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Figure 2.3
Figure 2.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2494.4 | 2521.8 | 2494.4 | 2510.1 | 1403.0 | 1404.8 |
| 1976 | 2571.0 | 2556.0 | 2571.0 | 2546.7 | 1427.1 | 1422.7 |
| 1977 | 2599.1 | 2590.6 | 2599.1 | 2583.8 | 1437.2 | 1440.8 |
| 1978 | 2620.7 | 2625.7 | 2620.7 | 2621.5 | 1460.1 | 1459.2 |
| 1979 | 2682.3 | 2661.3 | 2682.3 | 2659.7 | 1476.5 | 1477.8 |
| 1980 | 2719.9 | 2697.3 | 2719.9 | 2698.5 | 1488.6 | 1485.8 |
| 1981 | 2746.9 | 2733.9 | 2746.9 | 2737.8 | 1483.7 | 1493.8 |
| 1982 | 2768.3 | 2770.9 | 2768.3 | 2777.7 | 1508.4 | 1501.9 |
| 1983 | 2797.6 | 2808.5 | 2797.6 | 2818.2 | 1518.6 | 1510.0 |
| 1984 | 2831.4 | 2846.5 | 2831.4 | 2859.3 | 1519.8 | 1518.2 |
| 1985 | 2819.0 | 2885.1 | 2819.0 | 2901.0 | 1523.7 | 1526.4 |
| 1986 | 2883.5 | 2924.2 | 2883.5 | 2943.3 | 1534.2 | 1534.6 |
| 1987 | 3052.8 | 2963.8 | 3052.8 | 2986.2 | 1536.9 | 1542.9 |
| 1988 | 3036.3 | 3004.0 | 3036.3 | 3029.8 | 1545.6 | 1551.2 |
| 1989 | 3086.1 | 3143.9 | 3086.1 | 3074.0 | 1560.0 | 1559.6 |
| 1990 | 3258.4 | 3290.3 | 3258.4 | 3253.1 | 1573.9 | 1568.0 |
| 1991 | 3530.5 | 3443.5 | 3530.5 | 3442.6 | 1577.8 | 1576.5 |
| 1992 | 3645.3 | 3603.8 | 3645.3 | 3643.2 | 1573.3 | 1585.0 |
| 1993 | 3340.3 | 3398.9 | 3340.3 | 3395.2 | 1572.6 | 1568.4 |
| 1994 | 3096.4 | 3205.6 | 3096.4 | 3164.0 | 1557.5 | 1552.0 |
| 1995 | 2986.5 | 3023.3 | 2986.5 | 2948.6 | 1546.8 | 1535.7 |
| 1996 | 2991.1 | 3014.3 | 2991.1 | 2976.2 | 1520.4 | 1519.6 |
| 1997 | 3021.3 | 3005.3 | 3021.3 | 3004.1 | 1497.4 | 1503.6 |
| 1998 | 3041.7 | 2996.4 | 3041.7 | 3032.2 | 1476.1 | 1487.9 |
| 1999 | 3056.9 | 2987.5 | 3056.9 | 3060.6 | 1477.2 | 1472.3 |
| 2000 | 3028.6 | 2978.6 | 3028.6 | 3034.7 | 1458.8 | 1456.8 |
| 2001 | 3049.0 | 2969.7 | 3049.0 | 3009.0 | 1437.2 | 1441.6 |
| 2002 | 2997.4 | 2960.9 | 2997.4 | 2983.5 | 1422.9 | 1417.3 |
| 2003 | 2917.1 | 2952.1 | 2917.1 | 2958.3 | 1390.3 | 1393.4 |
| 2004 | 2899.0 | 2943.3 | 2899.0 | 2933.3 | 1359.6 | 1369.9 |
| 2005 | 2852.0 | 2934.6 | 2852.0 | 2908.4 | 1353.6 | 1346.8 |
| 2006 | 2880.6 | 2925.8 | 2880.6 | 2883.8 | 1321.3 | 1324.1 |
| 2007 | 2944.2 | 2917.1 | 2944.2 | 2859.4 | 1305.4 | 1301.8 |
| 2008 | 2824.0 | 2838.7 | 2824.0 | 2800.9 | 1281.6 | 1279.9 |
| 2009 | 2761.8 | 2762.4 | 2757.6 | 2743.6 | 1256.2 | 1258.3 |
| 2010 | 2741.6 | 2688.1 | 2733.2 | 2687.5 | 1244.5 | 1237.1 |
