Statistics at a Glance

At a Glance

Estimated New Cases in 2018 55,440

% of All New Cancer Cases 3.2%

Estimated Deaths in 2018 44,330

% of All Cancer Deaths 7.3%

Percent Surviving
5 Years

8.5% 2008-2014
Year New Cases - SEER 9 New Cases - SEER 13 Deaths - U.S. Percent Surviving 5 Years - SEER 9
1975 11.8 - 10.7 3.0%
1976 12.0 - 10.7 2.4%
1977 11.9 - 10.9 1.9%
1978 11.1 - 10.8 2.5%
1979 11.5 - 10.7 2.7%
1980 11.5 - 10.6 3.3%
1981 11.7 - 10.7 2.6%
1982 11.7 - 10.6 2.4%
1983 12.2 - 10.7 3.2%
1984 12.2 - 10.8 2.7%
1985 12.1 - 10.6 3.2%
1986 11.7 - 10.6 2.8%
1987 11.6 - 10.6 3.8%
1988 11.7 - 10.5 3.4%
1989 11.3 - 10.6 3.3%
1990 11.3 - 10.7 3.7%
1991 11.4 - 10.7 4.6%
1992 11.6 11.2 10.7 4.6%
1993 11.0 11.1 10.7 3.5%
1994 11.4 11.3 10.6 4.7%
1995 11.1 11.1 10.4 3.6%
1996 11.3 11.2 10.5 4.2%
1997 11.5 11.4 10.5 5.0%
1998 11.5 11.3 10.5 3.8%
1999 11.1 10.9 10.6 5.1%
2000 11.4 11.2 10.5 5.2%
2001 11.3 11.1 10.6 5.1%
2002 11.8 11.6 10.6 6.1%
2003 11.6 11.3 10.5 5.0%
2004 12.0 11.8 10.7 5.5%
2005 12.1 12.1 10.8 6.3%
2006 12.6 12.2 10.9 7.5%
2007 12.5 12.2 10.8 7.7%
2008 12.7 12.3 11.0 7.7%
2009 13.1 12.6 10.8 8.6%
2010 12.6 12.4 11.0 8.2%
2011 12.5 12.3 10.9 -
2012 13.1 12.6 11.0 -
2013 13.0 12.7 10.8 -
2014 12.9 12.5 10.9 -
2015 12.8 12.4 11.0 -

Number of New Cases and Deaths per 100,000: The number of new cases of pancreatic cancer was 12.6 per 100,000 men and women per year. The number of deaths was 10.9 per 100,000 men and women per year. These rates are age-adjusted and based on 2011-2015 cases and deaths.

Lifetime Risk of Developing Cancer: Approximately 1.6 percent of men and women will be diagnosed with pancreatic cancer at some point during their lifetime, based on 2013-2015 data.

Prevalence of This Cancer: In 2015, there were an estimated 68,615 people living with pancreatic cancer in the United States.

Survival Statistics

How Many People Survive 5 Years Or More after Being Diagnosed with Pancreatic Cancer?

Relative survival statistics compare the survival of patients diagnosed with cancer with the survival of people in the general population who are the same age, race, and sex and who have not been diagnosed with cancer. Because survival statistics are based on large groups of people, they cannot be used to predict exactly what will happen to an individual patient. No two patients are entirely alike, and treatment and responses to treatment can vary greatly.

8.5%

Percent Surviving
5 Years

8.5%

Based on data from SEER 18 2008-2014. Gray figures represent those who have died from pancreatic cancer. Green figures represent those who have survived 5 years or more.

Additional Information

Survival by Stage

Cancer stage at diagnosis, which refers to extent of a cancer in the body, determines treatment options and has a strong influence on the length of survival. In general, if the cancer is found only in the part of the body where it started it is localized (sometimes referred to as stage 1). If it has spread to a different part of the body, the stage is regional or distant. The earlier pancreatic cancer is caught, the better chance a person has of surviving five years after being diagnosed. For pancreatic cancer, 10.0% are diagnosed at the local stage. The 5-year survival for localized pancreatic cancer is 34.3%.

Percent of Cases & 5-Year Relative Survival by Stage at Diagnosis: Pancreatic Cancer
Stage Percent of Cases 5-Year Relative Survival
Localized
Confined to Primary Site
10% 34.3%
Regional
Spread to Regional Lymph Nodes
29% 11.5%
Distant
Cancer has Metastasized
52% 2.7%
Unknown
Unstaged
8% 5.5%

SEER 18 2008-2014, All Races, Both Sexes by SEER Summary Stage 2000

Additional Information

Number of New Cases and Deaths

How Common Is This Cancer?

Compared to other cancers, pancreatic cancer is relatively rare.

Rank Common Types of Cancer Estimated New
Cases 2018
Estimated
Deaths 2018
1. Breast Cancer (Female) 266,120 40,920
2. Lung and Bronchus Cancer 234,030 154,050
3. Prostate Cancer 164,690 29,430
4. Colorectal Cancer 140,250 50,630
5. Melanoma of the Skin 91,270 9,320
6. Bladder Cancer 81,190 17,240
7. Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma 74,680 19,910
8. Kidney and Renal Pelvis Cancer 65,340 14,970
9. Uterine Cancer 63,230 11,350
10. Leukemia 60,300 24,370
- - -
11. Pancreatic Cancer 55,440 44,330

Pancreatic cancer represents 3.2% of all new cancer cases in the U.S.

