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Figure 13.1

CSR Figure 13.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex


Figure 13.1

Rates per 100,000 for Leukemia, White, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 17.5 17.9 17.5 17.7 11.3 11.3
1976 19.1 18.0 19.1 17.7 11.2 11.3
1977 17.0 18.0 17.0 17.8 11.1 11.3
1978 18.3 18.0 18.3 17.8 11.1 11.2
1979 17.6 18.0 17.6 17.9 11.4 11.2
1980 17.9 18.0 17.9 17.9 11.5 11.2
1981 17.0 18.1 17.0 18.0 11.2 11.1
1982 18.8 18.1 18.8 18.0 11.3 11.1
1983 18.4 18.1 18.4 18.1 11.2 11.1
1984 18.0 18.1 18.0 18.1 10.9 11.0
1985 18.3 18.1 18.3 18.2 11.0 11.0
1986 18.4 18.2 18.4 18.2 11.0 11.0
1987 18.5 18.2 18.5 18.3 10.5 10.9
1988 18.3 18.2 18.3 18.3 10.8 10.9
1989 18.4 18.2 18.4 18.4 10.8 10.9
1990 18.3 18.2 18.3 18.4 10.9 10.8
1991 17.8 18.3 17.8 18.5 10.6 10.8
1992 18.7 18.3 18.7 18.5 10.9 10.8
1993 18.1 18.3 18.1 18.6 10.8 10.7
1994 18.0 18.3 18.0 18.6 10.8 10.7
1995 18.9 18.3 18.9 18.7 11.0 10.7
1996 17.9 18.4 17.9 18.7 10.7 10.6
1997 18.8 18.5 18.8 18.8 10.7 10.6
1998 18.2 18.6 18.2 18.8 10.3 10.6
1999 18.1 18.7 18.1 18.9 10.5 10.6
2000 18.9 18.9 18.9 19.0 10.5 10.5
2001 20.0 19.0 20.0 19.0 10.5 10.5
2002 19.5 19.1 19.5 19.1 10.5 10.4
2003 19.3 19.3 19.3 19.1 10.4 10.3
2004 19.2 19.4 19.2 19.2 10.0 10.2
2005 19.8 19.5 19.8 19.2 10.1 10.1
2006 18.8 19.7 18.8 19.3 10.0 10.0
2007 19.4 19.8 19.4 19.3 9.9 9.9
2008 19.8 19.9 19.8 19.4 9.8 9.8
2009 19.3 20.1 19.1 19.4 9.9 9.8
2010 20.9 20.2 20.6 19.5 9.6 9.7
2011 20.8 20.3 20.2 19.5 9.6 9.6
2012 20.3 20.5 19.6 19.6 9.6 9.5
2013 20.8 20.6 19.9 19.7 9.4 9.4
2014 21.3 20.8 20.2 19.7 9.2 9.2
2015 20.6 20.9 19.3 19.8 8.8 8.9
2016 21.4 21.1 19.7 19.8 8.6 8.7
2017 20.8 21.2 18.7 19.9 8.6 8.5