| 2011 | 2656.3 | 2615.9 | 2644.0 | 2632.5 | 1219.6 | 1216.3 |
| 2012 | 2505.3 | 2545.5 | 2489.8 | 2578.7 | 1196.0 | 1195.8 |
| 2013 | 2478.4 | 2477.1 | 2459.3 | 2525.9 | 1173.0 | 1175.7 |
| 2014 | 2448.8 | 2469.2 | 2426.0 | 2474.2 | 1156.6 | 1155.9 |
| 2015 | 2458.7 | 2461.4 | 2427.1 | 2423.6 | 1137.8 | 1136.4 |
| 2016 | 2453.4 | 2453.6 | 2409.5 | 2374.0 | 1116.6 | 1117.2 |
| 2017 | 2451.9 | 2445.8 | 2374.9 | 2325.4 | 1093.7 | 1098.4 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2555.2 | 2737.2 | 2555.2 | 2737.2 | 1527.3 | 1540.7 |
| 1976 | 2718.3 | 2779.8 | 2718.3 | 2779.9 | 1584.7 | 1581.1 |
| 1977 | 2909.9 | 2823.1 | 2909.9 | 2823.2 | 1641.2 | 1622.5 |
| 1978 | 2781.1 | 2867.1 | 2781.1 | 2867.2 | 1662.1 | 1665.0 |
| 1979 | 2925.4 | 2911.8 | 2925.4 | 2911.8 | 1695.0 | 1708.7 |
| 1980 | 3011.7 | 2957.2 | 3011.7 | 2957.2 | 1765.7 | 1753.4 |
| 1981 | 3134.8 | 3003.3 | 3134.8 | 3003.3 | 1801.4 | 1799.4 |
| 1982 | 3010.1 | 3050.1 | 3010.1 | 3050.1 | 1839.8 | 1846.6 |
| 1983 | 3230.5 | 3097.6 | 3230.5 | 3097.6 | 1877.8 | 1879.7 |
| 1984 | 3130.2 | 3145.9 | 3130.2 | 3145.9 | 1919.9 | 1913.5 |
| 1985 | 3238.4 | 3194.9 | 3238.4 | 3194.9 | 1945.5 | 1947.9 |
| 1986 | 3233.6 | 3244.7 | 3233.6 | 3244.7 | 1979.4 | 1982.9 |
| 1987 | 3373.0 | 3295.3 | 3373.0 | 3295.2 | 2028.1 | 2018.5 |
| 1988 | 3324.0 | 3346.7 | 3324.0 | 3346.6 | 2032.9 | 2054.7 |
| 1989 | 3321.2 | 3398.8 | 3321.2 | 3398.7 | 2106.4 | 2091.7 |
| 1990 | 3550.3 | 3685.6 | 3550.3 | 3685.8 | 2136.3 | 2129.2 |
| 1991 | 4031.6 | 3996.6 | 4031.6 | 3997.2 | 2150.5 | 2144.9 |
| 1992 | 4268.2 | 4333.9 | 4268.2 | 4334.9 | 2124.4 | 2160.6 |
| 1993 | 4230.2 | 4132.5 | 4230.2 | 4131.7 | 2183.9 | 2176.5 |
| 1994 | 3985.7 | 3940.4 | 3985.7 | 3938.1 | 2137.3 | 2142.8 |
| 1995 | 3674.2 | 3757.2 | 3674.2 | 3753.5 | 2122.2 | 2109.6 |
| 1996 | 3579.8 | 3707.3 | 3579.8 | 3704.5 | 2103.9 | 2077.0 |
| 1997 | 3768.2 | 3658.0 | 3768.2 | 3656.2 | 2045.2 | 2044.8 |
| 1998 | 3680.3 | 3609.3 | 3680.3 | 3608.6 | 1990.3 | 2013.2 |
| 1999 | 3629.3 | 3561.3 | 3629.3 | 3561.5 | 1981.8 | 1982.0 |
| 2000 | 3510.5 | 3513.9 | 3510.5 | 3515.1 | 1956.1 | 1951.3 |
| 2001 | 3455.7 | 3467.2 | 3455.7 | 3469.2 | 1928.5 | 1921.1 |
| 2002 | 3392.8 | 3421.1 | 3392.8 | 3424.0 | 1871.9 | 1870.6 |
| 2003 | 3312.8 | 3375.6 | 3312.8 | 3379.3 | 1798.5 | 1821.3 |
| 2004 | 3424.2 | 3330.7 | 3424.2 | 3335.3 | 1769.1 | 1773.3 |
