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Table 23.2
Cancer of the Prostate (Invasive)
Trends in SEER Incidencea b and U.S. Mortalityc Using the Joinpoint Regression Program,
1975-2017 With up to Five Joinpoints, 2000-2017 With up to Three Joinpoints,
Ages <65 by Race/Ethnicity
SEER 9 Delay-Adjusted Incidencea, 1975-2017
| Race/Ethnicity | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPCd | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2008-17 | 2013-17 | |
| All Races | 1975-88 | 3.1* | 1988-92 | 23.4* | 1992-01 | 3.3* | 2001-09 | 0.2 | 2009-14 | -8.2* | 2014-17 | 3.0 | -3.7* | 0.1 |
| White | 1975-88 | 3.5* | 1988-92 | 23.0* | 1992-01 | 3.1* | 2001-09 | 0.1 | 2009-14 | -8.6* | 2014-17 | 2.1 | -4.2* | -0.7 |
| Black | 1975-89 | 2.0* | 1989-93 | 26.4* | 1993-01 | 2.7* | 2001-10 | -0.5 | 2010-14 | -7.5* | 2014-17 | 4.4 | -2.1 | 1.3 |
SEER 21 Delay-Adjusted Incidenceb, 2000-2017
| Race/Ethnicity | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPCd | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2008-17 | 2013-17 | |
| All Races | 2000-10 | -0.1 | 2010-14 | -8.7* | 2014-17 | 3.0 | -3.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| White | 2000-09 | 0.2 | 2009-14 | -8.0* | 2014-17 | 1.9 | -3.9* | -0.7 | ||||||
| White NHe f | 2000-09 | 0.3 | 2009-14 | -7.9* | 2014-17 | 2.7 | -3.6 | 0.0 | ||||||
| Black | 2000-11 | -0.3 | 2011-14 | -8.1 | 2014-17 | 2.5 | -2.1 | -0.3 | ||||||
| Black NHe f | 2000-11 | -0.3 | 2011-14 | -8.1 | 2014-17 | 2.7 | -2.0 | -0.1 | ||||||
| APIe | 2000-11 | 0.0 | 2011-14 | -10.1 | 2014-17 | 3.7 | -2.3 | 0.0 | ||||||
| AI/ANe g | 2000-17 | -2.9* | -2.9* | -2.9* | ||||||||||
| Hispanicf | 2000-09 | -0.3 | 2009-17 | -4.7* | -4.2* | -4.7* | ||||||||
U.S. Cancer Mortalityc, 1975-2017
| Race/Ethnicity | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPCd | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2008-17 | 2013-17 | |
| All Races | 1975-87 | 0.5* | 1987-90 | 3.1 | 1990-96 | -3.2* | 1996-00 | -5.8* | 2000-12 | -1.4* | 2012-17 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| White | 1975-87 | 0.7* | 1987-90 | 3.5 | 1990-02 | -4.3* | 2002-17 | -0.8* | -0.8* | -0.8* | ||||
| Black | 1975-92 | 0.5* | 1992-12 | -2.9* | 2012-17 | 0.0 | -1.3* | 0.0 | ||||||
U.S. Cancer Mortalityc, 2000-2017
| Race/Ethnicity | Joinpoint Trend 1 | Joinpoint Trend 2 | Joinpoint Trend 3 | Joinpoint Trend 4 | Joinpoint Trend 5 | Joinpoint Trend 6 | AAPCd | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | Years | APC | 2008-17 | 2013-17 | |
| All Races | 2000-17 | -1.1* | -1.1* | -1.1* | ||||||||||
| White | 2000-17 | -1.0* | -1.0* | -1.0* | ||||||||||
| White NHe f | 2000-17 | -1.0* | -1.0* | -1.0* | ||||||||||
| Black | 2000-17 | -2.0* | -2.0* | -2.0* | ||||||||||
| Black NHe f | 2000-17 | -1.9* | -1.9* | -1.9* | ||||||||||
| APIe | 2000-17 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | ||||||||||
| AI/ANe g | 2000-17 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||||||
| Hispanicf | 2000-17 | -0.9* | -0.9* | -0.9* | ||||||||||
Footnotes:
Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute. (https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/).
The APC is the Annual Percent Change based on rates age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1130).
a Trends are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, and Atlanta).
b Trends are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
c Trends are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
d The AAPC is the Average Annual Percent Change and is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint.
e API - Asian/Pacific Islander, AI/AN - American Indian/Alaska Native, NH - Non-Hispanic
f Hispanic and Non-Hispanic are not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics and Non-Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
g Data for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
* The APC/AAPC is significantly different from zero (p<.05).
- Joinpoint regression line analysis could not be performed on data series.
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