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Figure 4.4
Figure 4.4
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Female Breast
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2017 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2017
Rates per 100,000 for Breast, Observed SEER Incidence, Female, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 107.4 | 105.9 | 93.6 | 91.4 | ||||||
| 1976 | 104.8 | 105.4 | 85.7 | 89.2 | ||||||
| 1977 | 103.3 | 104.9 | 87.1 | 87.0 | ||||||
| 1978 | 103.6 | 104.4 | 86.1 | 84.8 | ||||||
| 1979 | 104.7 | 103.9 | 86.9 | 87.7 | ||||||
| 1980 | 105.1 | 103.4 | 89.5 | 90.7 | ||||||
| 1981 | 109.9 | 107.6 | 94.2 | 93.8 | ||||||
| 1982 | 109.9 | 112.0 | 93.6 | 97.0 | ||||||
| 1983 | 114.5 | 116.6 | 103.6 | 100.4 | ||||||
| 1984 | 119.9 | 121.4 | 102.4 | 103.8 | ||||||
| 1985 | 127.8 | 126.4 | 111.9 | 107.4 | ||||||
| 1986 | 130.4 | 131.5 | 115.3 | 111.0 | ||||||
| 1987 | 140.2 | 136.9 | 109.5 | 114.8 | ||||||
| 1988 | 136.3 | 136.6 | 119.0 | 118.8 | ||||||
| 1989 | 132.5 | 136.3 | 105.2 | 119.1 | ||||||
| 1990 | 136.3 | 135.9 | 119.0 | 119.5 | ||||||
| 1991 | 138.9 | 135.6 | 117.5 | 119.9 | ||||||
| 1992 | 135.7 | 135.3 | 124.4 | 120.2 | ||||||
| 1993 | 133.1 | 135.0 | 119.9 | 120.6 | ||||||
| 1994 | 135.7 | 134.7 | 123.0 | 120.9 | ||||||
| 1995 | 137.7 | 137.3 | 124.1 | 121.3 | ||||||
| 1996 | 138.2 | 140.0 | 124.7 | 121.7 | ||||||
| 1997 | 142.7 | 142.8 | 126.3 | 122.0 | ||||||
| 1998 | 146.5 | 145.7 | 126.4 | 122.4 | ||||||
| 1999 | 147.1 | 148.5 | 126.7 | 122.8 | ||||||
| 2000 | 143.1 | 145.0 | 119.4 | 123.1 | 88.7 | 87.4 | 75.8 | 79.4 | 96.3 | 91.6 |
| 2001 | 145.1 | 141.5 | 116.7 | 123.5 | 91.4 | 88.3 | 83.3 | 79.5 | 92.8 | 92.1 |
| 2002 | 141.3 | 138.1 | 124.5 | 123.9 | 93.5 | 89.2 | 74.4 | 79.6 | 94.4 | 92.5 |
| 2003 | 131.9 | 134.8 | 123.9 | 124.2 | 86.9 | 90.1 | 81.7 | 79.7 | 92.5 | 92.9 |
| 2004 | 132.1 | 131.5 | 124.8 | 124.6 | 91.4 | 91.1 | 81.8 | 79.8 | 91.5 | 93.3 |
| 2005 | 131.4 | 131.8 | 119.3 | 125.0 | 90.8 | 92.0 | 82.3 | 79.9 | 94.0 | 93.8 |
| 2006 | 130.6 | 132.0 | 125.8 | 125.4 | 89.8 | 93.0 | 73.1 | 80.0 | 90.4 | 94.2 |
| 2007 | 132.6 | 132.2 | 125.0 | 125.7 | 92.7 | 94.0 | 77.7 | 80.1 | 93.1 | 94.6 |
| 2008 | 131.7 | 132.5 | 128.8 | 126.1 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 77.2 | 80.3 | 97.0 | 95.1 |
| 2009 | 134.6 | 132.7 | 129.8 | 126.5 | 93.4 | 95.9 | 83.5 | 80.4 | 95.3 | 95.5 |
| 2010 | 131.2 | 133.0 | 123.2 | 126.9 | 96.5 | 97.0 | 82.9 | 80.5 | 90.5 | 96.0 |
| 2011 | 134.0 | 133.2 | 128.8 | 127.3 | 97.8 | 98.0 | 86.8 | 80.6 | 97.9 | 96.4 |
| 2012 | 132.9 | 133.5 | 133.8 | 127.6 | 98.4 | 99.0 | 85.5 | 80.7 | 94.6 | 96.8 |
| 2013 | 133.7 | 133.7 | 129.6 | 128.0 | 102.6 | 100.0 | 73.2 | 80.8 | 99.1 | 97.3 |
| 2014 | 134.3 | 133.9 | 128.2 | 128.4 | 100.4 | 101.1 | 86.1 | 80.9 | 97.9 | 97.7 |
| 2015 | 134.6 | 134.2 | 129.9 | 128.8 | 104.3 | 102.1 | 84.0 | 81.0 | 99.4 | 98.2 |
| 2016 | 133.7 | 134.4 | 129.5 | 129.2 | 102.0 | 103.2 | 75.8 | 81.2 | 99.9 | 98.6 |
| 2017 | 135.1 | 134.7 | 121.9 | 129.6 | 105.2 | 104.3 | 78.4 | 81.3 | 99.4 | 99.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for Breast, U.S. Mortality, Female, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 31.8 | 31.8 | 29.5 | 30.5 | ||||||