| 2005 | 3135.7 | 3286.4 | 3135.7 | 3291.8 | 1727.8 | 1726.6 |
| 2006 | 3179.6 | 3242.7 | 3179.6 | 3248.8 | 1674.0 | 1681.2 |
| 2007 | 3216.8 | 3199.6 | 3216.8 | 3206.5 | 1659.9 | 1636.9 |
| 2008 | 3248.0 | 3157.0 | 3248.0 | 3164.6 | 1588.5 | 1593.8 |
| 2009 | 3079.3 | 3050.7 | 3071.8 | 3043.7 | 1551.5 | 1551.8 |
| 2010 | 2955.3 | 2947.9 | 2940.7 | 2927.3 | 1534.5 | 1510.9 |
| 2011 | 2809.3 | 2848.5 | 2788.9 | 2815.5 | 1468.9 | 1471.2 |
| 2012 | 2737.7 | 2752.5 | 2710.1 | 2707.8 | 1428.3 | 1432.4 |
| 2013 | 2705.2 | 2659.8 | 2671.4 | 2604.3 | 1389.8 | 1394.7 |
| 2014 | 2512.3 | 2570.2 | 2474.8 | 2504.8 | 1352.5 | 1358.0 |
| 2015 | 2490.6 | 2483.5 | 2443.3 | 2495.3 | 1312.3 | 1322.2 |
| 2016 | 2589.4 | 2540.7 | 2524.3 | 2485.8 | 1285.5 | 1287.4 |
| 2017 | 2574.9 | 2599.1 | 2467.0 | 2476.3 | 1262.8 | 1253.5 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1382.8 | 1363.3 | 1382.8 | 1363.2 | 739.4 | 745.4 |
| 1976 | 1408.6 | 1388.7 | 1408.6 | 1388.7 | 759.4 | 753.5 |
| 1977 | 1414.8 | 1414.6 | 1414.8 | 1414.6 | 761.8 | 761.6 |
| 1978 | 1410.0 | 1441.0 | 1410.0 | 1441.0 | 769.6 | 769.9 |
| 1979 | 1454.5 | 1467.8 | 1454.5 | 1467.8 | 772.8 | 778.2 |
| 1980 | 1499.8 | 1495.2 | 1499.8 | 1495.2 | 789.5 | 786.6 |
| 1981 | 1532.5 | 1523.1 | 1532.5 | 1523.1 | 796.1 | 795.1 |
| 1982 | 1532.2 | 1551.5 | 1532.2 | 1551.5 | 805.4 | 803.7 |
| 1983 | 1563.2 | 1580.4 | 1563.2 | 1580.4 | 811.9 | 812.4 |
| 1984 | 1609.7 | 1609.9 | 1609.7 | 1609.9 | 826.2 | 821.2 |
| 1985 | 1660.5 | 1639.9 | 1660.5 | 1639.9 | 829.4 | 830.1 |
| 1986 | 1658.7 | 1670.5 | 1658.7 | 1670.5 | 840.4 | 839.1 |
| 1987 | 1724.0 | 1701.7 | 1724.0 | 1701.7 | 843.1 | 848.1 |
| 1988 | 1716.4 | 1733.4 | 1716.4 | 1733.4 | 852.4 | 857.3 |
| 1989 | 1724.6 | 1736.0 | 1724.6 | 1736.0 | 871.4 | 866.6 |
| 1990 | 1741.5 | 1738.7 | 1741.5 | 1738.7 | 876.5 | 876.0 |
| 1991 | 1772.4 | 1741.4 | 1772.4 | 1741.4 | 882.0 | 882.7 |
| 1992 | 1754.3 | 1744.0 | 1754.3 | 1744.0 | 888.7 | 889.5 |
| 1993 | 1736.9 | 1746.7 | 1736.9 | 1746.7 | 896.7 | 896.4 |
| 1994 | 1747.6 | 1749.4 | 1747.6 | 1749.4 | 900.6 | 903.3 |
| 1995 | 1752.2 | 1752.1 | 1752.2 | 1752.0 | 900.6 | 897.6 |
| 1996 | 1764.1 | 1781.0 | 1764.1 | 1781.1 | 895.2 | 892.0 |
| 1997 | 1816.0 | 1810.4 | 1816.0 | 1810.6 | 885.7 | 886.3 |
| 1998 | 1848.5 | 1840.3 | 1848.5 | 1840.6 | 886.2 | 890.4 |
| 1999 | 1820.0 | 1824.5 | 1820.0 | 1824.5 | 895.5 | 894.4 |
