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Figure 2.2
Figure 2.2
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Under 65 Years of Age, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2012, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2012, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2012, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2012, Ages <65
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 175.5 | 177.1 | 175.5 | 177.0 | 87.8 | 88.5 |
| 1976 | 179.7 | 178.6 | 179.7 | 178.5 | 88.3 | 88.2 |
| 1977 | 181.6 | 180.1 | 181.6 | 180.0 | 88.3 | 88.0 |
| 1978 | 181.4 | 181.5 | 181.4 | 181.6 | 88.3 | 87.8 |
| 1979 | 181.6 | 183.0 | 181.6 | 183.1 | 87.7 | 87.6 |
| 1980 | 184.8 | 184.5 | 184.8 | 184.6 | 88.0 | 87.3 |
| 1981 | 187.3 | 186.1 | 187.3 | 186.2 | 86.7 | 87.1 |
| 1982 | 186.1 | 187.6 | 186.1 | 187.8 | 86.6 | 86.9 |
| 1983 | 191.5 | 191.3 | 191.5 | 191.5 | 86.2 | 86.7 |
| 1984 | 194.4 | 195.2 | 194.4 | 195.2 | 86.4 | 86.5 |
| 1985 | 202.9 | 199.0 | 202.9 | 199.0 | 86.6 | 86.2 |
| 1986 | 204.2 | 203.0 | 204.2 | 202.9 | 85.8 | 86.0 |
| 1987 | 209.5 | 207.1 | 209.5 | 206.9 | 85.5 | 85.8 |
| 1988 | 207.5 | 211.2 | 207.5 | 210.9 | 84.8 | 84.7 |
| 1989 | 210.1 | 215.4 | 210.1 | 215.1 | 83.7 | 83.7 |
| 1990 | 214.6 | 219.7 | 214.6 | 219.3 | 83.1 | 82.6 |
| 1991 | 227.0 | 224.1 | 227.0 | 223.6 | 82.2 | 81.6 |
| 1992 | 232.3 | 228.6 | 232.3 | 227.9 | 80.2 | 80.6 |
| 1993 | 227.2 | 226.6 | 227.2 | 226.8 | 79.1 | 79.6 |
| 1994 | 224.8 | 224.6 | 224.8 | 225.7 | 77.7 | 77.6 |
| 1995 | 221.1 | 222.6 | 221.1 | 224.6 | 75.5 | 75.6 |
| 1996 | 224.7 | 223.4 | 224.7 | 223.5 | 74.0 | 73.6 |
| 1997 | 223.3 | 224.3 | 223.3 | 222.4 | 71.3 | 71.7 |
| 1998 | 220.1 | 225.1 | 220.0 | 221.3 | 69.9 | 69.9 |
| 1999 | 225.5 | 226.0 | 225.4 | 224.5 | 69.2 | 68.9 |
| 2000 | 231.3 | 226.9 | 231.0 | 227.8 | 67.5 | 67.9 |
| 2001 | 232.6 | 227.7 | 232.2 | 231.2 | 67.2 | 66.9 |
| 2002 | 233.1 | 228.6 | 232.5 | 230.7 | 66.2 | 66.0 |
| 2003 | 226.6 | 229.5 | 225.9 | 230.1 | 64.6 | 64.5 |
| 2004 | 227.9 | 230.4 | 226.9 | 229.6 | 62.7 | 63.2 |
| 2005 | 227.7 | 231.2 | 226.5 | 229.1 | 61.7 | 61.8 |
| 2006 | 231.3 | 232.1 | 229.8 | 228.5 | 60.7 | 60.5 |
| 2007 | 233.7 | 233.0 | 231.9 | 228.0 | 59.1 | 59.2 |
| 2008 | 228.9 | 229.7 | 226.7 | 227.5 | 58.6 | 58.5 |
| 2009 | 229.1 | 226.3 | 226.3 | 227.0 | 57.9 | 57.8 |
| 2010 | 222.6 | 223.1 | 218.8 | 220.2 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| 2011 | 223.1 | 219.8 | 217.8 | 213.6 | 56.3 | 56.4 |
