103.0 | 149.6 | 150.3 | 117.5 | 116.4 |
| 2013 | 163.5 | 163.8 | 189.7 | 189.7 | 100.5 | 101.7 | 149.9 | 148.9 | 115.1 | 114.9 |
| 2014 | 161.8 | 161.5 | 186.3 | 185.7 | 99.6 | 100.4 | 145.2 | 147.6 | 113.6 | 113.4 |
| 2015 | 159.5 | 159.2 | 180.9 | 181.8 | 100.0 | 99.0 | 148.6 | 146.2 | 111.7 | 112.0 |
| 2016 | 156.7 | 156.9 | 178.2 | 178.0 | 96.7 | 97.7 | 141.4 | 144.8 | 110.5 | 110.6 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.7, February 2019, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2015 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 1992-2015 allow a maximum of 4 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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