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Figure 2.2

CSR Figure 2.2: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex (Ages <65)


Figure 2.2

Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2012, Ages <65
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 175.5 177.1 175.5 177.0 87.8 88.5
1976 179.7 178.6 179.7 178.5 88.3 88.2
1977 181.6 180.1 181.6 180.0 88.3 88.0
1978 181.4 181.5 181.4 181.6 88.3 87.8
1979 181.6 183.0 181.6 183.1 87.7 87.6
1980 184.8 184.5 184.8 184.6 88.0 87.3
1981 187.3 186.1 187.3 186.2 86.7 87.1
1982 186.1 187.6 186.1 187.8 86.6 86.9
1983 191.5 191.3 191.5 191.5 86.2 86.7
1984 194.4 195.2 194.4 195.2 86.4 86.5
1985 202.9 199.0 202.9 199.0 86.6 86.2
1986 204.2 203.0 204.2 202.9 85.8 86.0
1987 209.5 207.1 209.5 206.9 85.5 85.8
1988 207.5 211.2 207.5 210.9 84.8 84.7
1989 210.1 215.4 210.1 215.1 83.7 83.7
1990 214.6 219.7 214.6 219.3 83.1 82.6
1991 227.0 224.1 227.0 223.6 82.2 81.6
1992 232.3 228.6 232.3 227.9 80.2 80.6
1993 227.2 226.6 227.2 226.8 79.1 79.6
1994 224.8 224.6 224.8 225.7 77.7 77.6
1995 221.1 222.6 221.1 224.6 75.5 75.6
1996 224.7 223.4 224.7 223.5 74.0 73.6
1997 223.3 224.3 223.3 222.4 71.3 71.7
1998 220.1 225.1 220.0 221.3 69.9 69.9
1999 225.5 226.0 225.4 224.5 69.2 68.9
2000 231.3 226.9 231.0 227.8 67.5 67.9
2001 232.6 227.7 232.2 231.2 67.2 66.9
2002 233.1 228.6 232.5 230.7 66.2 66.0
2003 226.6 229.5 225.9 230.1 64.6 64.5
2004 227.9 230.4 226.9 229.6 62.7 63.2
2005 227.7 231.2 226.5 229.1 61.7 61.8
2006 231.3 232.1 229.8 228.5 60.7 60.5
2007 233.7 233.0 231.9 228.0 59.1 59.2
2008 228.9 229.7 226.7 227.5 58.6 58.5
2009 229.1 226.3 226.3 227.0 57.9 57.8
2010 222.6 223.1 218.8 220.2 57.1 57.1
2011 223.1 219.8 217.8 213.6 56.3 56.4
2012 213.3 216.7 204.8 207.2 55.8 55.8
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2012, Ages <65
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 232.0 231.7 232.0 231.8 145.9 146.4
1976 239.9 237.7 239.9 237.7 146.7 147.2
1977 240.2 243.8 240.2 243.8 149.4 147.9
1978 251.0 250.1 251.0 250.1 149.8 148.7
1979 252.0 256.6 252.0 256.5 149.3 149.4
1980 268.4 263.2 268.4 263.1 149.7 150.2
1981 272.4 270.0 272.4 269.9 149.9 151.0
1982 276.9 276.9 276.9 276.8 151.5 151.7
1983 272.4 276.2 272.4 276.2 151.1 152.5
1984 284.0 275.6 284.0 275.6 154.9 153.3
1985 268.4 274.9 268.4 275.0 151.0 150.5
1986 268.8 274.2 268.8 274.4 147.4 147.9
1987 274.7 273.6 274.7 273.8 145.3 145.2
1988 272.2 272.9 272.2 273.2 145.7 146.0
1989 276.3 272.2 276.3 272.6 147.7 146.8
1990 287.5 284.7 287.5 284.5 147.8 147.6
1991 292.6 297.7 292.6 296.9 142.0 143.2
1992 311.1 311.3 311.1 309.9 138.2 138.9
1993 327.4 325.5 327.4 323.4 135.9 134.7
1994 322.3 323.1 322.3 321.2 131.7 130.7
1995 328.5 320.6 328.5 319.0 126.8 126.8
1996 317.2 318.2 317.2 316.8 123.4 123.0
1997 305.7 315.8 305.7 314.6 119.8 119.3
1998 301.6 313.4 301.5 312.5 116.3 115.7
1999 309.3 311.0 309.1 310.3 113.1 112.3
2000 313.0 308.7 312.6 308.2 107.6 108.9
2001 305.9 306.3 305.3 306.1 103.5 105.6
2002 314.4 304.0 313.5 304.0 102.1 102.5
2003 306.6 301.7 305.5 301.9 99.9 99.4
2004 294.6 299.4 293.3 299.8 95.8 96.4
2005 290.8 297.1 289.1 297.8 93.8 93.6
2006 286.9 294.9 284.7 295.7 90.0 90.8
2007 307.4 292.7 304.6 293.7 87.9 88.0
2008 296.9 290.4 293.6 291.7 85.3 85.4
2009 296.0 288.2 292.0 289.7 83.4 82.9
2010 284.6 286.1 279.4 280.3 80.4 80.4
2011 279.3 283.9 272.3 271.2 77.9 78.0
2012 273.1 281.7 262.1 262.5 76.5 75.6
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2012, Ages <65
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 223.0 223.6 223.0 223.6 75.0 75.1
1976 223.4 221.1 223.4 221.1 75.2 74.8
1977 216.4 218.6 216.4 218.6 74.8 74.6
1978 217.1 216.2 217.1 216.2 74.7 74.4
1979 212.7 213.8 212.7 213.8 73.3 74.2
1980 210.4 211.4 210.4 211.4 73.7 74.0
1981 217.8 214.5 217.8 214.5 73.2 73.8