Rates per 100,000 for Leukemia, Black, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 16.3 13.9 16.3 14.2 8.6 8.5
1976 14.3 13.9 14.3 14.2 8.5 8.6
1977 13.6 14.0 13.6 14.2 8.8 8.7
1978 11.4 14.0 11.4 14.3 9.2 8.8
1979 13.5 14.0 13.5 14.3 8.9 8.9
1980 16.1 14.1 16.1 14.3 9.1 9.0
1981 14.5 14.1 14.5 14.3 8.9 9.1
1982 15.2 14.2 15.2 14.3 9.4 9.2
1983 16.0 14.2 16.0 14.4 9.2 9.3
1984 11.9 14.2 11.9 14.4 9.2 9.4
1985 17.0 14.3 17.0 14.4 9.6 9.5
1986 13.2 14.3 13.2 14.4 9.3 9.6
1987 17.6 14.3 17.6 14.4 9.4 9.7
1988 14.0 14.4 14.0 14.4 9.8 9.8
1989 15.8 14.4 15.8 14.5 10.3 9.9
1990 14.8 14.5 14.8 14.5 10.0 10.0
1991 12.1 14.5 12.1 14.5 10.0 9.9
1992 13.9 14.5 13.9 14.5 9.4 9.8
1993 15.3 14.6 15.3 14.5 9.8 9.7
1994 12.7 14.6 12.7 14.5 9.6 9.6
1995 13.7 14.7 13.7 14.6 9.8 9.5
1996 14.0 14.7 14.0 14.6 10.1 9.4
1997 14.2 14.7 14.2 14.6 9.2 9.3
1998 14.4 14.8 14.4 14.6 9.4 9.2
1999 14.2 14.8 14.2 14.6 8.8 9.1
2000 14.1 14.9 14.1 14.6 9.1 9.0
2001 14.6 14.9 14.6 14.7 8.8 8.9
2002 12.1 14.9 12.1 14.7 8.9 8.8
2003 15.2 15.0 15.2 14.7 8.5 8.8
2004 17.8 15.0 17.8 14.7 8.9 8.7
2005 13.2 15.1 13.2 14.7 8.1 8.6
2006 15.5 15.1 15.5 14.7 8.8 8.5
2007 13.6 15.1 13.6 14.8 8.1 8.4
2008 15.2 15.2 15.2 14.8 8.7 8.3
2009 15.7 15.2 15.6 14.8 8.1 8.1
2010 15.0 15.3 14.8 14.8 7.5 7.9
2011 15.5 15.3 15.2 14.8 7.7 7.7
2012 15.9 15.3 15.5 14.9 7.6 7.5
2013 16.3 15.4 15.7 14.9 7.7 7.3
2014 15.0 15.4 14.4 14.9 7.2 7.1
2015 13.7 15.5 12.9 14.9 6.8 7.0
2016 17.0 15.5 15.8 14.9 6.9 6.8
2017 16.8 15.6 15.1 14.9 6.5 6.6

Rates per 100,000 for Leukemia, White, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 10.1 9.7 10.1 9.9 6.3 6.5
1976 10.3 9.8 10.3 9.9 6.3 6.4
1977 10.5 9.8 10.5 10.0 6.3 6.4
1978 10.3 9.9 10.3 10.0 6.3 6.4
1979 10.0 9.9 10.0 10.1 6.5 6.4
1980 10.1 10.0 10.1 10.1 6.6 6.4
1981 9.8 10.1 9.8 10.2 6.3 6.4
1982 9.9 10.1 9.9 10.2 6.4 6.3
1983 10.1 10.2 10.1 10.3 6.3 6.3
1984 10.4 10.2 10.4 10.3 6.5 6.3
1985 10.7 10.3 10.7 10.4 6.4 6.3
1986 9.9 10.4 9.9 10.4 6.2 6.3
1987 10.6 10.4 10.6 10.5 6.2 6.3
1988 10.0 10.5 10.0 10.5 6.1 6.2
1989 11.0 10.6 11.0 10.6 6.3 6.2
1990 10.3 10.6 10.3 10.6 6.3 6.2
1991 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.7 6.4 6.2
1992 10.0 10.8 10.0 10.7 6.2 6.2
1993 10.4 10.8 10.4 10.8 6.2 6.2
1994 10.8 10.9 10.8 10.8 6.1 6.1
1995 11.3 10.9 11.3 10.9 6.0 6.1
1996 10.9 11.0 10.9 10.9 6.1 6.1
1997 10.7 11.1 10.7 11.0 6.0 6.1
1998 11.1 11.1 11.1 11.0 5.9 6.1
1999 10.2 11.2 10.2 11.1 6.1 6.1
2000 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.1 6.0 6.0
2001 12.0 11.3 12.0 11.2 6.0 6.0
2002 11.2 11.4 11.2 11.2 5.9 5.9
2003 11.1 11.5 11.1 11.3 5.8 5.8
2004 11.4 11.6 11.4 11.3 5.6 5.7
2005 11.2 11.6 11.2 11.4 5.6 5.7
2006 12.4 11.7 12.4 11.4 5.7 5.6
2007 11.3 11.8 11.3 11.5 5.5 5.5
2008 11.5 11.8 11.5 11.5 5.5 5.5
2009 11.4 11.9 11.3 11.6 5.4 5.4
2010 12.2 12.0 12.0 11.6 5.4 5.3
2011 12.5 12.0 12.2 11.7 5.4 5.3
2012 12.9 12.1 12.4 11.7 5.2 5.2
2013 12.6 12.2 12.1 11.8 5.2 5.1
2014 12.5 12.3 11.9 11.8 5.2 5.1
2015 12.4 12.3 11.6 11.9 4.8 5.0
2016 12.3 12.4 11.3 12.0 4.9 4.9
2017 12.6 12.5 11.3 12.0 4.8 4.9