| 2000 | 1785.3 | 1808.8 | 1785.3 | 1808.6 | 899.6 | 898.5 |
| 2001 | 1816.9 | 1793.2 | 1816.9 | 1792.9 | 885.8 | 890.4 |
| 2002 | 1786.9 | 1777.8 | 1786.9 | 1777.3 | 885.6 | 882.4 |
| 2003 | 1753.3 | 1762.4 | 1753.3 | 1761.8 | 877.3 | 874.5 |
| 2004 | 1772.8 | 1764.2 | 1772.8 | 1764.1 | 866.1 | 866.6 |
| 2005 | 1755.6 | 1766.0 | 1755.6 | 1766.4 | 858.4 | 858.8 |
| 2006 | 1764.1 | 1767.8 | 1764.1 | 1768.7 | 851.7 | 851.1 |
| 2007 | 1766.8 | 1769.6 | 1766.8 | 1771.0 | 842.0 | 843.4 |
| 2008 | 1773.5 | 1771.4 | 1773.5 | 1773.3 | 831.9 | 832.0 |
| 2009 | 1792.3 | 1773.2 | 1789.5 | 1775.6 | 815.9 | 820.8 |
| 2010 | 1757.4 | 1765.7 | 1752.0 | 1762.7 | 813.0 | 809.7 |
| 2011 | 1749.0 | 1758.2 | 1740.9 | 1749.9 | 799.3 | 798.8 |
| 2012 | 1752.4 | 1750.8 | 1741.6 | 1737.3 | 789.2 | 788.0 |
| 2013 | 1737.2 | 1743.4 | 1723.7 | 1724.7 | 776.1 | 777.3 |
| 2014 | 1740.0 | 1736.0 | 1723.9 | 1712.2 | 768.4 | 766.8 |
| 2015 | 1724.7 | 1728.7 | 1702.4 | 1699.8 | 759.8 | 756.4 |
| 2016 | 1725.7 | 1721.4 | 1694.9 | 1687.5 | 746.7 | 746.2 |
| 2017 | 1716.0 | 1714.1 | 1662.3 | 1675.3 | 732.0 | 736.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1340.8 | 1287.4 | 1340.8 | 1287.9 | 719.5 | 739.5 |
| 1976 | 1278.3 | 1308.6 | 1278.3 | 1308.9 | 765.5 | 752.2 |
| 1977 | 1348.0 | 1330.0 | 1348.0 | 1330.3 | 760.5 | 765.2 |
| 1978 | 1304.4 | 1351.8 | 1304.4 | 1352.1 | 774.3 | 778.4 |
| 1979 | 1350.3 | 1374.0 | 1350.3 | 1374.2 | 779.8 | 791.8 |
| 1980 | 1412.0 | 1396.6 | 1412.0 | 1396.6 | 818.1 | 805.5 |
| 1981 | 1415.7 | 1419.5 | 1415.7 | 1419.4 | 818.1 | 819.4 |
| 1982 | 1408.1 | 1442.8 | 1408.1 | 1442.6 | 836.4 | 833.5 |
| 1983 | 1504.6 | 1466.4 | 1504.6 | 1466.2 | 858.9 | 847.9 |
| 1984 | 1488.8 | 1490.5 | 1488.8 | 1490.2 | 866.8 | 862.6 |
| 1985 | 1529.3 | 1515.0 | 1529.3 | 1514.5 | 881.5 | 877.4 |
| 1986 | 1561.0 | 1539.8 | 1561.0 | 1539.3 | 896.8 | 892.6 |
| 1987 | 1569.7 | 1565.1 | 1569.7 | 1564.4 | 900.2 | 908.0 |
| 1988 | 1607.8 | 1590.8 | 1607.8 | 1590.0 | 924.0 | 923.6 |
| 1989 | 1527.5 | 1616.9 | 1527.5 | 1616.0 | 940.4 | 939.6 |
| 1990 | 1668.6 | 1643.4 | 1668.6 | 1642.4 | 954.6 | 955.8 |
| 1991 | 1667.3 | 1649.6 | 1667.3 | 1648.8 | 992.5 | 972.3 |
| 1992 | 1658.1 | 1655.8 | 1658.1 | 1655.2 | 970.9 | 989.1 |
| 1993 | 1608.7 | 1662.0 | 1608.7 | 1661.6 | 998.7 | 1006.1 |
| 1994 | 1644.8 | 1668.3 | 1644.8 | 1668.1 | 991.9 | 1002.3 |
