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Figure 22.2
Figure 22.2
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Pancreas, Both Sexes
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2017 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2017
Rates per 100,000 for Pancreas, Observed SEER Incidence, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 11.7 | 11.6 | 15.9 | 17.3 | ||||||
| 1976 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 17.5 | 17.2 | ||||||
| 1977 | 11.6 | 11.5 | 17.1 | 17.2 | ||||||
| 1978 | 10.8 | 11.5 | 15.2 | 17.2 | ||||||
| 1979 | 11.2 | 11.5 | 16.1 | 17.2 | ||||||
| 1980 | 11.1 | 11.4 | 17.9 | 17.1 | ||||||
| 1981 | 11.4 | 11.4 | 17.2 | 17.1 | ||||||
| 1982 | 11.4 | 11.4 | 16.9 | 17.1 | ||||||
| 1983 | 11.7 | 11.3 | 18.1 | 17.1 | ||||||
| 1984 | 12.0 | 11.3 | 17.2 | 17.1 | ||||||
| 1985 | 11.7 | 11.3 | 18.8 | 17.0 | ||||||
| 1986 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 17.3 | 17.0 | ||||||
| 1987 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 18.3 | 17.0 | ||||||
| 1988 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 18.6 | 17.0 | ||||||
| 1989 | 11.0 | 11.2 | 15.0 | 16.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 11.0 | 11.1 | 15.2 | 16.9 | ||||||
| 1991 | 11.0 | 11.1 | 17.0 | 16.9 | ||||||
| 1992 | 11.3 | 11.1 | 17.3 | 16.9 | ||||||
| 1993 | 10.5 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 16.8 | ||||||
| 1994 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 17.4 | 16.8 | ||||||
| 1995 | 10.7 | 11.0 | 18.2 | 16.8 | ||||||
| 1996 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 17.1 | 16.8 | ||||||
| 1997 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 18.0 | 16.8 | ||||||
| 1998 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 14.8 | 16.7 | ||||||
| 1999 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 16.7 | 16.7 | ||||||
| 2000 | 11.1 | 11.0 | 15.8 | 16.7 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 11.4 | 10.1 | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| 2001 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 10.9 |
| 2002 | 11.6 | 11.4 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 11.3 | 10.9 |
| 2003 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| 2004 | 11.7 | 11.8 | 16.1 | 16.6 | 9.6 | 9.4 | 10.6 | 10.1 | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| 2005 | 11.8 | 12.0 | 17.2 | 16.6 | 9.3 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 10.0 | 10.9 | 11.1 |
| 2006 | 12.5 | 12.2 | 17.0 | 16.6 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| 2007 | 12.3 | 12.4 | 15.6 | 16.5 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 10.4 | 10.0 | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| 2008 | 12.4 | 12.5 | 17.3 | 16.5 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 11.6 | 11.2 |
| 2009 | 12.8 | 12.5 | 17.5 | 16.5 | 9.8 | 9.7 | 9.5 | 10.0 | 11.6 | 11.3 |
| 2010 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 17.2 | 16.5 | 10.0 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| 2011 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 11.6 | 11.4 |
| 2012 | 13.0 | 12.7 | 16.9 | 16.4 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 10.9 | 11.4 |
| 2013 | 12.8 | 12.7 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 11.4 | 11.5 |
| 2014 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 16.7 | 16.4 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 8.7 | 10.0 | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| 2015 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 16.6 | 16.4 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 11.6 |
| 2016 | 13.0 | 12.9 | 16.1 | 16.3 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 13.5 | 9.9 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| 2017 | 12.7 | 13.0 | 15.8 | 16.3 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 11.3 | 11.7 |
Rates per 100,000 for Pancreas, U.S. Mortality, Both Sexes, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 12.8 | 12.7 | ||||||
| 1976 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 12.9 | 12.9 | ||||||
| 1977 | 10.7 | 10.5 | 13.2 | 13.1 | ||||||
| 1978 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 12.9 | 13.3 | ||||||
| 1979 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 13.4 | 13.5 | ||||||
| 1980 | 10.4 | 10.5 | 13.8 | 13.6 | ||||||
| 1981 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 13.4 | 13.8 | ||||||
| 1982 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 14.1 | 14.0 | ||||||
| 1983 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 14.8 | 14.2 | ||||||
| 1984 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 15.0 | 14.4 | ||||||
| 1985 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 14.4 | 14.6 | ||||||
| 1986 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 14.6 | 14.8 | ||||||
| 1987 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 14.6 | 15.0 | ||||||
| 1988 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 14.5 | 15.0 | ||||||
| 1989 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 15.0 | 14.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 15.2 | 14.8 | ||||||
| 1991 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 14.5 | 14.8 | ||||||
| 1992 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 15.4 | 14.7 | ||||||
| 1993 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 15.0 | 14.6 | ||||||
| 1994 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 15.2 | 14.6 | ||||||
| 1995 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 13.9 | 14.5 | ||||||
| 1996 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 14.4 | 14.4 | ||||||
| 1997 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 14.6 | 14.4 | ||||||
| 1998 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 14.5 | 14.3 | ||||||
| 1999 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 14.2 | 14.2 | ||||||
| 2000 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.5 |
| 2001 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 13.7 | 14.1 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| 2002 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 13.7 | 14.1 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| 2003 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 13.8 | 14.0 | 7.3 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| 2004 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 13.7 | 13.9 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| 2005 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 13.8 | 13.9 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| 2006 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 13.7 | 13.8 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 10.9 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| 2007 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 14.0 | 13.7 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| 2008 | 10.8 | 10.7 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 8.6 |
| 2009 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| 2010 | 10.9 | 10.8 | 13.6 | 13.5 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 8.6 | 8.6 |
| 2011 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.3 | 13.5 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| 2012 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 8.2 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 8.6 |
| 2013 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 9.4 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| 2014 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 13.2 | 13.3 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| 2015 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 13.4 | 13.2 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 8.6 |
| 2016 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 13.3 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| 2017 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 13.2 | 13.1 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2016 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 2000-2016 allow a maximum of 3 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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