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Figure 8.2
Figure 8.2
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Esophagus, Both Sexes
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2017 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2017
Rates per 100,000 for Esophagus, Observed SEER Incidence, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 11.0 | 11.8 | ||||||
| 1976 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 10.7 | 11.9 | ||||||
| 1977 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 12.0 | 12.0 | ||||||
| 1978 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 13.0 | 12.1 | ||||||
| 1979 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 12.9 | 12.3 | ||||||
| 1980 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 12.3 | 12.4 | ||||||
| 1981 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 13.5 | 12.5 | ||||||
| 1982 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 13.6 | 12.6 | ||||||
| 1983 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 12.2 | 12.7 | ||||||
| 1984 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 12.0 | 12.9 | ||||||
| 1985 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 12.8 | 13.0 | ||||||
| 1986 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 14.1 | 13.1 | ||||||
| 1987 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 11.4 | 12.6 | ||||||
| 1988 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 11.2 | 12.0 | ||||||
| 1989 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 10.5 | 11.5 | ||||||
| 1990 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 12.5 | 11.0 | ||||||
| 1991 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 10.2 | 10.5 | ||||||
| 1992 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 10.7 | 10.1 | ||||||
| 1993 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 10.0 | 9.6 | ||||||
| 1994 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 9.2 | 9.2 | ||||||
| 1995 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 8.4 | 8.8 | ||||||
| 1996 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 9.7 | 8.4 | ||||||
| 1997 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 7.1 | 8.1 | ||||||
| 1998 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 7.9 | 7.7 | ||||||
| 1999 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 7.4 | ||||||
| 2000 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| 2001 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 2002 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| 2003 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 2004 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| 2005 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| 2006 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| 2007 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| 2008 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 2009 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 2010 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| 2011 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| 2012 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| 2013 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 2014 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 2015 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 2016 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| 2017 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
Rates per 100,000 for Esophagus, U.S. Mortality, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 9.7 | 9.9 | ||||||
| 1976 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 10.2 | 10.0 | ||||||
| 1977 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 10.1 | 10.1 | ||||||
| 1978 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 10.0 | 10.2 | ||||||
| 1979 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 10.3 | 10.3 | ||||||
| 1980 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 10.6 | 10.4 | ||||||
| 1981 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 10.4 | 10.5 | ||||||
| 1982 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 10.5 | 10.6 | ||||||
| 1983 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 10.2 | 10.5 | ||||||
| 1984 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 10.6 | 10.3 | ||||||
| 1985 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 9.9 | 10.1 | ||||||
| 1986 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 10.2 | 10.0 | ||||||
| 1987 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 9.7 | 9.8 | ||||||
| 1988 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 10.0 | 9.7 | ||||||
| 1989 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 9.7 | 9.5 | ||||||
| 1990 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 9.3 | 9.4 | ||||||
| 1991 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 9.2 | 9.2 | ||||||
| 1992 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 9.1 | ||||||
| 1993 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 9.0 | 8.9 | ||||||
| 1994 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 8.6 | 8.5 | ||||||
| 1995 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 8.0 | 8.1 | ||||||
| 1996 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 7.8 | 7.7 | ||||||
| 1997 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 7.4 | ||||||
| 1998 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 7.1 | 7.1 | ||||||
| 1999 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 6.5 | 6.7 | ||||||
| 2000 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 2001 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 2002 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 2003 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 2004 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 2005 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 2006 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 2007 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 2008 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 2009 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| 2010 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 2011 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| 2012 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| 2013 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 2014 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| 2015 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| 2016 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| 2017 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2016 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 2000-2016 allow a maximum of 3 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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