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Figure 2.3

CSR Figure 2.3: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex (Ages 65+)


Figure 2.3

Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2012, Ages 65+
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 2494.5 2510.3 2494.5 2510.3 1403.0 1404.8
1976 2570.9 2546.9 2570.9 2546.8 1427.1 1422.7
1977 2599.1 2583.9 2599.1 2583.9 1437.2 1440.8
1978 2620.6 2621.6 2620.6 2621.5 1460.1 1459.1
1979 2681.9 2659.7 2681.9 2659.7 1476.5 1477.7
1980 2720.2 2698.4 2720.2 2698.4 1488.6 1485.7
1981 2747.6 2737.7 2747.6 2737.7 1483.7 1493.8
1982 2768.0 2777.6 2768.0 2777.6 1508.4 1501.9
1983 2797.8 2818.0 2797.8 2818.0 1518.6 1510.0
1984 2831.1 2859.0 2831.1 2859.1 1519.8 1518.2
1985 2818.5 2900.6 2818.5 2900.7 1523.7 1526.4
1986 2883.3 2942.8 2883.3 2942.9 1534.2 1534.7
1987 3052.0 2985.7 3052.0 2985.8 1536.9 1543.1
1988 3035.8 3029.1 3035.8 3029.3 1545.6 1551.4
1989 3085.1 3073.2 3085.1 3073.4 1560.0 1559.9
1990 3258.0 3252.7 3258.0 3252.3 1573.9 1568.3
1991 3529.9 3442.6 3529.9 3441.6 1577.8 1576.8
1992 3642.6 3643.6 3642.6 3641.9 1573.3 1585.4
1993 3336.0 3389.8 3336.0 3391.3 1572.6 1568.6
1994 3094.0 3153.7 3094.0 3157.9 1557.5 1551.9
1995 2982.3 2934.0 2982.3 2940.5 1546.8 1535.5
1996 2986.4 2975.6 2986.4 2972.3 1520.4 1519.2
1997 3016.0 3017.9 3016.0 3004.3 1497.4 1503.1
1998 3036.9 3060.7 3035.5 3036.8 1476.1 1487.1
1999 3053.2 3040.1 3050.2 3069.6 1477.2 1471.3
2000 3026.4 3019.5 3021.4 3037.3 1458.8 1455.7
2001 3048.4 2999.2 3041.1 3005.5 1437.2 1440.3
2002 2999.7 2978.9 2990.0 2973.9 1422.9 1416.4
2003 2919.8 2958.8 2907.5 2942.7 1390.3 1392.9
2004 2906.1 2938.9 2890.5 2911.8 1359.6 1369.7
2005 2864.5 2919.0 2845.1 2881.2 1353.6 1347.0
2006 2889.7 2899.3 2865.4 2851.0 1321.3 1324.7
2007 2955.5 2879.8 2924.9 2821.1 1305.4 1302.7
2008 2839.8 2860.3 2803.6 2791.4 1281.6 1281.0
2009 2774.2 2791.1 2729.8 2762.1 1256.2 1259.8
2010 2751.5 2723.5 2691.1 2733.2 1244.5 1238.9
2011 2685.1 2657.5 2602.2 2583.6 1218.7 1218.3
2012 2562.7 2593.1 2433.2 2442.3 1195.6 1198.1
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2012, Ages 65+
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 2554.5 2736.4 2554.5 2736.2 1527.3 1544.2
1976 2716.5 2779.1 2716.5 2779.0 1584.7 1583.3
1977 2909.9 2822.5 2909.9 2822.4 1641.2 1623.4
1978 2781.1 2866.6 2781.1 2866.5 1662.1 1664.5
1979 2925.4 2911.4 2925.4 2911.3 1695.0 1706.6
1980 3011.7 2956.8 3011.7 2956.8 1765.7 1749.8
1981 3135.9 3003.0 3135.9 3003.0 1801.4 1794.1
1982 3008.1 3049.9 3008.1 3049.9 1839.8 1839.5
1983 3230.5 3097.5 3230.5 3097.6 1877.8 1886.0
1984 3131.2 3145.8 3131.2 3146.0 1919.9 1933.8
1985 3236.1 3194.9 3236.1 3195.2 1945.5 1960.8
1986 3233.6 3244.8 3233.6 3245.1 1979.4 1988.2
1987 3373.0 3295.5 3373.0 3295.8 2028.1 2016.1
1988 3322.8 3346.9 3322.8 3347.3 2032.9 2044.3
1989 3321.2 3399.2 3321.2 3399.6 2106.4 2072.9