3.2%

In 2018, it is estimated that there will be 55,440 new cases of pancreatic cancer and an estimated 44,330 people will die of this disease.

Who Gets This Cancer?

Pancreatic cancer is more common with increasing age and slightly more common in men than women. The number of new cases of pancreatic cancer was 12.6 per 100,000 men and women per year based on 2011-2015 cases.

Number of New Cases per 100,000 Persons by Race/Ethnicity & Sex: Pancreatic Cancer
Males
All Races 14.4
White 14.4
Black 16.9
Asian/Pacific Islander 11.0
American Indian/Alaska Native 11.3
Hispanic 12.0
Non-Hispanic 14.7
Females
All Races 11.2
White 11.1
Black 14.3
Asian/Pacific Islander 9.2
American Indian/Alaska Native 7.8
Hispanic 10.5
Non-Hispanic 11.3

SEER 18 2011-2015, Age-Adjusted

Percent of New Cases by Age Group: Pancreatic Cancer
Age Range Percent of New Cases
<20 0.1%
20-34 0.5%
35-44 1.9%
45-54 8.6%
55-64 22.4%
65-74 28.4%
75-84 24.7%
>84 13.4%

Pancreatic cancer is most frequently diagnosed among people aged 65-74.

Median Age
At Diagnosis

70

SEER 18 2011-2015, All Races, Both Sexes

Who Dies From This Cancer?

Because survival is poor, the population distribution of people who die of pancreatic cancer is similar to that of people who are diagnosed with the disease. In part because it is difficult to detect early, the average survival time from pancreatic cancer is low. Pancreatic cancer is the third leading cause of cancer death in the United States. The number of deaths was 10.9 per 100,000 men and women per year based on 2011-2015 deaths.

Number of Deaths per 100,000 Persons by Race/Ethnicity & Sex: Pancreatic Cancer
Males
All Races 12.6
White 12.6
Black 14.8
Asian/Pacific Islander 8.3
American Indian/Alaska Native 9.7
Hispanic 9.5
Non-Hispanic 12.9
Females
All Races 9.5
White 9.4
Black 12.2
Asian/Pacific Islander 7.3
American Indian/Alaska Native 8.0
Hispanic 7.7
Non-Hispanic 9.7

U.S. 2011-2015, Age-Adjusted

Percent of Deaths by Age Group: Pancreatic Cancer
Age Range Percent of Deaths
<20 0.0%
20-34 0.2%
35-44 1.1%
45-54 7.0%
55-64 20.1%
65-74 28.2%
75-84 27.1%
>84 16.3%

The percent of pancreatic cancer deaths is highest among people aged 65-74.

Median Age
At Death

72

U.S. 2011-2015, All Races, Both Sexes

Trends in Rates

Changes Over Time

Keeping track of the number of new cases, deaths, and survival over time (trends) can help scientists understand whether progress is being made and where additional research is needed to address challenges, such as improving screening or finding better treatments.

Using statistical models for analysis, rates for new pancreatic cancer cases have been stable over the last 10 years. Death rates have been stable over 2006-2015. 5-year survival trends are shown below.

More About This Cancer

Cancer and the Pancreas

Figure: Pancreas and Nearby Organs

Figure: Anatomy diagram shows the pancreas, liver, bile duct, stomach, gallbladder, duodenum, spleen, colon, and small intestine.

Did You Know? Video Series

The pancreas is an organ in the abdomen that helps the body digest and use the energy that comes from food. Pancreatic cancer occurs when cells in the pancreas grow out of control and form a growth or tumor. Tumors may be cancerous (malignant) or not cancerous (benign).

Additional Information

More Information

Here are some resources for learning more about pancreatic cancer.

References

All statistics in this report are based on statistics from SEER and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics. Most can be found within:

Noone AM, Howlader N, Krapcho M, Miller D, Brest A, Yu M, Ruhl J, Tatalovich Z, Mariotto A, Lewis DR, Chen HS, Feuer EJ, Cronin KA (eds). SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975-2015, National Cancer Institute. Bethesda, MD, https://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2015/, based on November 2017 SEER data submission, posted to the SEER web site, April 2018.

Suggested Citation

All material in this report is in the public domain and may be reproduced or copied without permission; citation as to source, however, is appreciated.

SEER Cancer Stat Facts: Pancreatic Cancer. National Cancer Institute. Bethesda, MD, https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/pancreas.html

These stat facts focus on population statistics that are based on the U.S. population. Because these statistics are based on large groups of people, they cannot be used to predict exactly what will happen to an individual patient. To see tailored statistics, browse the SEER Cancer Statistics Review. To see statistics for a specific state, go to the State Cancer Profiles.

The statistics presented in these stat facts are based on the most recent data available, most of which can be found in the SEER Cancer Statistics Review. In some cases, different year spans may be used. Estimates for the current year are based on past data.

Cancer is a complex topic. There is a wide range of information available. These stat facts do not address causes, symptoms, diagnosis, treatment, follow-up care, or decision making, although links are provided to information in many of these areas.