| 2012 | 213.3 | 216.7 | 204.8 | 207.2 | 55.8 | 55.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 232.0 | 231.7 | 232.0 | 231.8 | 145.9 | 146.4 |
| 1976 | 239.9 | 237.7 | 239.9 | 237.7 | 146.7 | 147.2 |
| 1977 | 240.2 | 243.8 | 240.2 | 243.8 | 149.4 | 147.9 |
| 1978 | 251.0 | 250.1 | 251.0 | 250.1 | 149.8 | 148.7 |
| 1979 | 252.0 | 256.6 | 252.0 | 256.5 | 149.3 | 149.4 |
| 1980 | 268.4 | 263.2 | 268.4 | 263.1 | 149.7 | 150.2 |
| 1981 | 272.4 | 270.0 | 272.4 | 269.9 | 149.9 | 151.0 |
| 1982 | 276.9 | 276.9 | 276.9 | 276.8 | 151.5 | 151.7 |
| 1983 | 272.4 | 276.2 | 272.4 | 276.2 | 151.1 | 152.5 |
| 1984 | 284.0 | 275.6 | 284.0 | 275.6 | 154.9 | 153.3 |
| 1985 | 268.4 | 274.9 | 268.4 | 275.0 | 151.0 | 150.5 |
| 1986 | 268.8 | 274.2 | 268.8 | 274.4 | 147.4 | 147.9 |
| 1987 | 274.7 | 273.6 | 274.7 | 273.8 | 145.3 | 145.2 |
| 1988 | 272.2 | 272.9 | 272.2 | 273.2 | 145.7 | 146.0 |
| 1989 | 276.3 | 272.2 | 276.3 | 272.6 | 147.7 | 146.8 |
| 1990 | 287.5 | 284.7 | 287.5 | 284.5 | 147.8 | 147.6 |
| 1991 | 292.6 | 297.7 | 292.6 | 296.9 | 142.0 | 143.2 |
| 1992 | 311.1 | 311.3 | 311.1 | 309.9 | 138.2 | 138.9 |
| 1993 | 327.4 | 325.5 | 327.4 | 323.4 | 135.9 | 134.7 |
| 1994 | 322.3 | 323.1 | 322.3 | 321.2 | 131.7 | 130.7 |
| 1995 | 328.5 | 320.6 | 328.5 | 319.0 | 126.8 | 126.8 |
| 1996 | 317.2 | 318.2 | 317.2 | 316.8 | 123.4 | 123.0 |
| 1997 | 305.7 | 315.8 | 305.7 | 314.6 | 119.8 | 119.3 |
| 1998 | 301.6 | 313.4 | 301.5 | 312.5 | 116.3 | 115.7 |
| 1999 | 309.3 | 311.0 | 309.1 | 310.3 | 113.1 | 112.3 |
| 2000 | 313.0 | 308.7 | 312.6 | 308.2 | 107.6 | 108.9 |
| 2001 | 305.9 | 306.3 | 305.3 | 306.1 | 103.5 | 105.6 |
| 2002 | 314.4 | 304.0 | 313.5 | 304.0 | 102.1 | 102.5 |
| 2003 | 306.6 | 301.7 | 305.5 | 301.9 | 99.9 | 99.4 |
| 2004 | 294.6 | 299.4 | 293.3 | 299.8 | 95.8 | 96.4 |
| 2005 | 290.8 | 297.1 | 289.1 | 297.8 | 93.8 | 93.6 |
| 2006 | 286.9 | 294.9 | 284.7 | 295.7 | 90.0 | 90.8 |
| 2007 | 307.4 | 292.7 | 304.6 | 293.7 | 87.9 | 88.0 |
| 2008 | 296.9 | 290.4 | 293.6 | 291.7 | 85.3 | 85.4 |
| 2009 | 296.0 | 288.2 | 292.0 | 289.7 | 83.4 | 82.9 |
| 2010 | 284.6 | 286.1 | 279.4 | 280.3 | 80.4 | 80.4 |
| 2011 | 279.3 | 283.9 | 272.3 | 271.2 | 77.9 | 78.0 |
| 2012 | 273.1 | 281.7 | 262.1 | 262.5 | 76.5 | 75.6 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 223.0 | 223.6 | 223.0 | 223.6 | 75.0 | 75.1 |
| 1976 | 223.4 | 221.1 | 223.4 | 221.1 | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| 1977 | 216.4 | 218.6 | 216.4 | 218.6 | 74.8 | 74.6 |
