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Figure 2.1

CSR Figure 2.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex


Figure 2.1

Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2012, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 468.5 469.5 468.5 469.5 254.0 254.4
1976 481.9 476.2 481.9 476.2 257.5 256.8
1977 487.1 483.0 487.1 483.0 258.8 259.1
1978 489.7 489.8 489.7 489.8 261.6 261.5
1979 497.6 496.8 497.6 496.8 263.2 263.9
1980 505.2 503.9 505.2 503.9 265.0 264.5
1981 510.9 511.1 510.9 511.1 263.3 265.2
1982 512.4 518.3 512.4 518.3 266.3 265.8
1983 520.9 525.7 520.9 525.7 267.2 266.4
1984 527.7 533.2 527.7 533.2 267.6 267.1
1985 533.5 540.8 533.5 540.8 268.2 267.7
1986 542.8 548.5 542.8 548.5 268.8 268.4
1987 568.8 556.3 568.8 556.3 269.0 269.0
1988 565.0 564.2 565.0 564.2 269.5 269.7
1989 573.5 572.3 573.5 572.3 270.2 270.4
1990 599.3 600.9 599.3 600.9 271.5 271.0
1991 644.4 631.0 644.4 631.0 271.2 271.7
1992 663.3 662.6 663.3 662.6 268.9 269.6
1993 620.1 628.7 620.1 628.7 267.9 267.5
1994 587.4 596.5 587.4 596.5 264.7 265.5
1995 570.1 565.9 570.1 566.0 261.5 260.8
1996 573.7 569.8 573.7 569.8 256.8 256.1
1997 576.2 573.7 576.2 573.6 251.6 251.6
1998 576.1 577.6 575.8 577.4 247.6 249.0
1999 582.9 581.6 582.4 581.3 247.1 246.5
2000 584.5 585.6 583.7 585.2 243.4 243.9
2001 588.5 582.3 587.2 581.1 240.3 239.9
2002 582.7 579.0 581.0 577.1 237.6 235.9
2003 567.0 575.7 564.8 573.2 232.2 232.0
2004 566.3 572.4 563.6 569.2 226.6 228.2
2005 560.9 569.2 557.5 565.3 224.9 224.4
2006 567.3 566.0 562.9 561.4 220.0 220.7
2007 577.7 562.8 572.2 557.6 216.6 217.0
2008 558.9 559.6 552.3 553.7 213.2 213.4
2009 550.7 556.4 542.7 549.9 209.3 209.9
2010 542.2 542.1 531.3 530.0 207.2 206.4
2011 534.2 528.1 519.1 510.8 203.2 203.0
2012 510.3 514.4 486.4 492.3 199.9 199.6
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2012, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 525.5 533.0 525.5 532.9 320.5 322.5
1976 552.9 548.0 552.9 548.0 328.4 328.4
1977 577.6 563.5 577.6 563.5 337.9 334.4
1978 570.7 579.4 570.7 579.4 340.9 340.5
1979 589.8 595.7 589.8 595.8 344.7 346.7
1980 615.1 612.5 615.1 612.6 353.9 353.0
1981 634.3 629.8 634.3 629.9 358.6 359.5
1982 622.1 633.9 622.1 633.9 364.9 366.0
1983 646.3 638.0 646.3 638.0 369.3 369.7
1984 643.9 642.1 643.9 642.1 377.9 373.4
1985 643.5 646.2 643.5 646.2 377.8 377.1
1986 643.5 650.4 643.5 650.3 378.9 380.9
1987 666.3 654.6 666.3 654.5 383.2 384.7
1988 657.7 658.8 657.7 658.7 384.2 388.5
1989 661.1 663.0 661.1 662.9 395.3 392.4
1990 699.8 707.4 699.8 707.7 399.1 396.3
1991 765.0 754.8 765.0 755.5 395.9 395.5
1992 809.6 805.3 809.6 806.5 389.2 394.6
1993 819.1 793.1 819.1 793.9 394.8 393.7
1994 784.2 781.1 784.2 781.5 385.2 385.7
1995 750.7 769.3 750.7 769.2 379.0 377.9
1996 728.4 757.6 728.4 757.2 373.7 370.2
1997 742.2 746.2 742.2 745.3 363.2 362.7
1998 727.4 734.9 727.1 733.6 353.1 355.3
1999 726.0 723.7 725.3 722.2 349.2 348.1
2000 715.9 712.8 714.8 710.8 341.2 341.1
2001 702.3 702.0 700.7 699.7 334.1 334.1
2002 701.5 691.3 699.3 688.7 325.8 325.2
2003 684.6 680.9 681.8 678.0 314.6 316.5
2004 689.1 670.5 685.4 667.3 307.3 308.1
2005 649.0 660.4 644.6 656.9 300.3 299.9
2006 651.3 663.8 645.8 659.2 290.2 291.8
2007 674.7 667.1 667.8 661.6 286.6 284.1
2008 671.6 670.5 663.1 664.0 275.3 276.5
2009 647.7 648.1 637.8 636.9 268.9 269.1
2010 624.2 626.3 611.4 610.9 264.2 261.9
2011 603.1 605.3 586.3 586.0 253.8 254.9
2012 587.8 585.0 561.5 562.1 247.8 248.1
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2012, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 369.6 371.0 369.6 371.0 159.0 159.7
1976 373.2 370.2 373.2 370.2 161.7 160.5
1977 367.9 369.3 367.9 369.3 161.6 161.4
1978 367.9 368.5 367.9 368.5 162.5 162.3
1979 369.7 367.7 369.7 367.7 161.7 163.2
1980 373.4 373.9 373.4 373.9 164.2 164.1
1981 383.9 380.2 383.9 380.2 164.6 165.0
