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Figure 15.4
Figure 15.4
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Both Sexes
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2017 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2017
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Observed SEER Incidence, Both Sexes, All Ages
Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 51.9 | 52.7 | 64.5 | 68.2 | ||||||
1976 | 54.6 | 54.1 | 72.3 | 70.4 | ||||||
1977 | 55.9 | 55.5 | 73.6 | 72.6 | ||||||
1978 | 57.3 | 56.9 | 74.4 | 74.8 | ||||||
1979 | 58.0 | 58.3 | 74.5 | 77.2 | ||||||
1980 | 59.4 | 59.8 | 86.6 | 79.6 | ||||||
1981 | 61.5 | 61.3 | 82.3 | 82.1 | ||||||
1982 | 63.1 | 62.9 | 80.4 | 84.7 | ||||||
1983 | 63.0 | 63.6 | 86.6 | 87.3 | ||||||
1984 | 64.3 | 64.3 | 92.9 | 90.1 | ||||||
1985 | 64.0 | 64.9 | 89.6 | 92.9 | ||||||
1986 | 65.1 | 65.6 | 92.9 | 92.1 | ||||||
1987 | 68.1 | 66.3 | 84.8 | 91.4 | ||||||
1988 | 68.3 | 67.0 | 88.2 | 90.6 | ||||||
1989 | 67.6 | 67.8 | 89.1 | 89.8 | ||||||
1990 | 68.2 | 68.5 | 86.8 | 89.1 | ||||||
1991 | 69.0 | 69.2 | 93.1 | 88.3 | ||||||
1992 | 68.9 | 68.8 | 94.0 | 87.6 | ||||||
1993 | 67.8 | 68.4 | 86.4 | 86.8 | ||||||
1994 | 67.3 | 68.0 | 87.2 | 86.1 | ||||||
1995 | 67.1 | 67.6 | 85.9 | 85.4 | ||||||
1996 | 66.8 | 67.2 | 84.6 | 84.7 | ||||||
1997 | 67.2 | 66.8 | 82.3 | 83.9 | ||||||
1998 | 68.0 | 66.4 | 87.5 | 83.2 | ||||||
1999 | 66.3 | 66.0 | 84.6 | 82.5 | ||||||
2000 | 64.7 | 65.6 | 80.7 | 81.8 | 41.5 | 41.5 | 44.1 | 48.8 | 35.6 | 35.7 |
2001 | 65.1 | 65.2 | 80.6 | 81.2 | 40.4 | 41.1 | 45.9 | 48.0 | 35.2 | 35.5 |
2002 | 64.8 | 64.8 | 81.5 | 80.5 | 39.6 | 40.8 | 42.6 | 47.2 | 35.5 | 35.3 |
2003 | 65.5 | 64.4 | 81.2 | 79.8 | 40.8 | 40.4 | 49.8 | 46.5 | 35.1 | 35.0 |
2004 | 62.8 | 64.0 | 76.2 | 79.1 | 40.4 | 40.0 | 50.9 | 45.8 | 35.8 | 34.8 |
2005 | 64.0 | 63.6 | 74.7 | 78.5 | 40.0 | 39.7 | 46.4 | 45.0 | 34.1 | 34.6 |
2006 | 62.8 | 63.2 | 76.8 | 77.8 | 39.2 | 39.3 | 46.4 | 44.3 | 33.6 | 34.4 |
2007 | 63.1 | 62.8 | 74.2 | 75.6 | 39.4 | 39.0 | 43.2 | 43.6 | 34.6 | 34.1 |
2008 | 61.1 | 61.5 | 75.0 | 73.4 | 38.9 | 38.6 | 45.8 | 42.9 | 34.0 | 33.9 |
2009 | 60.7 | 60.1 | 74.3 | 71.4 | 39.0 | 38.3 | 40.7 | 42.3 | 33.8 | 33.2 |
2010 | 58.9 | 58.8 | 67.0 | 69.3 | 37.6 | 38.0 | 43.1 | 41.6 | 31.9 | 32.4 |
2011 | 57.3 | 57.6 | 65.7 | 67.4 | 37.5 | 37.6 | 39.8 | 41.0 | 31.8 | 31.7 |
2012 | 55.7 | 56.3 | 69.4 | 65.5 | 37.7 | 37.3 | 38.4 | 40.3 | 30.0 | 31.0 |
2013 | 54.8 | 55.1 | 63.7 | 63.6 | 37.8 | 37.0 | 39.4 | 39.7 | 30.8 | 30.3 |
2014 | 54.6 | 53.9 | 60.0 | 61.8 | 35.5 | 36.6 | 36.5 | 39.0 | 29.3 | 29.6 |
2015 | 52.8 | 52.7 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 36.7 | 36.3 | 41.5 | 38.4 | 28.9 | 29.0 |
2016 | 51.9 | 51.6 | 58.7 | 58.3 | 35.6 | 36.0 | 36.5 | 37.8 | 29.1 | 28.3 |