1982 217.2 217.6 217.2 217.6 73.6 73.6
1983 217.8 220.8 217.8 220.8 73.4 73.4
1984 224.4 224.0 224.4 224.0 74.0 73.2
1985 230.7 227.2 230.7 227.2 74.1 73.0
1986 228.4 230.5 228.4 230.6 73.0 72.8
1987 235.1 233.9 235.1 233.9 72.5 72.6
1988 230.0 233.0 230.0 233.0 72.4 72.4
1989 229.7 232.2 229.7 232.2 71.8 72.2
1990 234.3 231.4 234.3 231.3 71.1 72.0
1991 234.1 230.6 234.1 230.5 70.9 70.7
1992 231.0 229.8 231.0 229.6 69.0 69.4
1993 226.0 229.0 226.0 228.8 68.1 68.1
1994 231.6 231.7 231.6 231.7 67.3 66.8
1995 234.5 234.4 234.5 234.6 66.3 65.6
1996 234.9 237.2 234.9 237.6 64.9 64.4
1997 242.2 240.0 242.2 240.6 63.4 63.2
1998 243.9 242.8 243.8 243.6 61.1 62.0
1999 244.7 243.1 244.6 243.6 60.4 60.9
2000 243.2 243.4 243.0 243.5 59.9 59.8
2001 243.9 243.7 243.6 243.5 59.3 58.7
2002 246.8 244.0 246.4 243.5 58.0 57.6
2003 242.0 244.2 241.6 243.4 56.7 56.5
2004 240.5 244.5 240.0 243.4 54.9 55.5
2005 243.8 244.8 243.0 243.3 54.4 54.4
2006 243.0 245.1 242.1 243.3 53.7 53.4
2007 244.4 245.4 243.2 243.3 52.1 52.4
2008 246.6 245.7 245.1 243.2 50.6 51.5
2009 248.7 246.0 246.8 243.2 50.8 50.5
2010 244.9 246.2 242.3 243.2 49.3 49.6
2011 247.0 246.5 243.1 243.1 48.6 48.7
2012 248.6 246.8 241.8 243.1 48.5 47.8
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2012, Ages <65
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 214.3 206.3 214.3 205.8 95.3 96.1
1976 205.3 207.8 205.3 207.5 94.3 96.2
1977 208.7 209.4 208.7 209.1 97.9 96.3
1978 205.2 210.9 205.2 210.8 95.8 96.4
1979 215.9 212.5 215.9 212.5 96.4 96.5
1980 215.4 214.1 215.4 214.2 98.3 96.6
1981 210.7 215.7 210.7 215.9 96.2 96.7
1982 207.8 217.3 207.8 217.6 96.7 96.7
1983 219.9 218.9 219.9 219.3 96.9 96.8
1984 226.6 220.5 226.6 221.1 98.6 96.9
1985 223.4 222.2 223.4 222.8 97.2 97.0
1986 228.3 223.8 228.3 224.6 98.1 97.1
1987 224.3 225.5 224.3 226.4 98.6 97.2
1988 230.6 227.2 230.6 228.2 95.7 97.3
1989 219.7 227.3 219.7 228.2 93.9 97.3
1990 227.4 227.4 227.4 228.1 97.0 97.4
1991 231.3 227.6 231.3 228.1 93.8 95.6
1992 234.0 227.7 234.0 228.0 95.1 93.8
1993 230.1 227.8 230.1 228.0 91.6 92.0
1994 230.5 227.9 230.5 228.0 90.1 90.3
1995 224.2 228.1 224.2 227.9 89.7 88.6
1996 229.5 228.2 229.5 227.9 86.2 86.9
1997 225.0 228.3 225.0 227.8 86.0 85.3
1998 231.9 228.4 231.9 227.8 85.4 83.6
1999 231.2 228.5 231.1 227.8 81.9 82.1
2000 224.3 228.7 224.1 227.7 79.8 80.5
2001 216.7 228.8 216.5 227.7 79.0 79.0
2002 229.5 228.9 229.1 227.6 78.1 77.5
2003 225.1 229.0 224.6 227.6 77.0 76.0
2004 233.7 229.2 233.1 227.6 74.6 74.6
2005 231.5 229.3 230.7 227.5 74.3 73.2
2006 227.8 229.4 226.7 227.5 72.0 71.8
2007 227.7 229.5 226.4 227.4 70.2 70.4
2008 226.7 229.7 225.1 227.4 67.9 69.1
2009 236.4 229.8 234.4 227.4 66.4 67.8
2010 223.8 229.9 221.1 227.3 66.1 66.5
2011 232.2 230.0 228.3 227.3 66.1 65.3
2012 234.6 230.2 228.0 227.2 64.0 64.0
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, Ages <65, 1975-2012
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male2007-12-1.4*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male2009-12-3.0*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male2007-12-1.2*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male1993-12-0.8*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male2009-12-3.2*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male1990-12-3.0*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female1998-120.1
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1998-120.0
U.S. Mortality, White, Female1990-12-1.8*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1988-120.1
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1988-120.0
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female1990-12-1.9*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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