1982 383.4 386.6 383.4 386.6 166.1 166.0
1983 387.9 393.1 387.9 393.0 166.7 166.9
1984 399.6 399.7 399.6 399.6 169.0 167.8
1985 411.5 406.4 411.5 406.3 169.6 168.7
1986 409.1 413.2 409.1 413.2 170.0 169.7
1987 423.2 420.2 423.2 420.1 169.9 170.6
1988 417.8 420.7 417.8 420.6 170.9 171.5
1989 418.6 421.1 418.6 421.2 172.9 172.5
1990 424.8 421.6 424.8 421.7 172.9 173.4
1991 428.5 422.1 428.5 422.2 173.4 173.1
1992 423.4 422.6 423.4 422.7 172.6 172.8
1993 417.0 423.0 417.0 423.3 172.8 172.6
1994 423.2 423.5 423.2 423.8 172.6 172.3
1995 426.1 424.0 426.1 424.3 171.7 172.0
1996 428.0 431.1 428.0 430.5 169.8 169.9
1997 440.9 438.4 440.9 436.8 167.3 167.8
1998 446.5 445.8 446.4 443.2 165.4 165.8
1999 443.7 444.0 443.4 442.2 165.9 165.4
2000 438.0 442.2 437.7 441.3 166.0 165.0
2001 442.7 440.3 442.1 440.3 163.8 164.6
2002 441.7 438.5 440.9 439.3 162.6 162.4
2003 433.3 436.7 432.3 438.4 160.4 160.2
2004 434.6 435.0 433.3 437.5 157.4 158.1
2005 435.5 435.8 433.9 436.5 156.0 155.9
2006 435.8 436.6 433.7 435.6 154.5 153.8
2007 437.5 437.4 434.9 434.6 151.9 151.8
2008 440.6 438.2 437.4 433.7 149.4 149.7
2009 444.4 439.0 440.4 432.7 147.5 147.7
2010 436.6 439.8 431.2 431.8 145.9 145.7
2011 438.5 440.7 430.6 430.9 143.4 143.7
2012 441.4 441.5 427.6 429.9 142.1 141.8
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2012, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 356.6 344.4 356.6 343.6 174.2 177.2
1976 340.9 348.2 340.9 347.5 179.1 178.9
1977 352.5 352.0 352.5 351.4 181.6 180.7
1978 344.0 355.8 344.0 355.4 181.5 182.5
1979 359.3 359.7 359.3 359.5 182.7 184.3
1980 366.7 363.6 366.7 363.5 189.2 186.2
1981 363.1 367.6 363.1 367.7 187.5 188.1
1982 359.5 371.7 359.5 371.8 190.2 189.9
1983 382.3 375.7 382.3 376.1 193.2 191.8
1984 386.1 379.8 386.1 380.3 195.7 193.8
1985 388.3 384.0 388.3 384.7 196.3 195.7
1986 396.6 388.2 396.6 389.0 199.1 197.7
1987 394.1 392.4 394.1 393.4 199.9 199.6
1988 404.5 396.7 404.5 397.9 200.4 201.6
1989 384.8 401.1 384.8 402.4 200.9 203.6
1990 409.4 405.5 409.4 407.0 205.4 205.7
1991 412.8 409.9 412.8 411.6 207.4 207.7
1992 413.9 410.5 413.9 411.8 205.8 206.6
1993 404.3 411.1 404.3 412.0 206.3 205.4
1994 409.3 411.6 409.3 412.2 204.1 204.2
1995 404.8 412.2 404.8 412.4 204.5 203.1
1996 417.7 412.8 417.7 412.6 200.9 201.9
1997 411.3 413.4 411.3 412.8 202.5 200.8
1998 419.0 414.0 418.9 413.0 198.4 199.6
1999 422.0 414.6 421.8 413.3 197.5 198.5
2000 406.0 415.1 405.6 413.5 193.2 195.4
2001 401.9 415.7 401.4 413.7 192.1 192.3
2002 427.7 416.3 426.9 413.9 191.4 189.3
2003 414.4 416.9 413.4 414.1 188.8 186.3
2004 420.9 417.5 419.6 414.3 183.5 183.4
2005 422.1 418.1 420.3 414.5 180.9 180.5
2006 417.9 418.7 415.8 414.7 177.3 177.7
2007 417.3 419.3 414.6 414.9 175.5 174.9
2008 420.5 419.9 417.1 415.1 170.4 172.2
2009 425.9 420.4 421.7 415.3 167.4 169.5
2010 411.6 421.0 406.1 415.5 166.2 166.9
2011 419.2 421.6 411.4 415.7 166.1 164.2
2012 427.5 422.2 414.1 415.9 161.9 161.7
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, All Ages, 1975-2012
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male2009-12-2.6*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male2009-12-3.6*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male2000-12-1.7*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male2008-12-3.4*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male2008-12-4.1*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male2001-12-2.7*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female2004-120.2
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1998-12-0.2*
U.S. Mortality, White, Female2001-12-1.3*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1991-120.1*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1991-120.0
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female1999-12-1.6*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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