1990 3550.3 3683.6 3550.3 3682.7 2136.3 2101.9
1991 4030.9 3991.9 4030.9 3989.4 2150.5 2131.3
1992 4255.6 4325.9 4255.6 4321.5 2124.4 2161.1
1993 4218.1 4121.2 4218.1 4124.7 2183.9 2191.3
1994 3976.9 3926.2 3976.9 3936.8 2137.3 2154.9
1995 3669.1 3740.4 3669.1 3757.5 2122.2 2119.0
1996 3570.9 3692.0 3570.9 3703.0 2103.9 2083.8
1997 3759.3 3644.2 3759.3 3649.2 2045.2 2049.1
1998 3670.4 3597.1 3668.8 3596.2 1990.3 2015.0
1999 3606.3 3550.5 3602.7 3543.9 1981.8 1981.5
2000 3500.9 3504.6 3495.1 3492.5 1956.1 1948.6
2001 3442.4 3459.2 3434.2 3441.7 1928.5 1916.2
2002 3377.1 3414.5 3366.1 3391.8 1871.9 1866.9
2003 3297.2 3370.3 3283.1 3342.5 1798.5 1818.8
2004 3415.6 3326.7 3396.3 3293.9 1769.1 1772.0
2005 3124.6 3283.6 3102.1 3246.1 1727.8 1726.4
2006 3170.1 3241.1 3141.8 3199.0 1674.0 1682.0
2007 3213.6 3199.2 3177.8 3152.5 1659.9 1638.7
2008 3261.2 3157.8 3217.1 3106.7 1588.5 1596.5
2009 3078.8 3054.5 3028.1 3061.6 1551.5 1555.4
2010 2971.4 2954.6 2906.6 2909.0 1534.8 1515.4
2011 2840.8 2858.0 2756.7 2763.9 1470.0 1476.4
2012 2763.4 2764.5 2631.5 2626.2 1432.1 1438.4
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2012, Ages 65+
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 1383.0 1363.5 1383.0 1362.6 739.4 745.4
1976 1408.6 1388.9 1408.6 1388.2 759.4 753.5
1977 1415.0 1414.7 1415.0 1414.2 761.8 761.6
1978 1410.4 1441.1 1410.4 1440.8 769.6 769.9
1979 1454.7 1467.9 1454.7 1467.9 772.8 778.2
1980 1499.8 1495.3 1499.8 1495.4 789.5 786.6
1981 1532.3 1523.1 1532.3 1523.5 796.1 795.1
1982 1532.3 1551.5 1532.3 1552.2 805.4 803.7
1983 1563.4 1580.4 1563.4 1581.3 811.9 812.4
1984 1610.0 1609.9 1610.0 1611.0 826.2 821.2
1985 1660.7 1639.9 1660.7 1641.3 829.4 830.1
1986 1658.7 1670.4 1658.7 1672.1 840.4 839.1
1987 1723.7 1701.5 1723.7 1703.5 843.1 848.1
1988 1715.8 1733.2 1715.8 1712.9 852.4 857.3
1989 1724.2 1735.8 1724.2 1722.3 871.4 866.6
1990 1741.3 1738.5 1741.3 1731.8 876.5 876.0
1991 1772.5 1741.1 1772.5 1741.3 882.0 882.7
1992 1753.8 1743.7 1753.8 1750.9 888.7 889.5
1993 1736.8 1746.3 1736.8 1760.5 896.7 896.4
1994 1747.2 1749.0 1747.2 1770.1 900.6 903.3
1995 1750.9 1751.6 1750.9 1779.9 900.6 897.6
1996 1763.2 1779.7 1763.2 1789.7 895.2 892.0
1997 1814.8 1808.3 1814.8 1799.5 885.7 886.4
1998 1846.8 1837.3 1846.3 1809.4 886.2 890.3
1999 1819.0 1823.4 1817.9 1803.4 895.5 894.2
2000 1785.1 1809.5 1783.3 1797.4 899.6 898.1
2001 1816.7 1795.8 1814.1 1791.5 885.8 890.3
2002 1788.6 1782.1 1785.1 1785.5 885.6 882.5
2003 1755.3 1768.6 1750.7 1779.6 877.3 874.8
2004 1775.7 1769.3 1769.7 1773.7 866.1 867.1
2005 1760.8 1770.0 1753.3 1767.8 858.4 859.6
2006 1768.2 1770.7 1758.7 1762.0 851.7 852.0
2007 1772.2 1771.3 1760.4 1756.2 842.0 841.3
2008 1781.2 1772.0 1766.5 1750.3 831.9 830.6
2009 1797.0 1772.7 1778.3 1744.5 815.9 820.1
2010 1761.9 1773.4 1736.5 1738.8 813.1 809.7
2011 1762.5 1774.1 1726.2 1733.0 798.9 799.4
