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Figure 6.1

CSR Figure 6.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex


Figure 6.1

Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, White, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 69.8 71.4 69.8 71.4 33.2 33.4
1976 72.7 72.2 72.7 72.2 33.8 33.5
1977 74.3 73.0 74.3 73.0 33.5 33.7
1978 73.9 73.8 73.9 73.8 34.1 33.9
1979 75.2 74.6 75.2 74.6 33.9 34.1
1980 74.9 75.4 74.9 75.4 34.0 33.8
1981 76.6 76.2 76.6 76.2 33.2 33.6
1982 76.3 77.0 76.3 77.0 33.1 33.3
1983 76.5 77.8 76.5 77.8 33.3 33.0
1984 79.3 78.7 79.3 78.7 33.1 32.8
1985 80.2 79.5 80.2 79.5 32.7 32.5
1986 78.9 80.4 78.9 80.4 32.0 32.2
1987 78.3 78.5 78.3 78.5 31.8 32.0
1988 75.8 76.7 75.8 76.7 31.0 31.3
1989 75.5 75.0 75.5 75.0 30.5 30.7
1990 74.7 73.2 74.7 73.2 30.4 30.0
1991 73.1 71.5 73.1 71.5 29.4 29.4
1992 70.7 69.9 70.7 69.9 29.0 28.8
1993 68.1 68.2 68.1 68.2 28.2 28.2
1994 66.3 66.7 66.3 66.7 27.9 27.6
1995 63.4 65.1 63.4 65.1 27.2 27.1
1996 65.9 66.0 65.9 66.0 26.3 26.5
1997 67.9 67.0 67.9 67.0 25.7 25.9
1998 67.2 67.9 67.2 67.9 25.1 25.4
1999 65.9 65.9 65.9 65.9 25.0 24.9
2000 63.1 64.0 63.1 64.0 24.5 24.4
2001 62.7 62.1 62.7 62.1 23.8 23.9
2002 60.4 60.3 60.4 60.3 23.4 23.4
2003 58.6 58.5 58.6 58.5 22.6 22.4
2004 57.9 56.8 57.9 56.8 21.3 21.5
2005 55.1 55.2 55.1 55.2 20.6 20.6
2006 52.7 53.6 52.7 53.6 20.0 20.1
2007 52.2 52.0 52.2 52.0 19.7 19.5
2008 50.6 50.5 50.6 50.5 19.0 19.0
2009 47.6 48.0 47.5 48.0 18.6 18.5
2010 45.8 45.6 45.7 45.6 18.1 18.1
2011 43.8 43.3 43.7 43.3 17.5 17.6
2012 42.7 42.9 42.6 42.8 17.1 17.1
2013 41.3 42.4 41.2 42.3 16.9 16.8
2014 42.8 42.0 42.6 41.7 16.4 16.5
2015 41.2 41.6 41.0 41.2 16.3 16.2
2016 42.0 41.1 41.6 40.7 15.9 15.9
2017 40.2 40.7 39.5 40.2 15.6 15.6

Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, Black, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 59.5 69.5 59.5 69.3 30.1 30.5
1976 58.5 69.7 58.5 69.6 31.2 30.8
1977 75.8 70.0 75.8 69.9 31.4 31.2
1978 65.8 70.2 65.8 70.2 31.2 31.6
1979 61.8 70.5 61.8 70.4 31.6 32.0
1980 79.7 70.8 79.7 70.7 33.2 32.4
1981 72.9 71.0 72.9 71.0 32.8 32.8
1982 69.0 71.3 69.0 71.3 33.7 33.2
1983 75.8 71.6 75.8 71.6 32.9 33.6
1984 70.6 71.8 70.6 71.8 34.6 34.0
1985 74.6 72.1 74.6 72.1 34.1 34.5
1986 73.0 72.4 73.0 72.4 35.4 34.9
1987 77.6 72.7 77.6 72.7 35.1 35.3
1988 72.4 72.9 72.4 73.0 34.3 35.8
1989 79.4 73.2 79.4 73.3 36.4 36.2
1990 75.1 73.5 75.1 73.5 37.6 36.7
1991 76.4 73.8 76.4 73.8 35.8 36.4
1992 78.6 74.0 78.6 74.1 36.2 36.1
1993 78.1 74.3 78.1 74.4 35.8 35.9
1994 75.4 74.6 75.4 74.7 35.7 35.6
1995 71.6 74.9 71.6 75.0 36.3 35.4
1996 66.7 75.1 66.7 75.3 34.5 35.1
1997 77.7 75.4 77.7 75.6 35.1 34.9
1998 74.6 75.7 74.6 75.9 33.9 34.6
1999 72.5 76.0 72.5 76.2 34.5 34.4
2000 74.5 76.3 74.5 76.5 35.0 34.1
2001 75.6 76.6 75.6 76.8 33.4 33.9
2002 74.4 74.6 74.4 74.7 33.7 33.6
2003 75.7 72.7 75.7 72.7 32.5 32.7
2004 74.6 70.8 74.6 70.7 30.6 31.8
2005 65.4 69.0 65.4 68.8 30.9 30.9
2006 65.9 67.2 65.9 67.0 31.3 30.0
2007 66.1 65.4 66.1 65.2 29.3 29.2
2008 64.5 63.7 64.5 63.4 28.7 28.4
2009 61.1 62.1 61.0 61.7 27.0 27.6
2010 57.0 60.5 56.8 60.0 27.5 26.9
2011 56.0 58.9 55.7 58.4 26.2 26.1
2012 57.3 57.4 56.9 56.8 25.4 25.4
2013 58.8 55.9 58.2 55.3 24.7 24.7
2014 51.6 54.5 50.9 53.8 23.2 24.0
2015 53.6 53.1 52.8 52.3 23.2 23.3
2016 52.9 51.7 52.0 50.9 23.0 22.7
2017 52.0 50.4 50.6 49.6 22.3 22.1

Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, White, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 54.1 55.0 54.1 55.0 25.1 25.6
1976 55.0 55.1 55.0 55.1 25.5 25.3
1977 55.8 55.3 55.8 55.3 25.0 25.0
1978 55.6 55.4 55.6 55.4 25.2 24.7
1979 55.0 55.6 55.0 55.6 24.6 24.4
1980 56.8 55.7 56.8 55.7 24.3 24.1
1981 57.1 55.9 57.1 55.9 23.9 23.9
1982 55.0 56.0 55.0 56.0 23.4 23.6
1983 56.0 56.2 56.0 56.2 23.1 23.3
1984 56.7 56.4 56.7 56.4 23.5 23.0
1985 58.4 56.5 58.4 56.5 22.8 22.6
1986 54.7 55.4 54.7 55.4 22.1 22.1
1987 52.6 54.2 52.6 54.2 21.6 21.7
1988 51.8 53.1 51.8 53.1 21.2 21.3
1989 52.6 52.0 52.6 52.0 20.8 20.8
1990 51.0 50.9 51.0 50.9 20.2 20.4
1991 49.6 49.9 49.6 49.9 19.8 20.0
1992 48.7 48.9 48.7 48.9 19.4 19.6
1993 47.8 47.9 47.8 47.9 19.3 19.3
1994 47.2 46.9 47.2 46.9 18.8 18.9
1995 46.6 45.9 46.6 45.9 18.6 18.5
1996 46.4 46.8 46.4 46.8 18.0 18.1
1997 48.0 47.8 48.0 47.8 17.6 17.8
1998 49.0 48.7 49.0 48.7 17.5 17.4
1999 47.2 47.7 47.2 47.7 17.2 17.1
2000 46.5 46.6 46.5 46.6 17.0 16.8
2001 45.4 45.6 45.4 45.6 16.5 16.4
2002 45.9 44.6 45.9 44.6 16.1 16.0
2003 43.5 43.6 43.5 43.6 15.6 15.5
2004 42.1 42.6 42.1 42.6 14.9 15.0
2005 41.1 41.7 41.1 41.7 14.3 14.6
2006 40.7 40.8 40.7 40.8 14.3 14.2
2007 40.0 39.9 40.0 39.9 13.9 13.8
2008 39.4 39.0 39.4 39.0 13.5 13.4
2009 37.5 37.2 37.5 37.2 12.8 13.0
2010 34.7 35.5 34.7 35.5 12.6 12.6
2011 34.4 33.9 34.3 33.9 12.3 12.2
2012 34.1 33.7 34.0 33.6 12.1 12.1
2013 32.5 33.5 32.4 33.3 11.9 11.9
2014 34.0 33.3 33.8 33.1 11.7 11.7
2015 32.7 33.1 32.5 32.8 11.6 11.5
2016 33.3 32.9 33.0 32.5 11.3 11.3
2017 32.5 32.7 31.9 32.3 11.2 11.2

Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, Black, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 54.7 57.8 54.7 57.4 24.6 25.0
1976 51.3 57.7 51.3 57.3 26.3 25.2
1977 51.5 57.7 51.5 57.3 24.9 25.4
1978 60.6 57.6 60.6 57.3 25.7 25.6
1979 56.2 57.6 56.2 57.3 26.0 25.8
1980 64.2 57.5 64.2 57.3 25.9 26.0
1981 56.0 57.5 56.0 57.3 26.3 26.2
1982 55.9 57.4 55.9 57.3 26.1 26.4
1983 61.1 57.4 61.1 57.2 25.8 26.6
1984 58.2 57.3 58.2 57.2 26.2 26.8
1985 56.4 57.2 56.4 57.2 28.0 27.0
1986 58.7 57.2 58.7 57.2 26.3 26.8
1987 59.0 57.1 59.0 57.2 26.5 26.6
1988 56.6 57.1 56.6 57.2 25.9 26.4
1989 54.8 57.0 54.8 57.2 26.1 26.2
1990 61.7 57.0 61.7 57.1 26.6 26.0
1991 58.3 56.9 58.3 57.1 26.5 25.8
1992 57.6 56.9 57.6 57.1 25.4 25.7
1993 55.1 56.8 55.1 57.1 26.0 25.5
1994 58.0 56.8 58.0 57.1 24.9 25.3
1995 56.0 56.7 56.0 57.1 25.5 25.1
1996 53.1 56.7 53.1 57.1 24.9 24.9
1997 56.3 56.6 56.3 57.0 24.8 24.8
1998 56.5 56.6 56.5 57.0 24.8 24.6
1999 58.3 56.5 58.3 57.0 24.7 24.4
2000 58.3 56.5 58.3 57.0 23.9 24.2
2001 57.7 56.4 57.7 57.0 24.3 24.1
2002 56.6 56.4 56.6 57.0 23.0 23.3
2003 54.9 56.3 54.9 57.0 22.9 22.5
2004 54.7 56.3 54.7 55.2 21.4 21.8
2005 55.1 56.2 55.1 53.6 21.4 21.1
2006 53.6 53.9 53.6 52.0 20.3 20.4
2007 52.2 51.6 52.2 50.4 19.9 19.8
2008 47.7 49.5 47.7 48.9 19.0 19.1
2009 49.3 47.4 49.3 47.4 18.5 18.5
2010 45.2 45.4 45.1 46.0 17.6 17.9
2011 42.9 43.5 42.7 44.6 17.7 17.3
2012 42.0 41.7 41.7 43.3 16.2 16.8
2013 39.0 40.0 38.7 42.0 15.7 16.2
2014 40.4 40.1 39.9 40.7 15.3 15.7
2015 39.8 40.2 39.3 39.5 15.5 15.2
2016 43.0 40.3 42.2 38.3 15.1 14.7
2017 38.4 40.4 37.3 37.2 14.5 14.2

Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Colon and Rectum, All Ages, 1975-2015

Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male2011-17-1.0*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male2011-17-1.2*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male2012-17-1.8*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male2001-17-2.6*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male2001-17-2.7*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male2002-17-2.8*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female2011-17-0.6
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female2011-17-0.8*
U.S. Mortality, White, Female2011-17-1.5*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female2013-170.3
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female2003-17-3.0*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female2001-17-3.2*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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