| 1978 | 217.1 | 216.2 | 217.1 | 216.2 | 74.7 | 74.4 |
| 1979 | 212.7 | 213.8 | 212.7 | 213.8 | 73.3 | 74.2 |
| 1980 | 210.4 | 211.4 | 210.4 | 211.4 | 73.7 | 74.0 |
| 1981 | 217.8 | 214.5 | 217.8 | 214.5 | 73.2 | 73.8 |
| 1982 | 217.2 | 217.6 | 217.2 | 217.6 | 73.6 | 73.6 |
| 1983 | 217.8 | 220.8 | 217.8 | 220.8 | 73.4 | 73.4 |
| 1984 | 224.4 | 224.0 | 224.4 | 224.0 | 74.0 | 73.2 |
| 1985 | 230.7 | 227.2 | 230.7 | 227.2 | 74.1 | 73.0 |
| 1986 | 228.4 | 230.5 | 228.4 | 230.6 | 73.0 | 72.8 |
| 1987 | 235.1 | 233.9 | 235.1 | 233.9 | 72.5 | 72.6 |
| 1988 | 230.0 | 233.0 | 230.0 | 233.0 | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| 1989 | 229.7 | 232.2 | 229.7 | 232.2 | 71.8 | 72.2 |
| 1990 | 234.3 | 231.4 | 234.3 | 231.3 | 71.1 | 72.0 |
| 1991 | 234.1 | 230.6 | 234.1 | 230.5 | 70.9 | 70.7 |
| 1992 | 231.0 | 229.8 | 231.0 | 229.6 | 69.0 | 69.4 |
| 1993 | 226.0 | 229.0 | 226.0 | 228.8 | 68.1 | 68.1 |
| 1994 | 231.6 | 231.7 | 231.6 | 231.7 | 67.3 | 66.8 |
| 1995 | 234.5 | 234.4 | 234.5 | 234.6 | 66.3 | 65.6 |
| 1996 | 234.9 | 237.2 | 234.9 | 237.6 | 64.9 | 64.4 |
| 1997 | 242.2 | 240.0 | 242.2 | 240.6 | 63.4 | 63.2 |
| 1998 | 243.9 | 242.8 | 243.8 | 243.6 | 61.1 | 62.0 |
| 1999 | 244.7 | 243.1 | 244.6 | 243.6 | 60.4 | 60.9 |
| 2000 | 243.2 | 243.4 | 243.0 | 243.5 | 59.9 | 59.8 |
| 2001 | 243.9 | 243.7 | 243.6 | 243.5 | 59.3 | 58.7 |
| 2002 | 246.8 | 244.0 | 246.4 | 243.5 | 58.0 | 57.6 |
| 2003 | 242.0 | 244.2 | 241.6 | 243.4 | 56.7 | 56.5 |
| 2004 | 240.5 | 244.5 | 240.0 | 243.4 | 54.9 | 55.5 |
| 2005 | 243.8 | 244.8 | 243.0 | 243.3 | 54.4 | 54.4 |
| 2006 | 243.0 | 245.1 | 242.1 | 243.3 | 53.7 | 53.4 |
| 2007 | 244.4 | 245.4 | 243.2 | 243.3 | 52.1 | 52.4 |
| 2008 | 246.6 | 245.7 | 245.1 | 243.2 | 50.6 | 51.5 |
| 2009 | 248.7 | 246.0 | 246.8 | 243.2 | 50.8 | 50.5 |
| 2010 | 244.9 | 246.2 | 242.3 | 243.2 | 49.3 | 49.6 |
| 2011 | 247.0 | 246.5 | 243.1 | 243.1 | 48.6 | 48.7 |
| 2012 | 248.6 | 246.8 | 241.8 | 243.1 | 48.5 | 47.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 214.3 | 206.3 | 214.3 | 205.8 | 95.3 | 96.1 |
| 1976 | 205.3 | 207.8 | 205.3 | 207.5 | 94.3 | 96.2 |
| 1977 | 208.7 | 209.4 | 208.7 | 209.1 | 97.9 | 96.3 |
| 1978 | 205.2 | 210.9 | 205.2 | 210.8 | 95.8 | 96.4 |
| 1979 | 215.9 | 212.5 | 215.9 | 212.5 | 96.4 | 96.5 |
| 1980 | 215.4 | 214.1 | 215.4 | 214.2 | 98.3 | 96.6 |
| 1981 | 210.7 | 215.7 | 210.7 | 215.9 | 96.2 | 96.7 |
| 1982 | 207.8 | 217.3 | 207.8 | 217.6 | 96.7 | 96.7 |