Rates per 100,000 for Leukemia, Black, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 8.5 8.4 8.5 8.6 5.1 5.4
1976 9.4 8.5 9.4 8.6 5.5 5.5
1977 7.7 8.5 7.7 8.7 5.5 5.5
1978 7.5 8.5 7.5 8.7 4.9 5.5
1979 8.6 8.5 8.6 8.7 5.7 5.5
1980 9.6 8.6 9.6 8.7 5.7 5.5
1981 10.4 8.6 10.4 8.7 5.9 5.6
1982 7.9 8.6 7.9 8.7 5.7 5.6
1983 10.1 8.7 10.1 8.8 5.9 5.6
1984 9.6 8.7 9.6 8.8 5.7 5.6
1985 9.3 8.7 9.3 8.8 5.4 5.7
1986 8.1 8.7 8.1 8.8 5.9 5.7
1987 9.3 8.8 9.3 8.8 5.9 5.7
1988 9.4 8.8 9.4 8.8 5.6 5.7
1989 8.1 8.8 8.1 8.9 5.5 5.7
1990 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 5.8 5.8
1991 10.0 8.9 10.0 8.9 5.8 5.8
1992 8.4 8.9 8.4 8.9 5.7 5.8
1993 9.1 9.0 9.1 8.9 5.8 5.8
1994 7.8 9.0 7.8 8.9 5.5 5.8
1995 7.4 9.0 7.4 9.0 5.5 5.7
1996 8.7 9.0 8.7 9.0 5.9 5.6
1997 8.3 9.1 8.3 9.0 5.3 5.5
1998 7.3 9.1 7.3 9.0 5.6 5.5
1999 8.3 9.1 8.3 9.0 5.4 5.4
2000 10.4 9.2 10.4 9.0 5.3 5.3
2001 10.2 9.2 10.2 9.1 5.4 5.3
2002 7.1 9.2 7.1 9.1 5.4 5.2
2003 8.9 9.3 8.9 9.1 5.3 5.1
2004 10.0 9.3 10.0 9.1 5.4 5.1
2005 10.5 9.3 10.5 9.1 4.8 5.0
2006 8.5 9.4 8.5 9.2 4.7 4.9
2007 7.7 9.4 7.7 9.2 5.1 4.9
2008 8.2 9.4 8.2 9.2 4.8 4.8
2009 8.8 9.5 8.7 9.2 4.7 4.7
2010 9.2 9.5 9.1 9.2 4.6 4.7
2011 10.9 9.5 10.6 9.2 4.9 4.6
2012 10.2 9.5 9.9 9.3 4.6 4.6
2013 9.2 9.6 8.9 9.3 4.4 4.5
2014 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.3 4.4 4.4
2015 10.1 9.6 9.5 9.3 4.2 4.4
2016 10.5 9.7 9.7 9.3 4.5 4.3
2017 10.3 9.7 9.3 9.3 4.2 4.3

Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Leukemia, All Ages, 1975-2015

Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male1996-170.7*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male1975-170.3*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male2013-17-2.5*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male1975-170.3*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male1975-170.1
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male2008-17-2.5*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female1975-170.6*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1975-170.5*
U.S. Mortality, White, Female2000-17-1.2*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-170.3*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-170.2
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female1993-17-1.3*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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