| 1995 | 1653.1 | 1674.5 | 1653.1 | 1674.6 | 998.6 | 998.5 |
| 1996 | 1722.5 | 1680.8 | 1722.5 | 1681.1 | 994.3 | 994.7 |
| 1997 | 1703.6 | 1687.2 | 1703.6 | 1687.6 | 1007.7 | 990.9 |
| 1998 | 1719.9 | 1693.5 | 1719.9 | 1694.2 | 979.3 | 987.1 |
| 1999 | 1744.4 | 1699.9 | 1744.4 | 1700.8 | 996.8 | 983.3 |
| 2000 | 1669.8 | 1706.3 | 1669.8 | 1707.4 | 976.9 | 979.6 |
| 2001 | 1687.2 | 1712.7 | 1687.2 | 1714.0 | 974.0 | 975.9 |
| 2002 | 1799.5 | 1719.2 | 1799.5 | 1720.7 | 974.7 | 972.1 |
| 2003 | 1722.6 | 1725.6 | 1722.6 | 1727.4 | 961.2 | 957.1 |
| 2004 | 1713.4 | 1732.1 | 1713.4 | 1734.1 | 936.1 | 942.2 |
| 2005 | 1744.1 | 1738.6 | 1744.1 | 1740.8 | 918.0 | 927.6 |
| 2006 | 1737.4 | 1745.2 | 1737.4 | 1747.6 | 905.5 | 913.2 |
| 2007 | 1727.3 | 1751.7 | 1727.3 | 1754.4 | 903.1 | 899.1 |
| 2008 | 1754.2 | 1758.3 | 1754.2 | 1761.2 | 879.3 | 885.1 |
| 2009 | 1733.3 | 1743.8 | 1729.1 | 1740.5 | 865.3 | 871.4 |
| 2010 | 1715.2 | 1729.5 | 1706.9 | 1720.1 | 858.0 | 857.9 |
| 2011 | 1712.1 | 1715.2 | 1699.7 | 1699.9 | 857.5 | 844.6 |
| 2012 | 1754.2 | 1701.1 | 1737.2 | 1679.9 | 838.5 | 831.5 |
| 2013 | 1726.9 | 1687.0 | 1706.2 | 1660.1 | 824.1 | 818.6 |
| 2014 | 1593.0 | 1673.1 | 1569.9 | 1640.6 | 810.3 | 805.9 |
| 2015 | 1640.3 | 1659.3 | 1609.6 | 1621.3 | 786.6 | 793.4 |
| 2016 | 1648.4 | 1645.7 | 1607.5 | 1602.3 | 779.3 | 781.1 |
| 2017 | 1655.1 | 1632.1 | 1588.2 | 1583.4 | 765.4 | 769.0 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, Ages 65+, 1975-2015
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2013-17 | -0.3 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-17 | -2.0* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2001-17 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2015-17 | 2.3 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2014-17 | -0.4 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-17 | -2.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2009-17 | -0.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2009-17 | -0.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2007-17 | -1.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2008-17 | -0.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2008-17 | -1.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2002-17 | -1.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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