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Figure 2.4
Figure 2.4
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites, Both Sexes
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2017 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2017
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Observed SEER Incidence, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 402.2 | 402.8 | 426.8 | 424.6 | ||||||
| 1976 | 409.9 | 406.2 | 427.6 | 431.5 | ||||||
| 1977 | 409.4 | 409.6 | 443.0 | 438.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 409.9 | 413.1 | 436.8 | 445.5 | ||||||
| 1979 | 414.2 | 416.6 | 451.7 | 452.6 | ||||||
| 1980 | 419.5 | 420.1 | 467.5 | 459.9 | ||||||
| 1981 | 427.7 | 423.6 | 472.9 | 467.3 | ||||||
| 1982 | 427.8 | 427.2 | 465.3 | 474.8 | ||||||
| 1983 | 434.4 | 435.0 | 487.3 | 482.5 | ||||||
| 1984 | 443.7 | 442.9 | 488.3 | 490.2 | ||||||
| 1985 | 453.6 | 451.0 | 489.4 | 492.5 | ||||||
| 1986 | 456.1 | 459.2 | 493.8 | 494.8 | ||||||
| 1987 | 475.1 | 467.5 | 501.2 | 497.1 | ||||||
| 1988 | 470.4 | 476.0 | 504.6 | 499.5 | ||||||
| 1989 | 475.4 | 484.7 | 493.0 | 501.8 | ||||||
| 1990 | 489.0 | 493.5 | 522.4 | 521.5 | ||||||
| 1991 | 510.7 | 502.5 | 549.6 | 542.0 | ||||||
| 1992 | 517.1 | 511.6 | 570.5 | 563.3 | ||||||
| 1993 | 497.1 | 500.8 | 570.4 | 560.0 | ||||||
| 1994 | 487.8 | 490.1 | 559.0 | 556.8 | ||||||
| 1995 | 482.6 | 479.7 | 544.7 | 553.6 | ||||||
| 1996 | 485.4 | 486.2 | 543.3 | 550.4 | ||||||
| 1997 | 494.0 | 492.9 | 543.6 | 547.3 | ||||||
| 1998 | 497.0 | 499.6 | 541.6 | 544.1 | ||||||
| 1999 | 499.1 | 498.3 | 544.7 | 541.0 | ||||||
| 2000 | 497.2 | 497.0 | 532.7 | 537.9 | 328.7 | 332.6 | 305.2 | 337.9 | 382.5 | 382.6 |
| 2001 | 501.9 | 495.7 | 525.1 | 534.8 | 331.0 | 330.5 | 341.2 | 336.1 | 380.2 | 381.7 |
| 2002 | 498.5 | 494.5 | 539.2 | 531.7 | 330.4 | 328.5 | 321.2 | 334.3 | 383.8 | 380.8 |
| 2003 | 487.1 | 493.2 | 523.8 | 528.7 | 321.4 | 326.4 | 335.1 | 332.5 | 376.0 | 379.8 |
| 2004 | 487.7 | 491.9 | 528.4 | 525.6 | 323.5 | 324.4 | 346.5 | 330.8 | 384.1 | 378.9 |
| 2005 | 485.5 | 490.7 | 514.0 | 522.6 | 318.9 | 322.4 | 336.0 | 329.0 | 379.7 | 377.9 |
| 2006 | 489.6 | 489.4 | 514.2 | 519.6 | 317.1 | 320.4 | 332.9 | 327.3 | 370.9 | 377.0 |
| 2007 | 494.7 | 488.1 | 522.6 | 516.6 | 325.5 | 318.5 | 321.4 | 325.6 | 374.8 | 376.1 |
| 2008 | 487.7 | 486.9 | 521.1 | 513.7 | 321.2 | 316.5 | 327.5 | 323.9 | 380.2 | 375.2 |
| 2009 | 486.5 | 481.7 | 514.1 | 510.7 | 317.8 | 314.5 | 325.8 | 322.2 | 373.7 | 371.2 |
| 2010 | 478.0 | 476.5 | 495.4 | 499.7 | 313.8 | 312.6 | 336.7 | 320.5 | 364.1 | 367.3 |
| 2011 | 472.3 | 471.4 | 488.9 | 489.0 | 315.0 | 310.7 | 322.0 | 318.8 | 366.2 | 363.4 |
| 2012 | 458.5 | 466.4 | 485.0 | 478.4 | 305.0 | 308.8 | 305.9 | 317.1 | 352.7 | 359.5 |
| 2013 | 453.7 | 461.4 | 470.8 | 468.1 | 308.9 | 306.9 | 317.8 | 315.4 | 354.8 | 355.7 |
| 2014 | 454.7 | 456.5 | 452.2 | 458.0 | 300.9 | 305.0 | 308.6 | 313.7 | 351.0 | 352.0 |
| 2015 | 454.9 | 451.6 | 452.9 | 455.3 | 305.0 | 303.1 | 321.1 | 312.1 | 350.5 | 348.3 |
| 2016 | 450.7 | 446.8 | 459.5 | 452.7 | 299.3 | 301.2 | 314.3 | 310.4 | 348.6 | 344.6 |
