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Figure 23.3
Figure 23.3
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Prostate, Males
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2017 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 2000-2017
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Observed SEER Incidence, Male, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 92.2 | 91.0 | 141.2 | 144.7 | ||||||
| 1976 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 140.9 | 147.5 | ||||||
| 1977 | 98.6 | 96.2 | 159.2 | 150.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 148.1 | 153.4 | ||||||
| 1979 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 161.9 | 156.5 | ||||||
| 1980 | 105.0 | 104.6 | 161.1 | 159.6 | ||||||
| 1981 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 162.0 | 162.7 | ||||||
| 1982 | 107.3 | 110.5 | 167.8 | 166.0 | ||||||
| 1983 | 110.9 | 113.6 | 171.1 | 169.3 | ||||||
| 1984 | 110.1 | 116.8 | 178.7 | 172.6 | ||||||
| 1985 | 114.6 | 120.1 | 170.4 | 176.1 | ||||||
| 1986 | 119.0 | 123.5 | 168.6 | 179.6 | ||||||
| 1987 | 134.6 | 127.0 | 189.4 | 183.1 | ||||||
| 1988 | 138.8 | 130.6 | 190.2 | 186.7 | ||||||
| 1989 | 146.2 | 151.5 | 191.8 | 190.5 | ||||||
| 1990 | 172.9 | 175.7 | 222.5 | 232.4 | ||||||
| 1991 | 216.6 | 203.8 | 289.8 | 283.5 | ||||||
| 1992 | 238.7 | 236.4 | 331.1 | 345.9 | ||||||
| 1993 | 204.7 | 211.3 | 347.9 | 329.9 | ||||||
| 1994 | 174.5 | 188.9 | 316.1 | 314.7 | ||||||
| 1995 | 164.8 | 168.8 | 286.1 | 300.2 | ||||||
| 1996 | 165.7 | 169.0 | 286.4 | 296.8 | ||||||
| 1997 | 170.5 | 169.3 | 288.4 | 293.4 | ||||||
| 1998 | 167.8 | 169.5 | 292.5 | 290.0 | ||||||
| 1999 | 179.6 | 169.8 | 297.1 | 286.7 | ||||||
| 2000 | 179.8 | 170.0 | 297.3 | 283.4 | 101.3 | 104.9 | 74.6 | 87.9 | 161.6 | 161.8 |
| 2001 | 183.4 | 170.3 | 280.7 | 280.2 | 105.2 | 102.5 | 93.4 | 88.1 | 157.5 | 159.1 |
| 2002 | 180.2 | 170.5 | 293.7 | 277.0 | 101.9 | 100.1 | 92.4 | 88.3 | 163.4 | 156.4 |
| 2003 | 167.0 | 170.8 | 266.1 | 273.8 | 98.3 | 97.7 | 93.0 | 88.4 | 149.8 | 153.8 |
| 2004 | 163.1 | 171.0 | 263.0 | 270.7 | 95.8 | 95.4 | 91.0 | 88.6 | 153.8 | 151.2 |
| 2005 | 152.6 | 171.3 | 256.9 | 267.6 | 88.3 | 93.1 | 88.1 | 88.8 | 144.2 | 148.7 |
| 2006 | 169.2 | 171.5 | 260.2 | 264.5 | 90.6 | 91.0 | 87.3 | 89.0 | 143.8 | 146.2 |
| 2007 | 171.5 | 171.8 | 272.3 | 261.5 | 94.4 | 88.8 | 94.3 | 89.2 | 145.2 | 143.7 |
| 2008 | 154.3 | 159.4 | 257.2 | 258.5 | 84.5 | 86.7 | 81.6 | 83.9 | 141.1 | 141.3 |
| 2009 | 152.0 | 147.8 | 247.8 | 255.5 | 82.3 | 84.7 | 76.2 | 78.9 | 137.1 | 139.0 |
| 2010 | 145.1 | 137.2 | 233.8 | 234.3 | 75.1 | 77.5 | 79.4 | 74.2 | 127.8 | 128.1 |
| 2011 | 138.2 | 127.2 | 223.1 | 214.9 | 77.8 | 70.8 | 66.0 | 69.7 | 123.9 | 118.1 |
| 2012 | 111.2 | 118.0 | 192.9 | 197.1 | 62.0 | 64.8 | 61.0 | 65.6 | 107.1 | 108.8 |
| 2013 | 107.0 | 109.5 | 185.9 | 180.7 | 59.9 | 59.3 | 57.6 | 61.7 | 101.8 | 100.3 |
| 2014 | 98.8 | 101.6 | 161.2 | 165.8 | 52.4 | 54.2 | 58.0 | 58.0 | 91.0 | 92.5 |
| 2015 | 104.0 | 103.7 | 169.9 | 171.0 | 57.1 | 55.5 | 51.4 | 54.5 | 90.6 | 91.1 |
| 2016 | 104.5 | 105.8 | 178.4 | 176.4 | 55.8 | 56.9 | 57.7 | 51.3 | 88.6 | 89.8 |
| 2017 | 108.7 | 108.0 | 180.9 | 181.9 | 58.4 | 58.2 | 49.0 | 48.2 | 89.3 | 88.5 |
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, U.S. Mortality, Male, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander | Asian/Pacific Islander Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec | American Indian/Alaska Nativec Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd | Hispanicd Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 29.1 | 29.5 | 55.5 | 55.3 | ||||||