| 1983 | 219.9 | 218.9 | 219.9 | 219.3 | 96.9 | 96.8 |
| 1984 | 226.6 | 220.5 | 226.6 | 221.1 | 98.6 | 96.9 |
| 1985 | 223.4 | 222.2 | 223.4 | 222.8 | 97.2 | 97.0 |
| 1986 | 228.3 | 223.8 | 228.3 | 224.6 | 98.1 | 97.1 |
| 1987 | 224.3 | 225.5 | 224.3 | 226.4 | 98.6 | 97.2 |
| 1988 | 230.6 | 227.2 | 230.6 | 228.2 | 95.7 | 97.3 |
| 1989 | 219.7 | 227.3 | 219.7 | 228.2 | 93.9 | 97.3 |
| 1990 | 227.4 | 227.4 | 227.4 | 228.1 | 97.0 | 97.4 |
| 1991 | 231.3 | 227.6 | 231.3 | 228.1 | 93.8 | 95.6 |
| 1992 | 234.0 | 227.7 | 234.0 | 228.0 | 95.1 | 93.8 |
| 1993 | 230.1 | 227.8 | 230.1 | 228.0 | 91.6 | 92.0 |
| 1994 | 230.5 | 227.9 | 230.5 | 228.0 | 90.1 | 90.3 |
| 1995 | 224.2 | 228.1 | 224.2 | 227.9 | 89.7 | 88.6 |
| 1996 | 229.5 | 228.2 | 229.5 | 227.9 | 86.2 | 86.9 |
| 1997 | 225.0 | 228.3 | 225.0 | 227.8 | 86.0 | 85.3 |
| 1998 | 231.9 | 228.4 | 231.9 | 227.8 | 85.4 | 83.6 |
| 1999 | 231.2 | 228.5 | 231.1 | 227.8 | 81.9 | 82.1 |
| 2000 | 224.3 | 228.7 | 224.1 | 227.7 | 79.8 | 80.5 |
| 2001 | 216.7 | 228.8 | 216.5 | 227.7 | 79.0 | 79.0 |
| 2002 | 229.5 | 228.9 | 229.1 | 227.6 | 78.1 | 77.5 |
| 2003 | 225.1 | 229.0 | 224.6 | 227.6 | 77.0 | 76.0 |
| 2004 | 233.7 | 229.2 | 233.1 | 227.6 | 74.6 | 74.6 |
| 2005 | 231.5 | 229.3 | 230.7 | 227.5 | 74.3 | 73.2 |
| 2006 | 227.8 | 229.4 | 226.7 | 227.5 | 72.0 | 71.8 |
| 2007 | 227.7 | 229.5 | 226.4 | 227.4 | 70.2 | 70.4 |
| 2008 | 226.7 | 229.7 | 225.1 | 227.4 | 67.9 | 69.1 |
| 2009 | 236.4 | 229.8 | 234.4 | 227.4 | 66.4 | 67.8 |
| 2010 | 223.8 | 229.9 | 221.1 | 227.3 | 66.1 | 66.5 |
| 2011 | 232.2 | 230.0 | 228.3 | 227.3 | 66.1 | 65.3 |
| 2012 | 234.6 | 230.2 | 228.0 | 227.2 | 64.0 | 64.0 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-12 | -1.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-12 | -3.0* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2007-12 | -1.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1993-12 | -0.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-12 | -3.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 1990-12 | -3.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-12 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-12 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 1990-12 | -1.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1988-12 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1988-12 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1990-12 | -1.9* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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