| 1976 | 32.2 | 31.9 | 30.5 | 30.9 | ||||||
| 1977 | 32.7 | 32.0 | 32.8 | 31.3 | ||||||
| 1978 | 31.9 | 32.1 | 32.1 | 31.7 | ||||||
| 1979 | 31.5 | 32.2 | 30.8 | 32.2 | ||||||
| 1980 | 31.9 | 32.2 | 31.7 | 32.6 | ||||||
| 1981 | 32.1 | 32.3 | 32.6 | 33.1 | ||||||
| 1982 | 32.3 | 32.4 | 33.7 | 33.5 | ||||||
| 1983 | 32.2 | 32.5 | 33.5 | 34.0 | ||||||
| 1984 | 32.9 | 32.6 | 35.9 | 34.4 | ||||||
| 1985 | 33.1 | 32.7 | 34.9 | 34.9 | ||||||
| 1986 | 32.9 | 32.7 | 35.4 | 35.4 | ||||||
| 1987 | 32.6 | 32.8 | 36.7 | 35.9 | ||||||
| 1988 | 33.1 | 32.9 | 37.8 | 36.4 | ||||||
| 1989 | 33.2 | 33.0 | 36.6 | 36.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 33.0 | 33.1 | 38.0 | 37.4 | ||||||
| 1991 | 32.4 | 32.4 | 38.3 | 37.9 | ||||||
| 1992 | 31.4 | 31.8 | 37.1 | 38.4 | ||||||
| 1993 | 31.1 | 31.2 | 38.0 | 38.9 | ||||||
| 1994 | 30.6 | 30.5 | 37.7 | 38.3 | ||||||
| 1995 | 30.1 | 29.9 | 38.2 | 37.8 | ||||||
| 1996 | 29.0 | 28.9 | 37.1 | 37.2 | ||||||
| 1997 | 27.6 | 27.9 | 37.4 | 36.6 | ||||||
| 1998 | 27.0 | 26.9 | 35.5 | 36.1 | ||||||
| 1999 | 26.0 | 26.4 | 35.2 | 35.5 | ||||||
| 2000 | 26.2 | 25.9 | 34.4 | 35.0 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 15.7 | 13.9 | 16.8 | 16.5 |
| 2001 | 25.4 | 25.4 | 34.5 | 34.4 | 12.9 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 15.0 | 16.5 | 16.3 |
| 2002 | 25.0 | 24.9 | 34.1 | 33.9 | 12.9 | 12.3 | 15.6 | 16.1 | 15.8 | 16.1 |
| 2003 | 24.7 | 24.4 | 34.1 | 33.4 | 12.6 | 12.3 | 18.3 | 17.3 | 16.3 | 15.9 |
| 2004 | 23.9 | 23.9 | 32.3 | 32.9 | 12.7 | 12.2 | 18.4 | 18.6 | 16.0 | 15.7 |
| 2005 | 23.5 | 23.5 | 32.8 | 32.4 | 12.3 | 12.1 | 20.2 | 17.9 | 15.4 | 15.6 |
| 2006 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 31.6 | 31.9 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 16.1 | 17.2 | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| 2007 | 22.4 | 22.6 | 31.4 | 31.4 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 15.9 | 16.6 | 14.9 | 15.2 |
| 2008 | 22.0 | 22.2 | 31.0 | 30.9 | 11.5 | 11.9 | 15.1 | 16.0 | 14.6 | 15.1 |
| 2009 | 21.8 | 21.7 | 30.2 | 30.5 | 11.1 | 11.8 | 15.6 | 15.4 | 14.8 | 14.9 |
| 2010 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 30.2 | 30.0 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 13.9 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 14.7 |
| 2011 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 30.2 | 29.5 | 11.2 | 11.6 | 14.9 | 14.2 | 14.1 | 14.6 |
| 2012 | 20.7 | 20.6 | 29.4 | 29.1 | 11.3 | 11.5 | 14.8 | 13.7 | 14.7 | 14.4 |
| 2013 | 20.3 | 20.4 | 28.2 | 28.6 | 11.1 | 11.5 | 13.1 | 13.2 | 14.6 | 14.2 |
| 2014 | 20.0 | 20.1 | 28.1 | 28.2 | 11.6 | 11.4 | 13.0 | 13.9 | 14.7 | 14.1 |
| 2015 | 19.8 | 19.8 | 27.6 | 27.8 | 11.9 | 11.3 | 14.9 | 14.6 | 13.6 | 13.9 |
| 2016 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 27.4 | 27.4 | 10.7 | 11.2 | 15.4 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 13.8 |
| 2017 | 19.4 | 19.3 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 11.9 | 11.2 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 13.5 | 13.6 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2016 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 2000-2016 allow a maximum of 3 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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