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Figure 23.3
Figure 23.3
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Prostate, Males
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2016 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2016
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Observed SEER Incidence, Male, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 141.2 | 144.6 | ||||||
| 1976 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 140.9 | 147.5 | ||||||
| 1977 | 98.6 | 96.2 | 159.2 | 150.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 148.1 | 153.4 | ||||||
| 1979 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 161.9 | 156.5 | ||||||
| 1980 | 105.0 | 104.5 | 161.1 | 159.6 | ||||||
| 1981 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 162.0 | 162.8 | ||||||
| 1982 | 107.3 | 110.5 | 167.8 | 166.0 | ||||||
| 1983 | 110.8 | 113.6 | 171.1 | 169.3 | ||||||
| 1984 | 110.1 | 116.7 | 178.7 | 172.6 | ||||||
| 1985 | 114.7 | 120.0 | 170.4 | 176.1 | ||||||
| 1986 | 119.0 | 123.3 | 168.6 | 179.6 | ||||||
| 1987 | 134.6 | 126.8 | 189.4 | 183.1 | ||||||
| 1988 | 138.7 | 130.3 | 190.2 | 186.8 | ||||||
| 1989 | 146.2 | 151.6 | 191.8 | 190.5 | ||||||
| 1990 | 172.9 | 176.4 | 222.5 | 232.3 | ||||||
| 1991 | 216.6 | 205.2 | 289.8 | 283.4 | ||||||
| 1992 | 238.7 | 238.7 | 331.0 | 345.7 | ||||||
| 1993 | 204.8 | 208.9 | 347.5 | 329.7 | ||||||
| 1994 | 174.5 | 182.8 | 315.7 | 314.5 | ||||||
| 1995 | 164.8 | 160.0 | 286.0 | 299.9 | ||||||
| 1996 | 165.6 | 164.0 | 286.4 | 296.5 | ||||||
| 1997 | 170.5 | 168.0 | 288.3 | 293.0 | ||||||
| 1998 | 167.8 | 172.2 | 292.4 | 289.7 | ||||||
| 1999 | 179.6 | 176.5 | 296.6 | 286.3 | ||||||
| 2000 | 179.8 | 180.9 | 296.6 | 283.0 | 101.2 | 103.5 | 74.6 | 88.1 | 161.2 | 162.0 |
| 2001 | 183.3 | 177.9 | 280.0 | 279.7 | 104.9 | 101.5 | 94.9 | 88.1 | 156.8 | 159.1 |
| 2002 | 180.2 | 174.9 | 293.1 | 276.5 | 101.5 | 99.6 | 91.6 | 88.2 | 162.6 | 156.1 |
| 2003 | 166.8 | 172.0 | 265.7 | 273.3 | 98.1 | 97.7 | 92.7 | 88.3 | 149.2 | 153.2 |
| 2004 | 162.9 | 169.2 | 262.9 | 270.2 | 95.5 | 95.8 | 90.2 | 88.4 | 153.5 | 150.4 |
| 2005 | 152.5 | 166.4 | 256.8 | 267.0 | 88.0 | 94.0 | 87.6 | 88.5 | 143.7 | 147.6 |
| 2006 | 169.0 | 163.6 | 259.1 | 264.0 | 90.1 | 92.2 | 86.6 | 88.5 | 143.4 | 144.9 |
| 2007 | 171.2 | 160.9 | 271.2 | 260.9 | 93.6 | 90.5 | 93.3 | 88.6 | 144.7 | 142.2 |
| 2008 | 154.0 | 158.2 | 256.8 | 257.9 | 83.8 | 84.7 | 80.4 | 83.0 | 140.7 | 139.6 |
| 2009 | 151.6 | 148.2 | 247.3 | 254.9 | 81.6 | 79.3 | 75.3 | 77.7 | 136.6 | 137.0 |
| 2010 | 144.4 | 138.8 | 233.1 | 233.5 | 74.2 | 74.3 | 78.5 | 72.7 | 127.2 | 127.3 |
| 2011 | 137.6 | 130.0 | 222.5 | 213.9 | 76.9 | 69.6 | 63.3 | 68.1 | 123.4 | 118.2 |
| 2012 | 110.7 | 121.7 | 191.4 | 195.9 | 61.1 | 65.2 | 59.8 | 63.8 | 106.1 | 109.7 |
| 2013 | 106.4 | 114.0 | 185.0 | 179.4 | 58.8 | 61.0 | 56.8 | 59.7 | 100.7 | 101.9 |
| 2014 | 97.8 | 106.7 | 159.8 | 164.3 | 51.1 | 57.2 | 56.9 | 55.9 | 89.7 | 94.6 |
| 2015 | 102.4 | 100.0 | 167.4 | 168.3 | 55.2 | 53.5 | 49.9 | 52.3 | 88.7 | 87.9 |
| 2016 | 102.0 | 93.6 | 172.8 | 172.4 | 52.9 | 50.1 | 54.6 | 49.0 | 84.6 | 81.6 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, U.S. Mortality, Male, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 29.1 | 29.5 | 55.5 | 55.3 | ||||||