2012 1774.6 1774.8 1712.1 1727.3 789.1 789.3
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2012, Ages 65+
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 1340.8 1290.4 1340.8 1286.9 719.5 735.3
1976 1278.3 1311.0 1278.3 1308.0 765.5 748.7
1977 1346.4 1331.9 1346.4 1329.5 760.5 762.3
1978 1303.1 1353.1 1303.1 1351.3 774.3 776.2
1979 1350.3 1374.7 1350.3 1373.4 779.8 790.3
1980 1412.0 1396.6 1412.0 1396.0 818.1 804.6
1981 1416.5 1418.9 1416.5 1418.9 818.1 819.3
1982 1408.1 1441.5 1408.1 1442.1 836.4 834.2
1983 1504.6 1464.5 1504.6 1465.8 858.9 849.3
1984 1488.8 1487.8 1488.8 1489.8 866.8 864.8
1985 1528.5 1511.5 1528.5 1514.2 881.5 880.5
1986 1560.1 1535.6 1560.1 1539.1 896.8 896.5
1987 1567.6 1560.1 1567.6 1564.3 900.2 912.8
1988 1606.6 1585.0 1606.6 1589.9 924.0 929.4
1989 1526.1 1610.3 1526.1 1616.0 940.4 946.3
1990 1667.9 1635.9 1667.9 1642.5 954.6 963.5
1991 1666.9 1662.0 1666.9 1669.4 992.5 981.0
1992 1657.5 1666.3 1657.5 1672.1 970.9 983.5
1993 1607.8 1670.6 1607.8 1674.7 998.7 985.9
1994 1645.5 1674.9 1645.5 1677.4 991.9 988.4
1995 1653.0 1679.2 1653.0 1680.0 998.6 990.9
1996 1718.7 1683.5 1718.7 1682.7 994.3 993.4
1997 1699.4 1687.9 1699.4 1685.3 1007.7 995.9
1998 1712.1 1692.2 1711.7 1688.0 979.3 998.4
1999 1741.0 1696.6 1740.0 1690.7 996.8 1000.9
2000 1662.1 1700.9 1660.4 1693.4 976.9 987.4
2001 1681.7 1705.3 1679.3 1696.0 974.0 974.0
2002 1797.6 1709.7 1794.0 1698.7 974.7 960.9
2003 1723.0 1714.1 1718.3 1701.4 961.2 947.9
2004 1714.8 1718.5 1708.7 1704.1 936.1 935.0
2005 1739.0 1722.9 1731.3 1706.8 918.0 922.4
2006 1732.4 1727.4 1722.6 1709.5 905.5 909.9
2007 1728.4 1731.8 1716.1 1712.2 903.1 897.6
2008 1760.1 1736.3 1744.6 1714.9 879.3 885.5
2009 1735.3 1740.8 1716.5 1717.6 865.3 873.5
2010 1710.2 1745.2 1685.0 1720.3 858.1 861.7
2011 1712.3 1749.7 1677.2 1723.1 857.5 850.0
2012 1760.4 1754.2 1700.5 1725.8 839.2 838.5
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, Ages 65+, 1975-2012
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male2008-12-2.4*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male2010-12-5.5*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male2001-12-1.7*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male2008-12-3.3*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male2009-12-5.0*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male2001-12-2.6*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female2003-120.0
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1998-12-0.3*
U.S. Mortality, White, Female2006-12-1.3*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1991-120.3*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1991-120.2*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female1999-12-1.4*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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