| 1976 | 29.9 | 29.8 | 55.6 | 56.4 | ||||||
| 1977 | 29.9 | 30.0 | 56.4 | 57.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 30.6 | 30.2 | 58.5 | 58.5 | ||||||
| 1979 | 30.8 | 30.5 | 59.2 | 59.6 | ||||||
| 1980 | 30.8 | 30.7 | 62.0 | 60.8 | ||||||
| 1981 | 30.8 | 30.9 | 63.6 | 61.9 | ||||||
| 1982 | 31.1 | 31.2 | 62.4 | 63.1 | ||||||
| 1983 | 31.6 | 31.4 | 64.6 | 64.3 | ||||||
| 1984 | 31.6 | 31.7 | 65.9 | 65.5 | ||||||
| 1985 | 31.3 | 31.9 | 67.3 | 66.8 | ||||||
| 1986 | 32.5 | 32.2 | 67.4 | 68.0 | ||||||
| 1987 | 32.6 | 32.4 | 68.9 | 69.3 | ||||||
| 1988 | 33.4 | 33.4 | 69.6 | 70.7 | ||||||
| 1989 | 34.5 | 34.5 | 71.7 | 72.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 35.7 | 35.5 | 78.0 | 75.3 | ||||||
| 1991 | 36.5 | 36.6 | 78.2 | 77.7 | ||||||
| 1992 | 36.3 | 36.4 | 79.8 | 80.2 | ||||||
| 1993 | 36.3 | 36.1 | 81.9 | 82.8 | ||||||
| 1994 | 35.6 | 35.8 | 80.0 | 80.7 | ||||||
| 1995 | 34.4 | 34.3 | 78.2 | 78.6 | ||||||
| 1996 | 33.0 | 32.8 | 78.8 | 76.6 | ||||||
| 1997 | 31.3 | 31.4 | 74.3 | 74.7 | ||||||
| 1998 | 29.9 | 30.1 | 72.8 | 72.8 | ||||||
| 1999 | 28.9 | 28.8 | 70.1 | 70.9 | ||||||
| 2000 | 27.8 | 27.8 | 68.9 | 69.1 | 12.6 | 12.3 | 26.4 | 24.3 | 21.8 | 24.1 |
| 2001 | 27.0 | 26.9 | 67.8 | 66.5 | 11.9 | 12.0 | 21.7 | 23.8 | 24.1 | 23.3 |
| 2002 | 26.4 | 26.0 | 65.0 | 64.1 | 10.7 | 11.7 | 19.4 | 23.4 | 23.2 | 22.7 |
| 2003 | 25.0 | 25.1 | 60.4 | 61.7 | 11.6 | 11.4 | 23.9 | 23.0 | 21.9 | 22.0 |
| 2004 | 24.0 | 24.3 | 59.0 | 59.4 | 12.2 | 11.2 | 23.3 | 22.6 | 21.1 | 21.3 |
| 2005 | 23.3 | 23.5 | 57.0 | 57.1 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 25.9 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 20.7 |
| 2006 | 22.3 | 22.7 | 53.7 | 55.0 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 19.3 | 21.9 | 20.6 | 20.1 |
| 2007 | 22.2 | 21.9 | 54.9 | 52.9 | 11.2 | 10.4 | 22.1 | 21.5 | 20.0 | 19.5 |
| 2008 | 21.3 | 21.2 | 49.1 | 51.0 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 22.7 | 21.1 | 19.1 | 18.9 |
| 2009 | 20.3 | 20.5 | 49.4 | 49.0 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 18.5 | 20.8 | 18.1 | 18.4 |
| 2010 | 20.1 | 19.8 | 48.1 | 47.2 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 19.5 | 20.4 | 18.3 | 17.8 |
| 2011 | 19.3 | 19.1 | 44.0 | 44.3 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 22.5 | 20.1 | 17.4 | 17.3 |
| 2012 | 18.1 | 18.5 | 41.6 | 41.5 | 8.4 | 9.3 | 17.9 | 19.7 | 16.5 | 16.8 |
| 2013 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 39.1 | 38.9 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 19.4 | 15.9 | 16.3 |
| 2014 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 38.0 | 38.4 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 19.7 | 19.0 | 15.5 | 15.8 |
| 2015 | 17.7 | 17.9 | 37.6 | 37.9 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 21.6 | 18.7 | 16.0 | 15.8 |
| 2016 | 18.2 | 17.9 | 38.4 | 37.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 18.4 | 18.4 | 15.7 | 15.8 |
| 2017 | 17.8 | 17.9 | 36.4 | 36.9 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 16.2 | 18.1 | 15.7 | 15.7 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 21 areas (SEER 9 areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Georgia excluding ATL/RG, Idaho, New York and Massachusetts).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.8, April 2020, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2016 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 2000-2016 allow a maximum of 3 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the Purchased/Referred Care Delivery Area (PRCDA) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.
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