2017 | 50.2 | 50.5 | 56.1 | 56.7 | 35.4 | 35.7 | 37.0 | 37.2 | 27.4 | 27.7 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, U.S. Mortality, Both Sexes, All Ages
Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 42.1 | 42.3 | 49.3 | 49.7 | ||||||
1976 | 43.7 | 43.5 | 51.1 | 51.5 | ||||||
1977 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 54.6 | 53.3 | ||||||
1978 | 46.3 | 46.1 | 55.3 | 55.1 | ||||||
1979 | 47.1 | 47.4 | 56.4 | 57.1 | ||||||
1980 | 48.8 | 48.8 | 59.2 | 59.1 | ||||||
1981 | 49.3 | 49.7 | 60.6 | 61.1 | ||||||
1982 | 50.8 | 50.6 | 62.3 | 62.3 | ||||||
1983 | 51.7 | 51.5 | 63.7 | 63.4 | ||||||
1984 | 52.6 | 52.5 | 65.1 | 64.6 | ||||||
1985 | 53.7 | 53.4 | 65.8 | 65.8 | ||||||
1986 | 54.4 | 54.4 | 67.0 | 67.1 | ||||||
1987 | 55.6 | 55.4 | 68.6 | 68.3 | ||||||
1988 | 56.4 | 56.4 | 69.2 | 69.6 | ||||||
1989 | 57.2 | 57.4 | 71.0 | 70.9 | ||||||
1990 | 58.2 | 58.4 | 72.1 | 72.3 | ||||||
1991 | 58.4 | 58.4 | 71.6 | 71.7 | ||||||
1992 | 58.3 | 58.4 | 71.4 | 71.2 | ||||||
1993 | 58.7 | 58.3 | 71.1 | 70.7 | ||||||
1994 | 58.2 | 58.3 | 70.2 | 70.2 | ||||||
1995 | 58.1 | 58.3 | 69.3 | 69.8 | ||||||
1996 | 57.7 | 57.8 | 68.3 | 68.6 | ||||||
1997 | 57.3 | 57.2 | 67.9 | 67.4 | ||||||
1998 | 56.9 | 56.7 | 66.9 | 66.3 | ||||||
1999 | 55.3 | 56.2 | 65.0 | 65.1 | ||||||
2000 | 56.0 | 55.7 | 63.8 | 64.0 | 27.7 | 28.1 | 36.3 | 39.7 | 24.6 | 25.4 |
2001 | 55.5 | 55.2 | 62.5 | 62.9 | 28.5 | 27.8 | 41.5 | 40.0 | 24.2 | 24.8 |
2002 | 55.3 | 54.7 | 62.0 | 61.9 | 26.1 | 27.4 | 41.5 | 40.2 | 24.5 | 24.3 |
2003 | 54.5 | 54.3 | 60.9 | 60.8 | 27.6 | 27.1 | 39.6 | 40.4 | 24.0 | 23.8 |
2004 | 53.7 | 53.8 | 59.8 | 59.8 | 26.8 | 26.8 | 44.7 | 40.7 | 23.4 | 23.2 |
2005 | 53.3 | 53.3 | 58.5 | 58.2 | 26.6 | 26.4 | 40.9 | 40.9 | 23.6 | 22.7 |
2006 | 52.3 | 52.8 | 56.7 | 56.6 | 26.1 | 26.1 | 37.7 | 41.1 | 21.8 | 22.2 |
2007 | 51.3 | 51.5 | 55.4 | 55.1 | 26.1 | 25.8 | 41.1 | 41.4 | 22.1 | 21.7 |
2008 | 50.3 | 50.3 | 53.1 | 53.7 | 25.8 | 25.4 | 44.3 | 41.6 | 21.9 | 21.3 |
2009 | 49.2 | 49.0 | 51.6 | 52.3 | 25.2 | 25.1 | 36.9 | 40.3 | 20.6 | 20.8 |
2010 | 48.1 | 47.8 | 51.1 | 50.9 | 24.6 | 24.8 | 38.6 | 39.1 | 20.3 | 20.4 |
2011 | 46.7 | 46.7 | 49.3 | 49.5 | 24.6 | 24.5 | 37.5 | 37.8 | 19.9 | 19.9 |
2012 | 45.7 | 45.5 | 48.4 | 48.2 | 24.0 | 24.2 | 37.7 | 36.7 | 19.4 | 19.5 |
2013 | 44.2 | 44.4 | 47.0 | 46.9 | 23.5 | 23.9 | 35.8 | 35.5 | 18.9 | 19.1 |
2014 | 43.0 | 43.3 | 44.8 | 44.5 | 23.0 | 23.1 | 35.5 | 34.4 | 18.6 | 18.6 |
2015 | 41.5 | 41.3 | 42.3 | 42.3 | 22.7 | 22.3 | 34.7 | 33.3 | 18.1 | 18.2 |
2016 | 39.3 | 39.4 | 40.2 | 40.1 | 21.6 | 21.5 | 31.0 | 32.3 | 16.9 | 17.0 |
2017 | 37.5 | 37.6 | 37.9 | 38.1 | 20.6 | 20.8 | 30.6 | 31.3 | 15.8 | 15.8 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2016 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 2000-2016 allow a maximum of 3 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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