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Table 22.8
Cancer of the Pancreas (Invasive)
5-Year Relative and Period Survival by Race, Sex, Diagnosis Year, Age and Stage at Diagnosis
5-Year Relative Survival (Percent) by Year of Diagnosis
| Year of Diagnosis |
All Races | Whites | Blacks | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | |
| 1960-1963a | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1970-1973a | - | - | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1975-1977b | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| 1978-1980b | 2.9 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 7.0 |
| 1981-1983b | 2.7 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| 1984-1986b | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| 1987-1989b | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| 1990-1992b | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 4.0 |
| 1993-1995b | 4.0 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| 1996-1998b | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| 1999-2001b | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 7.4 |
| 2002-2004b | 5.6 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 5.7 |
| 2005-2008b | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 5.8 |
| 2009-2015b | 9.8f | 10.3f | 9.2f | 9.8f | 10.4f | 9.2f | 8.9f | 8.7f | 9.1f |
5-Year Period Survival (Percent)cd
| Year | All Races | Whites | Blacks | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | |
| 2015 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 9.7 | 10.2 | 9.3 | 11.0 |
Stage Distribution (%) 2009-2015ce, Case Counts and Percentages
| Stage at Diagnosis |
All Races | Whites | Blacks | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | |
| Number of cases | 63,444 | 32,169 | 31,275 | 49,999 | 25,795 | 24,204 | 7,863 | 3,647 | 4,216 |
| Percent | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Localized | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| Regional | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 28 |
| Distant | 53 | 55 | 50 | 52 | 54 | 50 | 56 | 60 | 53 |
| Unstaged/Unknown | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
5-Year Relative Survival (Percent) 2009-2015c by Age at Diagnosis
| Age at Diagnosis |
All Races | Whites | Blacks | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | |
| Ages <45 | 36.3 | 29.1 | 44.0 | 36.3 | 30.3 | 43.2 | 34.8 | 17.9 | 47.1 |
| Ages 45-54 | 15.6 | 13.6 | 18.6 | 15.6 | 13.5 | 18.7 | 14.7 | 12.8 | 17.1 |
| Ages 55-64 | 10.5 | 9.9 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 8.4 | 7.4 | 9.6 |
| Ages 65-74 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 8.8 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 7.8 |
| Ages 75+ | 4.5 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| Ages <65 | 14.0 | 12.3 | 16.2 | 13.8 | 12.5 | 15.8 | 12.5 | 9.8 | 15.8 |
| Ages 65+ | 6.4 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 5.9 |
5-Year Relative Survival (Percent) 2009-2015c by Stage at Diagnosise
| Stage at Diagnosis |
All Races | Whites | Blacks | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | Both Sexes | Males | Females | |
| All Stages | 9.3 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 10.1 |
| Localized | 37.4 | 39.6 | 35.5 | 36.9 | 39.5 | 34.5 | 34.5 | 31.4 | 36.3 |
| Regional | 12.4 | 13.2 | 11.6 | 12.5 | 13.2 | 11.7 | 12.2 | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| Distant | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| Unstaged/Unknown | 5.6 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 10.2 |
Footnotes:
a Based on End Results data from a series of hospital registries and one population-based registry.
b SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Based on follow-up of patients into 2016. Expected survival rates are derived from the U.S. Annual Life Tables.
c SEER 18 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey and Georgia excluding ATL/RG). Expected survival rates are derived from life tables by socio-economic status, geography and race developed by the SEER program. Based on follow-up of patients into 2016.
d Period survival provides a 2015 estimate of survival by piecing together the most recent conditional survival estimates from several cohorts. It is computed here using three year calendar blocks (2010-2012: 0-1 year survival), (2009-2011: 1-2 year survival), (2008-2010: 2-3 year survival), (2007-2009: 3-4 year survival), (2006-2008: 4-5 years survival).
e Stage at diagnosis is classified using SEER Summary Stage 2000. Stage distribution percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding.
f The difference between 1975-1977 and 2009-2015 is statistically significant (p<.05).
g The standard error is between 5 and 10 percentage points.
h The standard error is greater than 10 percentage points.
- Statistic could not be calculated due to fewer than 25 cases during the time period.
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