| 1976 | 29.9 | 29.8 | 55.6 | 56.4 | ||||||
| 1977 | 29.9 | 30.0 | 56.4 | 57.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 30.6 | 30.2 | 58.5 | 58.5 | ||||||
| 1979 | 30.8 | 30.5 | 59.2 | 59.6 | ||||||
| 1980 | 30.8 | 30.7 | 62.0 | 60.8 | ||||||
| 1981 | 30.8 | 30.9 | 63.6 | 61.9 | ||||||
| 1982 | 31.1 | 31.2 | 62.4 | 63.1 | ||||||
| 1983 | 31.6 | 31.4 | 64.6 | 64.3 | ||||||
| 1984 | 31.6 | 31.7 | 65.9 | 65.5 | ||||||
| 1985 | 31.3 | 31.9 | 67.3 | 66.8 | ||||||
| 1986 | 32.5 | 32.2 | 67.4 | 68.0 | ||||||
| 1987 | 32.6 | 32.4 | 68.9 | 69.3 | ||||||
| 1988 | 33.4 | 33.4 | 69.6 | 70.6 | ||||||
| 1989 | 34.5 | 34.5 | 71.7 | 72.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 35.7 | 35.5 | 78.0 | 75.3 | ||||||
| 1991 | 36.5 | 36.6 | 78.2 | 77.8 | ||||||
| 1992 | 36.3 | 36.4 | 79.8 | 80.3 | ||||||
| 1993 | 36.3 | 36.1 | 81.9 | 82.9 | ||||||
| 1994 | 35.6 | 35.8 | 80.0 | 80.7 | ||||||
| 1995 | 34.4 | 34.3 | 78.2 | 78.6 | ||||||
| 1996 | 33.0 | 32.8 | 78.8 | 76.5 | ||||||
| 1997 | 31.3 | 31.4 | 74.3 | 74.5 | ||||||
| 1998 | 29.9 | 30.1 | 72.8 | 72.5 | ||||||
| 1999 | 28.9 | 28.8 | 70.1 | 70.6 | ||||||
| 2000 | 27.8 | 27.8 | 68.9 | 68.8 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 26.4 | 23.8 | 21.8 | 23.8 |
| 2001 | 27.0 | 26.9 | 67.8 | 67.0 | 11.9 | 12.1 | 21.2 | 23.5 | 24.1 | 23.2 |
| 2002 | 26.4 | 26.0 | 65.0 | 64.4 | 10.7 | 11.8 | 19.5 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 22.5 |
| 2003 | 25.0 | 25.1 | 60.4 | 61.9 | 11.6 | 11.5 | 23.9 | 22.8 | 21.9 | 21.9 |
| 2004 | 24.0 | 24.3 | 59.0 | 59.5 | 12.2 | 11.2 | 23.3 | 22.5 | 21.1 | 21.3 |
| 2005 | 23.3 | 23.5 | 57.0 | 57.2 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 25.9 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 20.7 |
| 2006 | 22.3 | 22.7 | 53.7 | 55.0 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 19.2 | 21.9 | 20.6 | 20.1 |
| 2007 | 22.2 | 21.9 | 54.9 | 52.9 | 11.2 | 10.4 | 22.1 | 21.5 | 20.0 | 19.5 |
| 2008 | 21.3 | 21.2 | 49.1 | 50.8 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 22.8 | 21.2 | 19.1 | 19.0 |
| 2009 | 20.3 | 20.5 | 49.4 | 48.9 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 18.2 | 20.9 | 18.1 | 18.5 |
| 2010 | 20.1 | 19.8 | 48.1 | 47.0 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 19.6 | 20.6 | 18.3 | 17.9 |
| 2011 | 19.3 | 19.1 | 44.0 | 44.4 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 22.5 | 20.3 | 17.4 | 17.4 |
| 2012 | 18.1 | 18.5 | 41.6 | 41.9 | 8.4 | 9.2 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 16.5 | 17.0 |
| 2013 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 39.1 | 39.5 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 18.1 | 19.8 | 15.9 | 16.5 |
| 2014 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 38.0 | 37.3 | 8.4 | 8.7 | 19.8 | 19.5 | 15.5 | 16.0 |
| 2015 | 17.7 | 18.0 | 37.5 | 37.8 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 21.7 | 19.2 | 15.9 | 15.6 |
| 2016 | 18.2 | 18.0 | 38.4 | 38.3 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 18.9 | 15.6 | 15.1 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.7, February 2019, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2015 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 1992-2015 allow a maximum of 4 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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