| 2017 | 443.5 | 442.0 | 446.3 | 450.0 | 297.8 | 299.4 | 291.5 | 308.8 | 338.8 | 340.9 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, U.S. Mortality, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 196.3 | 198.1 | 235.5 | 237.7 | ||||||
| 1976 | 199.4 | 199.0 | 241.8 | 240.9 | ||||||
| 1977 | 199.7 | 199.8 | 246.4 | 244.1 | ||||||
| 1978 | 201.1 | 200.6 | 247.2 | 247.4 | ||||||
| 1979 | 201.2 | 201.5 | 249.0 | 250.7 | ||||||
| 1980 | 203.3 | 202.3 | 256.2 | 254.1 | ||||||
| 1981 | 202.6 | 203.2 | 256.8 | 257.5 | ||||||
| 1982 | 204.5 | 204.0 | 260.4 | 260.9 | ||||||
| 1983 | 205.2 | 204.9 | 263.8 | 264.4 | ||||||
| 1984 | 206.7 | 205.7 | 268.1 | 266.2 | ||||||
| 1985 | 207.3 | 206.6 | 268.1 | 268.1 | ||||||
| 1986 | 207.7 | 207.5 | 269.4 | 269.9 | ||||||
| 1987 | 207.8 | 208.3 | 271.1 | 271.7 | ||||||
| 1988 | 208.5 | 209.2 | 271.6 | 273.6 | ||||||
| 1989 | 210.0 | 210.1 | 275.9 | 275.5 | ||||||
| 1990 | 210.4 | 211.0 | 279.3 | 277.4 | ||||||
| 1991 | 210.6 | 210.3 | 279.0 | 279.3 | ||||||
| 1992 | 209.2 | 209.6 | 274.9 | 276.9 | ||||||
| 1993 | 209.2 | 208.9 | 277.1 | 274.6 | ||||||
| 1994 | 207.8 | 208.2 | 272.0 | 272.3 | ||||||
| 1995 | 206.1 | 205.7 | 269.5 | 270.0 | ||||||
| 1996 | 203.4 | 203.1 | 265.3 | 265.6 | ||||||
| 1997 | 199.9 | 200.6 | 262.1 | 261.2 | ||||||
| 1998 | 197.6 | 198.1 | 255.7 | 257.0 | ||||||
| 1999 | 197.8 | 196.9 | 253.8 | 252.8 | ||||||
| 2000 | 196.4 | 195.7 | 248.1 | 248.7 | 120.5 | 120.7 | 155.6 | 168.7 | 134.5 | 135.3 |
| 2001 | 194.0 | 194.6 | 244.3 | 244.7 | 120.5 | 119.1 | 168.7 | 167.0 | 134.4 | 133.7 |
| 2002 | 192.4 | 191.8 | 240.8 | 239.5 | 115.9 | 117.6 | 163.9 | 165.3 | 133.1 | 132.0 |
| 2003 | 189.1 | 189.1 | 235.2 | 234.5 | 116.3 | 116.1 | 160.2 | 163.7 | 131.2 | 130.4 |
| 2004 | 185.2 | 186.4 | 229.0 | 229.6 | 113.4 | 114.6 | 170.3 | 162.0 | 127.4 | 128.8 |
| 2005 | 183.9 | 183.7 | 224.8 | 224.8 | 113.9 | 113.1 | 161.8 | 160.4 | 129.3 | 127.2 |
| 2006 | 181.1 | 181.1 | 218.9 | 220.1 | 110.2 | 111.6 | 157.2 | 158.8 | 124.9 | 125.6 |
| 2007 | 178.3 | 178.5 | 216.2 | 215.4 | 110.0 | 110.2 | 161.0 | 157.2 | 122.8 | 124.1 |
| 2008 | 175.7 | 175.9 | 209.4 | 210.9 | 109.2 | 108.8 | 162.9 | 155.6 | 121.9 | 122.6 |
| 2009 | 173.0 | 173.4 | 205.4 | 206.5 | 107.0 | 107.4 | 150.5 | 154.1 | 120.5 | 121.1 |
| 2010 | 171.4 | 170.9 | 202.9 | 202.2 | 107.7 | 106.0 | 158.9 | 152.5 | 119.0 | 119.6 |
| 2011 | 168.6 | 168.5 | 199.1 | 197.9 | 105.4 | 104.6 | 146.8 | 151.0 | 117.9 | 118.1 |
| 2012 | 166.5 | 166.1 | 194.2 | 193.8 | 104.3 | 103.3 | 149.6 | 149.5 | 117.7 | 116.6 |
| 2013 | 163.6 | 163.7 | 189.8 | 189.7 | 101.0 | 101.9 | 149.8 | 148.0 | 115.5 | 115.2 |
| 2014 | 162.0 | 161.4 | 186.5 | 185.7 | 100.2 | 100.6 | 145.0 | 146.5 | 114.1 | 113.8 |
| 2015 | 159.6 | 159.1 | 181.1 | 181.9 | 100.8 | 99.3 | 148.6 | 145.1 | 112.2 | 112.4 |
| 2016 | 156.8 | 156.8 | 178.4 | 178.0 | 97.6 | 98.0 | 141.5 | 143.6 | 111.1 | 111.0 |
| 2017 | 153.6 | 154.5 | 173.7 | 174.3 | 95.6 | 96.8 | 137.8 | 142.2 | 109.5 | 109.6 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2016 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 2000-2016 allow a maximum of 3 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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